The Astros destroy the four seam range that Bundy sits at. I was going to play some hitters, but because many Astros struggle with the slider, I think this is the most +EV way to attack this game
Drew Smyly o15.5 outs (-104) 1.04u
The under is (-127) and is definitely the more likely side given all the righties, but I believe that Kapler will be looking for an excuse to not go to the bullpen too early, given that Velasquez and Arrieta pitch the next two games of the series.
Plus, I think the Phillies play well offensively today, which means Smyly is more likely to be able to bunt when he's at the dish.
Comments
- - - Updated - - -
Oh hey . Smyly went 5 2/3rds.
1-1 today +0.19u
Overall 192-149 +26.40u