Just seen your post also went with Houston +07 and Oak +153 getting lucky with Oak so far.
Been working on something and just finishing up for tomorrow
These lines stand out to me and think they will go against you if you like these games. Just my opinion but just for the hell of it see where they close.
CWS -165 up to -170 so far
LAA +120 you can get +124 now
Cards +104 they will IMO become the Favorite
Pitt +128 up to +130 and I think 5 dimes shows +133 on SBR don't know if it's on there site haven't check.
LAD -130 Up to -135 and going higher This will close high IMO
San Diego +129 you can do a few pennies now but not for long.
Not saying I'm betting these I'm looking and if I do nows the time IMO. If you believe your numbers are solid overnights are the way to go.
I played Cards +102 and San Diego +138 Good Luck. Don't let the kid get down even Kershaw lose's once in a while. Sports is all about confidence. To smart guys out there yes talent counts also:) Tell the kid daddy wants to live in the big house on the hill.:)
one more thing before I go I'll play Milw also and he's hoping the LAD line goes as high as I think it will. The S.D and Milw plays are just angle plays for me. Good Luck. 1-2-3 DP Nice
OT .....as of right now almost 9 am et when am doing my capping. Just to let you know, when am posting i use pinny lines exclusively,openers and closing... its easy to keep track of clv .
cws ...my line -190 ...line now -180 open at -162 so its getting closer to my number, no play
Laa, my line hou -147 line now -131 open at -125 getting closer to my number , no play
stl, my line kc -104 line now kc -118 open at kc -113 ....no play
pit, my line sea -120 line now -154 open at -137 , no play
lad ,my line -138 , line now -131 open at -130 , no play
sd my line bal -158 , line now -145 open at -138 , no play
Now for my play ...I have mia as a fav and they are a dog...ill take
Cle i have as a much much bigger fav and it opened at -165..now -195 and getting closer to my number ...so ill take them on the rd -1.5
about overnights ...its hard for me to do overnights ...first a big part of my model is team oriented ...not pitcher oriented, so i need them to complete the game they are playing to get an accurate number .
good luck on your plays ...am going to try and project my number s now for tomorrow and am going to post ...lets see how it goes and then ill do it again after the games and see how much it changes.
i see westgate is working on the supercontest where you can come out and sign up in person and then place bets online anywhere in the country ...that would be great ,no more proxy ...i had my sportsbook buddy do it for me , so no big deal , but it does give me more time and dont have to depend on anyone else.
Seattle -129 is what I make the game so I am certainly going to be interested in +160 (better is available).
I have to agree with dog I had Seattle a little higher in -138 range taking back +128 with Pitt. When I seen the number this morning I couldn't believe it and I may be sending a thank you card out. Jets to answer why is like I said if you believe in your numbers and this game goes that high win,lose or draw it's worth a play. It's a game of numbers. Seattle shouldn't be this high against anyone and it's a know fact left handed pitchers have given this team troubles over the last few years. There bullpen is overworked and there on a 8-17 slide in June. I like the way Pitt rebounded from the SF sweep but the one thing I don't like is the travel to Seattle while playing yesterday but it was an early game an they got a jump start so travel shouldn't be a concern. Not saying I'm going to play it but I will certainly look as the day goes on.
Another game I like and will look at is T.Bay and take any + with Archer who isn't pitching bad it's that he can't get any run support and I've watch a lot of Detroit games and know Porcello very well from those days and last year with boston and there's a regression coming for Mr. Porcello and it maybe here and I'm looking to get in on the ground floor.
OT ...i was looking at bost myself , have it lined way high on the bost side ..not sure am going to take it if you like tb.
When is a play a play....i have a rule, its got to be so many cents off my line....its really a dog model so i dont play favorite all that much , even i had seat only lined at -120 now 70 at pinny and 74 at bm ...is it a play for me ,nope ..only because i had sea a favorite and even though you get great value with pitt am not going to take them because seattle is still a favorite. NO LINES INVOLVED ..
according to my lines I think taking tex is cheap ...taking bos is cheap ..mia of course i posted at plus , back to plus now after a split line most of day...I think the phila line is WAY OUT OF WACK...really d backs worth that much , not playing it though
dog ....how many cents does your line have to differ to the posted lines to make it a play ...10 cents , 20 cent ,when do you make a play ??
