"The escape button is gone, the escape button is gone!!".....LOL ...LOL..LOL
Is that what he's saying? I could have sworn it was: "Mother- f$#%king Doubront! Mother- f$#%king Doubront! Terrible, awful f$%&cking pick! COCKASSSHITDICKFUCKMOTHER-PPFFFFFFFF"
Sixth Sense- I started subscribing two years ago
Stevie- Bought everything this year and down overall on last 600 or so plays. I think I started playing him with his baseball last year.
And now BG- He doesnt know it but now that I have purchased he doesnt stand a chance.
So sorry golfer, get ready for a summer that takes 10 years off your life.
Sixth Sense- I started subscribing two years ago
Stevie- Bought everything this year and down overall on last 600 or so plays. I think I started playing him with his baseball last year.
And now BG- He doesnt know it but now that I have purchased he doesnt stand a chance.
So sorry golfer, get ready for a summer that takes 10 years off your life.
Good Luck
I hope you can take comfort in these words by Edward himself.
"Sixth Sense has gone 146-149 since our endorsement. Not a shocking result for anyone in that market playing entirely WA numbers and mostly late in week.
Assuming you where betting a dime per game your only down 17,900 over 4 years. Not bad entertainment value.
I know people that spend that per NFL season just to sit on the 50 yd line
I hope you can take comfort in these words by Edward himself.
"Sixth Sense has gone 146-149 since our endorsement. Not a shocking result for anyone in that market playing entirely WA numbers and mostly late in week.
SY and BG are obviously both way up. "
Best of luck going forward, NFL starts soon.
Yeah, I started playing in 2012 so its a little worse. 2012 was exceptionally bad if you followed the recommended 3% per play that Kellen recommended.
The other guys, who knows, I just have a gift. Not bitter, I knew the risk and I dont do this for a living so while I of course would love to win, not going to hurt me/my family when they dont(which seems to be the case when I purchase a new guy)
Sixth Sense- I started subscribing two years ago
Stevie- Bought everything this year and down overall on last 600 or so plays. I think I started playing him with his baseball last year.
And now BG- He doesnt know it but now that I have purchased he doesnt stand a chance.
So sorry golfer, get ready for a summer that takes 10 years off your life.
Good Luck
Get ready to start winning my man. Of course, there are no guarantees in anything, but BG is an advantage player and that advantage will most likely show up over the course of this MLB season in the form of an overall profit. Sounds like you are a vet so just manage that BR properly and you should have a nice profit at the end of the year. I know it must be frustrating to have followed a few reputed advantage players (Stevie Y, who I most certainly consider to be an advantage player and whom I have much respect for) who have performed below normal levels lately, but that's the nature of trading. We deal in probabilities and so bad stretches (negative variance) come with the territory. Go do a bunch of 100 toss trials with flipping a coin. You may be surprised how wild that negative variance can run in the short term with a few of those trial sets. But long term? -> It will regress towards expectation (which is of course 50% for an honest coin) and so will the results of BG's plays. (I.E. his results going forwards will regress to his expected win % which is quite impressive and evidenced by an impressive record over a large sample of MLB trades.
I recommend that you treat this MLB season with BG as though you were a robot: See BG trade, put in BG trade. & then proceed with your life as normal. Don't score watch, obsess over small samples of games, etc. Just focus on executing and perfecting the process and eventually...the BR will grow
The naive focus on perfecting the results, the wise focus on perfecting the process. All you need to do is focus on risking the appropriate amount of your BR on each of BG's trade recommendations as quickly as possible.
BOL
P.S. And just to add one more thing: You're not a mush. You're not a jinx. Make the right decisions and you will win long term!
I recommend that you treat this MLB season with BG as though you were a robot: See BG trade, put in BG trade. & then proceed with your life as normal. Don't score watch, obsess over small samples of games, etc.
It's also pretty clear to me that Golfer is unable to handle his betting this way, veteran or not.
While I agree with everything you wrote, factoring in the psychological aspects Golfer has demonstrated, I stand by my original suggestion that he simply take the summer off unless he finds a way to make some serious changes in his behavior/outlook that reflect what you posted.
Sixth Sense- I started subscribing two years ago
Stevie- Bought everything this year and down overall on last 600 or so plays. I think I started playing him with his baseball last year.
And now BG- He doesnt know it but now that I have purchased he doesnt stand a chance.
So sorry golfer, get ready for a summer that takes 10 years off your life.
Golfer,
If BG had started out at +20 units on the season, hitting 80% of his plays at an average of -120 odds. At what point would you have thought: 'This is way too good to be true, it HAS to be positive variance, you know what, I'll stop betting his plays, because he HAS to regress.'
Are you not betting .5%-1% of your roll on these plays? At worst you should be down 10%
These were my thoughts as well. Very good lesson right now on money management. BG is a world class trader, but even he is not immune to brutal stretches of negative variance. Every pro here has had MUCH WORSE stretches than he is experiencing right now with his MLB.
Yeah 28-35 is nothing... I had several stretches much worse than that in CBB this year. I think my worse was 3-17. Still ended at +2.40u on the season. It happens... just sucks it's happening at the beginning of the year in BG's inaugural season.
