His MLB record the last 4 seasons combined is 737-661 +10.27
Thank you, that saves me the trouble because I was just about to sift through all of his old plays. There's no chance you have his line value is there?
Thank you, that saves me the trouble because I was just about to sift through all of his old plays. There's no chance you have his line value is there?
Yes winning. I think part of that prolly has to do with the group that bets from 3-5 pm everyday I won't name them here that gets a ton of movement. 20-25 cents on totals and 15-20 cents on sides usually. Numbers do get a bit out of whack so I think that would lead to u having an extra 5-7 cents of clv without really having that 5-7 cents in value if that makes sense. But that's a big difference in saying that vs saying market isn't efficient.
Do you bet a lot of totals? Someone out there is losing a giant fortune this year, because I've lost a small one despite getting sick line value. Sides have been pretty good to me actually.
Efficiency is hard to define. I mean I bet a ton of stuff in other markets where pinny might take one or two total bets, and they move enough that my bet looks +ev vs close, but I could have bet the other side and gotten the same. I've noticed with MLB though if I take the day off or bet off screen I get pretty close to the same clv, so there are obviously other people with money coming in on the same sides. Still lose always though.
It was great we had a lot of fun. Headed back in early December for a friends birthday. Gonna try and play shadow creek in December, we've never played there and have always wanted to.
It was great we had a lot of fun. Headed back in early December for a friends birthday. Gonna try and play shadow creek in December, we've never played there and have always wanted to.
I used to play ther every tuesday at 11am for about 2 years back in the day when Mr wynn only allow 4 foursomes a day. You'll love it but you have to be long of the tee or you'll have trouble. By long I mean about 220. It was never rated at that time Wynn didn't want it to be rated and then years later I think we found out it was like 6800 yards but believe me it plays real long like 7400. You'll love hole 17 the signature hole. Now all I'm saying was long ago before MGM took over and I haven't been there since but I hear it's still the same. $500 a round if not comped it better be.
Do you bet a lot of totals? Someone out there is losing a giant fortune this year, because I've lost a small one despite getting sick line value. Sides have been pretty good to me actually.
Efficiency is hard to define. I mean I bet a ton of stuff in other markets where pinny might take one or two total bets, and they move enough that my bet looks +ev vs close, but I could have bet the other side and gotten the same. I've noticed with MLB though if I take the day off or bet off screen I get pretty close to the same clv, so there are obviously other people with money coming in on the same sides. Still lose always though.
As of 6/01 I am at 206 sides 176 totals. With your explanation above it seems like u agree the mlb market is efficient but u just find a way to lose always.
With your explanation above it seems like u agree the mlb market is efficient but u just find a way to lose always.
What about baltimore +139 closes at +103 yesterday and they lost. I know this is a tiny sample, but like durito has been saying, I'm also losing on the these type of irrational exuberance type of moves.
What about baltimore +139 closes at +103 yesterday and they lost. I know this is a tiny sample, but like durito has been saying, I'm also losing on the these type of irrational exuberance type of moves.
Ha "tiny sample" might be a tad of an underestimation. Plus 139 closes at plus 103 u realize ur going to still lose more then 50 percent of the time right?
6/19/2015 10:40PM Money Line 1100 1000 Baseball - 976 New York Yankees -110 for Game
6/19/2015 10:34PM Money Line 1170 1000 Baseball - 968 Chicago White Sox -117 for Game
Yankees at -130 now lets see if I win this one and whitesox - 138 currently.
What about baltimore +139 closes at +103 yesterday and they lost. I know this is a tiny sample, but like durito has been saying, I'm also losing on the these type of irrational exuberance type of moves.
How could you possibly think holding a +139 ticket when the market closes it +103 is not a good thing? Be patient. Making bets like that is printing money. It doesn't mean you're going to win every bet. You still lose that one more than half the time.
I don't think the MLB market at close contains much "irrational exuberance."