I'm more of an angle player which some people believe is a trend player but it's not. It's done well for me over the years and I will play high priced dogs if I feel it's worth it angle or not because if I feel I made that same bet 100 times I will show a profit. This year has been strange I usually bet very little until mid-April but this year I decided that I was going to look at the first two weeks for Home dogs in +120-150/160 range well needless to say Chalk was way strong the first couple of weeks and I was down almost 17 units in the first two weeks. I managed to close out April Down only 5 units if I only left the first two weeks alone I would be haven't one heck of a year. This by the way is documented not according to BT rules but it's just between me and you no other purpose. Delete if necessary.
April 49-57 <5.12>
May Record 70-64 +10.24
June Record 43-45 +1.59
Total 162-166 +6.71
That's 328 Bets and it's not All Star break yet. There WA lines just not always from the books BT assigns but people can get them.
Comments
listed luck
listed luck
listed luck
thats it...too many games but it is what it is
917 cle +120
listed luck
listed luck
listed luck
listed luck
listed luck
listed luck
listed luck
listed luck
listed luck
listed luck
Been working on something and just finishing up for tomorrow
These lines stand out to me and think they will go against you if you like these games. Just my opinion but just for the hell of it see where they close.
CWS -165 up to -170 so far
LAA +120 you can get +124 now
Cards +104 they will IMO become the Favorite
Pitt +128 up to +130 and I think 5 dimes shows +133 on SBR don't know if it's on there site haven't check.
LAD -130 Up to -135 and going higher This will close high IMO
San Diego +129 you can do a few pennies now but not for long.
Not saying I'm betting these I'm looking and if I do nows the time IMO. If you believe your numbers are solid overnights are the way to go.
listed luck
listed luck
cws ...my line -190 ...line now -180 open at -162 so its getting closer to my number, no play
Laa, my line hou -147 line now -131 open at -125 getting closer to my number , no play
stl, my line kc -104 line now kc -118 open at kc -113 ....no play
pit, my line sea -120 line now -154 open at -137 , no play
lad ,my line -138 , line now -131 open at -130 , no play
sd my line bal -158 , line now -145 open at -138 , no play
Now for my play ...I have mia as a fav and they are a dog...ill take
Cle i have as a much much bigger fav and it opened at -165..now -195 and getting closer to my number ...so ill take them on the rd -1.5
about overnights ...its hard for me to do overnights ...first a big part of my model is team oriented ...not pitcher oriented, so i need them to complete the game they are playing to get an accurate number .
good luck on your plays ...am going to try and project my number s now for tomorrow and am going to post ...lets see how it goes and then ill do it again after the games and see how much it changes.
nyy -105
was -118
chc -194
bos -157
chw -119
kc -104
tor -107
ari -115
hou -146
bal -147
sea -121
sf -147
the ones i left out were because am not sure who is starting ...
I have it Seattle -129 so at +160 something I'm gonna really like Pittsburgh.
I have to agree with dog I had Seattle a little higher in -138 range taking back +128 with Pitt. When I seen the number this morning I couldn't believe it and I may be sending a thank you card out. Jets to answer why is like I said if you believe in your numbers and this game goes that high win,lose or draw it's worth a play. It's a game of numbers. Seattle shouldn't be this high against anyone and it's a know fact left handed pitchers have given this team troubles over the last few years. There bullpen is overworked and there on a 8-17 slide in June. I like the way Pitt rebounded from the SF sweep but the one thing I don't like is the travel to Seattle while playing yesterday but it was an early game an they got a jump start so travel shouldn't be a concern. Not saying I'm going to play it but I will certainly look as the day goes on.
Another game I like and will look at is T.Bay and take any + with Archer who isn't pitching bad it's that he can't get any run support and I've watch a lot of Detroit games and know Porcello very well from those days and last year with boston and there's a regression coming for Mr. Porcello and it maybe here and I'm looking to get in on the ground floor.
When is a play a play....i have a rule, its got to be so many cents off my line....its really a dog model so i dont play favorite all that much , even i had seat only lined at -120 now 70 at pinny and 74 at bm ...is it a play for me ,nope ..only because i had sea a favorite and even though you get great value with pitt am not going to take them because seattle is still a favorite. NO LINES INVOLVED ..
according to my lines I think taking tex is cheap ...taking bos is cheap ..mia of course i posted at plus , back to plus now after a split line most of day...I think the phila line is WAY OUT OF WACK...really d backs worth that much , not playing it though
dog ....how many cents does your line have to differ to the posted lines to make it a play ...10 cents , 20 cent ,when do you make a play ??
April 49-57 <5.12>
May Record 70-64 +10.24
June Record 43-45 +1.59
Total 162-166 +6.71
That's 328 Bets and it's not All Star break yet.