I have a few small factors to create that small gap but it is realistic values.
I also bet the Cards -104 and Milw +114 this to me is value I have no idea what your talking about when you say realistic values. I need help with that statement.
realistic factors I mean NOT sdql crap like on Tuesdays after a 4 run win or after playing the blue jays on sunday or any of the other crazy crap MOST sdql users use.
those are all 3 some nice bets brews, bucs and cards, if someone can set lines like that all day, there is literally nothing else you need to do it covers the vig and gives you the vig literally and more on everyone of those bets. NICE
those are all 3 some nice bets brews, bucs and cards, if someone can set lines like that all day, there is literally nothing else you need to do it covers the vig and gives you the vig literally and more on everyone of those bets. NICE
This is why I say you need to create your own line and try to be as consistent as possible. Last night I jumped on Milw +130 the line closed I think Milw +160 I was way off and that's going to happen your just trying to get a high % right and if so you really have to be unlucky to lose money long term. But it's easier said then done but laying -170 when you could have gotten -140 at the very least it's just lets say hard to win that way.
Well good luck. I said before the SDQL isn't useless but it's lets just say limited in what you can do with it to help you stay ahead.
That diamond digest that you get in your email is trash. The best one I remember was in the NBA and if Boogie committed 6 turnovers in back to back games you bet the Kings in the next game. Would you like to try an explain that one to me. lol Take care Pawn don't get hurt.
I was trying to say a guy who just throws darts at teams on a board after 26 games in theory should be down -2.6 units
A service like RAS would be at 2.7 units
so what should i shoot for?
I was trying to say a guy who just throws darts at teams on a board after 26 games in theory should be down -2.6 units
A service like RAS would be at 2.7 units
so what should i shoot for?
No one charges 10% vig nor does anyone have a 10% roi
what is an avg. flip a coin bettor's ROI?
what is an avg experienced bettor's ROI?
thanks for any help just trying to get a grasp on what I should be shooting for
what is an avg. flip a coin bettor's ROI?
what is an avg experienced bettor's ROI?
thanks for any help just trying to get a grasp on what I should be shooting for
at -110 expected loss is 4.54% (10/220)
also, risking 1.8 to win 1 is a risk of 1.8 units not 1
so a dart thrower is at -4.54 units after 100 plays
and a pro should be at +2 units after 100 plays
is that correct so I understand what you are saying and also I want to say thank you for the time.
you should expect to lose 4.54% of the amount wagered betting into a -110/-110 lineset. This is going to change at different holds. 100 plays is meangingless
Comments
10-9 52.63% WL (goal 67.9%)
units -4.45
I also bet the Cards -104 and Milw +114 this to me is value I have no idea what your talking about when you say realistic values. I need help with that statement.
This is why I say you need to create your own line and try to be as consistent as possible. Last night I jumped on Milw +130 the line closed I think Milw +160 I was way off and that's going to happen your just trying to get a high % right and if so you really have to be unlucky to lose money long term. But it's easier said then done but laying -170 when you could have gotten -140 at the very least it's just lets say hard to win that way.
Well good luck. I said before the SDQL isn't useless but it's lets just say limited in what you can do with it to help you stay ahead.
That diamond digest that you get in your email is trash. The best one I remember was in the NBA and if Boogie committed 6 turnovers in back to back games you bet the Kings in the next game. Would you like to try an explain that one to me. lol Take care Pawn don't get hurt.
Pirates ML
bet 1.65u to win 1u
11-9 55% WL (goal 67.9%)
units -3.45
Cardinals ML
2.19u to win 1u
12-9 57.14% WL (goal 67.9%)
units -2.45
Remember this a month ago!!!!!! Comeback Kid is coming back slowly but surely!
1.8U to win 1U
1.84u to win 1u
13-10 56.5% WL (goal 67.9%)
units -3.29
bet 2.1U to win 1U
14-10 58.3% WL (goal 67.9%)
units -2.29
1.8u to win 1u
15-10 60% WL (goal 67.9%)
units -1.29
1.69u to win 1u
16-10 61.53% WL (goal 67.9%)
units -.29
I don't understand what you're trying to ask.
I was trying to say a guy who just throws darts at teams on a board after 26 games in theory should be down -2.6 units
A service like RAS would be at 2.7 units
so what should i shoot for?
No one charges 10% vig nor does anyone have a 10% roi
what is an avg experienced bettor's ROI?
thanks for any help just trying to get a grasp on what I should be shooting for
at -110 expected loss is 4.54% (10/220)
also, risking 1.8 to win 1 is a risk of 1.8 units not 1
any professional should be happy around 2% hold
and a pro should be at +2 units after 100 plays
is that correct so I understand what you are saying and also I want to say thank you for the time.
you should expect to lose 4.54% of the amount wagered betting into a -110/-110 lineset. This is going to change at different holds. 100 plays is meangingless