Absorbed a couple of multi-unit losses, probably cause of the dog days, so I am re-emphasizing focus on my regular betting and letting the moneyline experiment slide for a few days...
Watching Celtics vs Seventysixers like a hawk today, and if the Celtics show the same lack of enthusiasm hey showed vs the Spurs, Im putting a bunch of units on the Seventysixers...
What was the other reason? Somebody is betting on the Celtics, they are at +1.5 now. It could be they were so lackadaisical the last couple of games because they were gearing up for this game in particular. So if the game starts and froth is oozing from their mouths, I might need to do a 180 and bet the Celtics...
What was the other reason? Somebody is betting on the Celtics, they are at +1.5 now. It could be they were so lackadaisical the last couple of games because they were gearing up for this game in particular. So if the game starts and froth is oozing from their mouths, I might need to do a 180 and bet the Celtics...
you really think those things are true and effect the game?
No, its more subtle than effort/non-effort...its just a few percentage points more or less effort, like the difference between running quickly under a screen to catch up with the player you are guarding, or fighting around the edge of the screener like a maniac so that you never really lose contact with the player you are guarding...
No, its more subtle than effort/non-effort...its just a few percentage points more or less effort, like the difference between running quickly under a screen to catch up with the player you are guarding, or fighting around the edge of the screener like a maniac so that you never really lose contact with the player you are guarding...
interesting seems like that would make all power rankings and modeling worthless if thats true.
I dont think so at all. The effort factor is just more granular. The models and power rankings are more general, showing the boundaries of how well and how poorly players are expected to perform and somewhere between those boundaries is the overall expectation for these players. The players effort level rarely takes them beyond those boundaries but helps dictate whether they perform more toward the better side of those boundaries or more toward the worse side.
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I snuck 2 units on the Seventysixers at -2 at halftime (which is +5 for the game). I got the impression the Celtics were tiring a little...
i hope you sided with me , they taught us in school when taking tests, always go with your first choice.
I hope you made out brother
Looking at it live the Celtics from the start looked fully competent, so I held off. But as the first half started to close there were a bunch of Celtics shots clanking that had been dropping in just a few minutes earlier. So at the half I put 2 units on the Seventysixers at -2 which was the equivalent of +5 for the game. Deep in the fourth quarter the Celtics got within a couple points and I opened up a middle by putting 2 more units on the Celtics at +2. But bird in the hand is worth 2 in the bush...
Comments
W Lakers -1600 vs Pistons ($6.25)
W Clippers . -380 vs Knicks ($26.32)
Record 67-18 ($100 per bet)
+$352.30 total winnings (avg winning per bet: +$352.30 / 85 = +$4.14 per bet)
Celtics -315 vs Wizards ($31.75)
Mavericks -500 vs Bulls ($20.00)
Bucks . -383 vs Spurs ($26.11)
Pacers -240 Vs Hornets ($41.67)
W Mavericks -500 vs Bulls ($20.00)
L Bucks . -383 vs Spurs ($26.11)
W Pacers -240 Vs Hornets ($41.67)
Record 69-20 ($100 per bet)
+$213.97 total winnings (avg winning per bet: +$213.97 / 89 = +$2.40 per bet)
Absorbed a couple of multi-unit losses, probably cause of the dog days, so I am re-emphasizing focus on my regular betting and letting the moneyline experiment slide for a few days...
Watching Celtics vs Seventysixers like a hawk today, and if the Celtics show the same lack of enthusiasm hey showed vs the Spurs, Im putting a bunch of units on the Seventysixers...
you really think those things are true and effect the game?
I have the 76ers at pickem on my model with Embiid out
interesting seems like that would make all power rankings and modeling worthless if thats true.
- - - Updated - - -
I snuck 2 units on the Seventysixers at -2 at halftime (which is +5 for the game). I got the impression the Celtics were tiring a little...
I hope you made out brother
Looking at it live the Celtics from the start looked fully competent, so I held off. But as the first half started to close there were a bunch of Celtics shots clanking that had been dropping in just a few minutes earlier. So at the half I put 2 units on the Seventysixers at -2 which was the equivalent of +5 for the game. Deep in the fourth quarter the Celtics got within a couple points and I opened up a middle by putting 2 more units on the Celtics at +2. But bird in the hand is worth 2 in the bush...