Ha "tiny sample" might be a tad of an underestimation. Plus 139 closes at plus 103 u realize ur going to still lose more then 50 percent of the time right?
Yes i do realize that, but shouldn't the clv cushion those loses and make me a winner longterm?
I am sure the only bets underwraps makes he beats the close by 20-30 cents.
No, I have Baltimore also +117 at heritage and posted it last night in the 1 a day with the pinny line same amount like the other 2 plays and this one is at +104 now
and arizona - 110 which is +100 now is my only clv loser currently
Comments
HIs iq would have had to have increased 5000000% to make either of those posts.
Thank you, that saves me the trouble because I was just about to sift through all of his old plays. There's no chance you have his line value is there?
Great guess, very likely IMO.
Nope.
chrysler.gif
That was a hell of a good bet.
Thanks, but every time I'm on these big movers I've been losing more than winning hopefully it turns around.
Yes, it was.
The way Im running this one will lose to
No. I haven't tracked his CLV or release times and I am generally clueless on MLB market anyway.
I suggest keeping it this way, It's the worst thing you could possibly ever bet on.
Do you bet a lot of totals? Someone out there is losing a giant fortune this year, because I've lost a small one despite getting sick line value. Sides have been pretty good to me actually.
Efficiency is hard to define. I mean I bet a ton of stuff in other markets where pinny might take one or two total bets, and they move enough that my bet looks +ev vs close, but I could have bet the other side and gotten the same. I've noticed with MLB though if I take the day off or bet off screen I get pretty close to the same clv, so there are obviously other people with money coming in on the same sides. Still lose always though.
It was great we had a lot of fun. Headed back in early December for a friends birthday. Gonna try and play shadow creek in December, we've never played there and have always wanted to.
I used to play ther every tuesday at 11am for about 2 years back in the day when Mr wynn only allow 4 foursomes a day. You'll love it but you have to be long of the tee or you'll have trouble. By long I mean about 220. It was never rated at that time Wynn didn't want it to be rated and then years later I think we found out it was like 6800 yards but believe me it plays real long like 7400. You'll love hole 17 the signature hole. Now all I'm saying was long ago before MGM took over and I haven't been there since but I hear it's still the same. $500 a round if not comped it better be.
As of 6/01 I am at 206 sides 176 totals. With your explanation above it seems like u agree the mlb market is efficient but u just find a way to lose always.
What about baltimore +139 closes at +103 yesterday and they lost. I know this is a tiny sample, but like durito has been saying, I'm also losing on the these type of irrational exuberance type of moves.
Ha "tiny sample" might be a tad of an underestimation. Plus 139 closes at plus 103 u realize ur going to still lose more then 50 percent of the time right?
6/19/2015 10:34PM Money Line 1170 1000 Baseball - 968 Chicago White Sox -117 for Game
Yankees at -130 now lets see if I win this one and whitesox - 138 currently.
How could you possibly think holding a +139 ticket when the market closes it +103 is not a good thing? Be patient. Making bets like that is printing money. It doesn't mean you're going to win every bet. You still lose that one more than half the time.
I don't think the MLB market at close contains much "irrational exuberance."
Yes i do realize that, but shouldn't the clv cushion those loses and make me a winner longterm?
It will. If you're consistently making bets like the last 4 you've posted, you'll own a MLB team before too long.
I know its a good thing, its just that lately I've been losing with these moves. I'll see how it pans out at seasons end.
I am sure the only bets underwraps makes he beats the close by 20-30 cents.
Clearly.
No, I have Baltimore also +117 at heritage and posted it last night in the 1 a day with the pinny line same amount like the other 2 plays and this one is at +104 now
and arizona - 110 which is +100 now is my only clv loser currently
Peek aboo Mr. worm................... http://www.bettingtalk.com/forum/showthread.php/178381-2015-MLB-One-a-Day-Best-Bets/page23