Are you not betting .5%-1% of your roll on these plays? At worst you should be down 10%
To justify seasonal package one should be playing 500 per game or so ? at .5%-1% you are talking 50k to 100 k roll..how many non pros have that kind of BR? Just saying and I am not disagreeing with your %s
To justify seasonal package one should be playing 500 per game or so ? at .5%-1% you are talking 50k to 100 k roll..how many non pros have that kind of BR? Just saying and I am not disagreeing with your %s
I definitely get the point you are trying to make. But to be fair, BG, like RAS, has the below posted on his website.
"This service is targeted towards sophisticated/professional bettors with sufficient bankrolls to justify the cost of the service. Please make sure you have the necessary money management skills, discipline, time and betting outs to successfully utilize the service. Past results are no guarantee of future results, and short term results will vary."
I bought the first month and it cost 400$. Wanted to get my feet wet and with this being his first season I didn't know exactly what to expect from a release standpoint, line movement, etc. I am betting 400$ per play. My subscription runs up on Friday.
I agree..was trying to make the point without calling Golfer or any others out..clearly this isnt for recreational gamblers , both BG and RAS make it clear.
Comments
Classic golfer.
Sweet Jesus I could only handle 30 seconds.
Thnx BR!!
"The escape button is gone, the escape button is gone!!".....LOL ...LOL..LOL
In the sidebar, there's the same vid but with closed captioning.
Is that what he's saying? I could have sworn it was: "Mother- f$#%king Doubront! Mother- f$#%king Doubront! Terrible, awful f$%&cking pick! COCKASSSHITDICKFUCKMOTHER-PPFFFFFFFF"
Sixth Sense- I started subscribing two years ago
Stevie- Bought everything this year and down overall on last 600 or so plays. I think I started playing him with his baseball last year.
And now BG- He doesnt know it but now that I have purchased he doesnt stand a chance.
So sorry golfer, get ready for a summer that takes 10 years off your life.
Good Luck
"Sixth Sense has gone 146-149 since our endorsement. Not a shocking result for anyone in that market playing entirely WA numbers and mostly late in week.
SY and BG are obviously both way up. "
Best of luck going forward, NFL starts soon.
146x 1000= +146.000
Assuming you where betting a dime per game your only down 17,900 over 4 years. Not bad entertainment value.
I know people that spend that per NFL season just to sit on the 50 yd line
Yeah, I started playing in 2012 so its a little worse. 2012 was exceptionally bad if you followed the recommended 3% per play that Kellen recommended.
The other guys, who knows, I just have a gift. Not bitter, I knew the risk and I dont do this for a living so while I of course would love to win, not going to hurt me/my family when they dont(which seems to be the case when I purchase a new guy)
Oh well, good luck going forward.
That was fricking hilarious. Oh shit laughing so hard I am crying.
Great Movie, remember it like it was yesterday.
Get ready to start winning my man. Of course, there are no guarantees in anything, but BG is an advantage player and that advantage will most likely show up over the course of this MLB season in the form of an overall profit. Sounds like you are a vet so just manage that BR properly and you should have a nice profit at the end of the year. I know it must be frustrating to have followed a few reputed advantage players (Stevie Y, who I most certainly consider to be an advantage player and whom I have much respect for) who have performed below normal levels lately, but that's the nature of trading. We deal in probabilities and so bad stretches (negative variance) come with the territory. Go do a bunch of 100 toss trials with flipping a coin. You may be surprised how wild that negative variance can run in the short term with a few of those trial sets. But long term? -> It will regress towards expectation (which is of course 50% for an honest coin) and so will the results of BG's plays. (I.E. his results going forwards will regress to his expected win % which is quite impressive and evidenced by an impressive record over a large sample of MLB trades.
I recommend that you treat this MLB season with BG as though you were a robot: See BG trade, put in BG trade. & then proceed with your life as normal. Don't score watch, obsess over small samples of games, etc. Just focus on executing and perfecting the process and eventually...the BR will grow
The naive focus on perfecting the results, the wise focus on perfecting the process. All you need to do is focus on risking the appropriate amount of your BR on each of BG's trade recommendations as quickly as possible.
BOL
P.S. And just to add one more thing: You're not a mush. You're not a jinx. Make the right decisions and you will win long term!
It's kind of you to take the time to post all that, which is of course valid, but Golfer has already stated he "doesn't have time for variance."
It's also pretty clear to me that Golfer is unable to handle his betting this way, veteran or not.
While I agree with everything you wrote, factoring in the psychological aspects Golfer has demonstrated, I stand by my original suggestion that he simply take the summer off unless he finds a way to make some serious changes in his behavior/outlook that reflect what you posted.
You're welcome big man!
after about 50,000 plays
Lol. I dont think many of us can last after about July at this rate.
He keeps losing like this it's actually gonna take money out of Ed's pocket when no one has any money left in August to buy football lol
LOL by that time w'll all be dead and buried or in huge debt
Golfer,
If BG had started out at +20 units on the season, hitting 80% of his plays at an average of -120 odds. At what point would you have thought: 'This is way too good to be true, it HAS to be positive variance, you know what, I'll stop betting his plays, because he HAS to regress.'
These were my thoughts as well. Very good lesson right now on money management. BG is a world class trader, but even he is not immune to brutal stretches of negative variance. Every pro here has had MUCH WORSE stretches than he is experiencing right now with his MLB.
I definitely get the point you are trying to make. But to be fair, BG, like RAS, has the below posted on his website.
"This service is targeted towards sophisticated/professional bettors with sufficient bankrolls to justify the cost of the service. Please make sure you have the necessary money management skills, discipline, time and betting outs to successfully utilize the service. Past results are no guarantee of future results, and short term results will vary."