DrH final MLB results 2014-15 WOW!
Ronbets
Senior Member
Behind his non- tolerating personality is a guy that lets his #s do the talking. I ain't no shill folks. This is not variance:
2015: 199-162, +30.89 units
2014: 284-246, +45.84 units
MLB TOTAL: 483-408, +76.73 units
2015: 199-162, +30.89 units
2014: 284-246, +45.84 units
MLB TOTAL: 483-408, +76.73 units
Comments
Are you stopping early to prep for cbb?
Personally I think he's been a little over-tolerant recently, not sure I like it.
Nice season Jeff
Golfer - It's more for personal reasons.
Take care of everyone
And
One hell of a job!!!
BEST
There is not an edge I do not try to find when it comes to live wagering. While other people create models, I use their work as the starting point and implement it into my live wagering and from there the methods are endless. You are constantly making adjustments. Just three years ago I began to get killed at live wagering and was able to make certain adjustments to do quite well with it.
Cut out the DVR's, they usually cause a few seconds of lag
I get less than 30 seconds to get down live. With your set up I'd need a small staff.
Bravo! Assuming my calculations are correct, it's approximately +38 units for about 450 plays per season, or about 8.4% ROI, yes?
Is that really using live betting to your advantage though (the part in bold)? Just because Georgia State -6.5 would be considered a +EV play before the game started, doesn't mean that it's a +EV play at -2 when there is 59:45 left in the game, does it? You're already looking at a 7-0 hole. Maybe it was in this specific situation, I don't know, but I don't exactly agree with the whole "just play stuff live and you can get better lines" logic, since you'll also potentially be looking at a different situation than when the game started. And don't get me wrong, I'm not saying that live betting can't be exploited, but I didn't see how this is an example of it.
I don't see how this comment really relates to my post.
But to answer your question...I'd expect it to be +EV if you could beat the 2nd half line consistently with a live wager at the end of 1st half. I just think you're talking about something different than the direction I was heading.
I won't speak on the matter again. Check the halftime line on that game. That +EV all day everyday
I agree and have a few LB outs. The two best sports for live betting is baseball and basketball (NBA) I've been LB since Wsex came out with it calling it contracts in the 90's and killed them in baseball it was that easy. I thing part of the reason they went BR was LB. They do it differently now but it's very beatable and I have nothing but time. That's why I don't post many games 1/2 Times and Live IMO is for me.
JMO but you should get my email address if you want to discuss something like this. Actually I'm sorry I answered there's money in play here.
My Apologizes I wasn't thinking.