OT ...thanks
question
you like looking at angles ...how much weight you put into stks if any
There's a couple of angles I play that a streak is connected to it. But I believe just playing win loss streaks is a losing proposition. It had it's place at one time. If your interested in streaks that aren't noticed as much that would be total's. Baltimore is on a 10 game Under streak and it could be more I'm just looking at there last 10 I think it's at least 11. Win/Loss streaks aren't dead if you can get the right spot. Say a team is losing four in a row and is a road favorite to a home team that's playing good ball and has won it's last few you should take a closer look.
Got you, see my model takes into effect streaks , i dont weight them very highly but i do weight them. See my model only knows that bal and hou both have a 4 game winning streaks , it doesnt know if its an advantage or not, thats something i have to teach it...i think statistically home teams do much better while still at home, once they go on the road its a different story.
If i knew what teams did after the winning streak ends but are still home i can make my model a little bit better by weighting the streak angle a little higher if i find their is an advantage, depending on the lay price.
OT thanks for your input your having a great year ,good luck going forward
just going over lines for tomorrow ...i dont get the twins line...no way in the world that line is correct.. i mean i have twins fav but not close to that line..big time value on the braves in this spot
just going over lines for tomorrow ...i dont get the twins line...no way in the world that line is correct.. i mean i have twins fav but not close to that line..big time value on the braves in this spot
its funny i have it less then that ...
I also think the dodgers should be way way higher tomorrow as well , rays have more homers vs right handers on the road then any team in majors ...norris gives up 2 per ..ill wait to see where this goes
Miami is 40-50c too high but as dominant as Fernandez has been I can understand why it's where it is. Mets I have at -162 but I have only adjusted Anderson to his projected ROS. If I used his season to date numbers the Mets would be about 30c too high.
totally agree with you on mia game, now it seems met s line is dropping much much closer in line with my line, still has to drop but that line was crazy.
totally agree with you on mia game, now it seems met s line is dropping much much closer in line with my line, still has to drop but that line was crazy.
thanks for ebemiss twitter ...luck
First time on in a couple days, sorry I missed your other posts in thread prior to them closing that thread. I'm more than happy to still do it, I have 7 guys interested as well as long as entry is less than 300. Feel free to inquire for my email or just add gmail.com to the end of my screename. I'll look for your email, thanks!
Shame on this site for not allowing this. Slowly but surely it's completely fizzling out.
Comments
905 ari +105
listed luck
listed luck
thats it
979 sfg +123
listed luck
listed luck
listed luck
listed luck
listed luck
listed luck
question
you like looking at angles ...how much weight you put into stks if any
There's a couple of angles I play that a streak is connected to it. But I believe just playing win loss streaks is a losing proposition. It had it's place at one time. If your interested in streaks that aren't noticed as much that would be total's. Baltimore is on a 10 game Under streak and it could be more I'm just looking at there last 10 I think it's at least 11. Win/Loss streaks aren't dead if you can get the right spot. Say a team is losing four in a row and is a road favorite to a home team that's playing good ball and has won it's last few you should take a closer look.
If i knew what teams did after the winning streak ends but are still home i can make my model a little bit better by weighting the streak angle a little higher if i find their is an advantage, depending on the lay price.
OT thanks for your input your having a great year ,good luck going forward
Agree. I have it Minn -145.
I also think the dodgers should be way way higher tomorrow as well , rays have more homers vs right handers on the road then any team in majors ...norris gives up 2 per ..ill wait to see where this goes
very very cheap i think
listed luck
that looks like its it.
listed luck
listed luck
side note ,that was a joke of line with that min game
listed luck
Nice to get those every now & again:)
joke line today is the mets and mia lines.
917 bal +102
listed luck
@EdBemiss
Miami is 40-50c too high but as dominant as Fernandez has been I can understand why it's where it is. Mets I have at -162 but I have only adjusted Anderson to his projected ROS. If I used his season to date numbers the Mets would be about 30c too high.
thanks for ebemiss twitter ...luck
First time on in a couple days, sorry I missed your other posts in thread prior to them closing that thread. I'm more than happy to still do it, I have 7 guys interested as well as long as entry is less than 300. Feel free to inquire for my email or just add gmail.com to the end of my screename. I'll look for your email, thanks!
Shame on this site for not allowing this. Slowly but surely it's completely fizzling out.