Betting Talk

Punchline MLB Picks 18 BM openers, PS closers

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Comments

  • danshandanshan Senior Member
    edited July 2018
    I think line wise they are close currently, I do not have any skills to analyze their pitching skills. I only analyze them comparatively on their line value over the past few games. I still believe even though the line closed closer than that, the starters are line equal right now the difference of -110 is the HF adv and the comparison of the two teams
  • danshandanshan Senior Member
    edited July 2018
    7-2 Model Plays
    Twins +133
    Reds U9.5 -105
  • danshandanshan Senior Member
    edited July 2018
    Before 7-2 Plays
    SDQL Plays
    26-21 55.3%

    avg line 64.54%
    Units -16.6
    CLV .10%

    Model Record before 7-1 plays
    67-77 46.53%
    Units -7.26
    avg line 48.58%
    CLV .32%
  • danshandanshan Senior Member
    edited July 2018
    danshan wrote: »
    Before 7-2 Plays
    SDQL Plays
    26-21 55.3%

    avg line 64.54%
    Units -16.6
    CLV .10%

    Model Record before 7-2 plays
    67-77 46.53%
    Units -7.26
    avg line 48.58%
    CLV .32%
    update with before 7-2 Plays so I dont get confused
  • BuckyBadgerBuckyBadger Senior Member
    edited July 2018
    You've mentioned a couple of times that you feel your baseball model plays are becoming stronger. thru the 26th you were -2.51 units, thru 6/14 you were -4.71 units, and basically a month ago you were -2.67 units. The model plays now sit at -7.26. Why do you feel so strongly that your model is getting better?
  • danshandanshan Senior Member
    edited July 2018
    CLV average for all games before 6-12 +.04% games after 6-11 +1.09% and +1.36% if you take out the two games I doubled on so I did not have plays on both sides.
  • danshandanshan Senior Member
    edited July 2018
    7-3 Model Play
    Orioles +150
  • danshandanshan Senior Member
    edited July 2018
    Rodney is a joke, what does he think he is in the ghetto, he is pitching on TV as a multi million dollar business man, what an embarrassment. I have seen it before it just got to me tonight, pathetic he should just pull his pants down and show his boxers too!
  • RonbetsRonbets Senior Member
    edited July 2018
    danshan wrote: »
    Rodney is a joke, what does he think he is in the ghetto, he is pitching on TV as a multi million dollar business man, what an embarrassment. I have seen it before it just got to me tonight, pathetic he should just pull his pants down and show his boxers too!

    My post from last year:

    "Maybe Fernando Rodney should take up archery or perhaps fishing like his dad....soon."
  • danshandanshan Senior Member
    edited July 2018
    Before 7-3 Plays
    SDQL Plays
    26-21 55.3%

    avg line 64.54%
    Units -16.6
    CLV .10%

    Model Record before 7-3 plays
    68-78 46.58%
    Units -7.02
    avg line 48.59%
    CLV .35%
  • jets96jets96 Senior Member
    edited July 2018
    yo brother what line you have for phila ....mine is crazy higher ..
  • danshandanshan Senior Member
    edited July 2018
    today I have the Phillies -135
  • jets96jets96 Senior Member
    edited July 2018
    I want to bet the phillies so bad , if i did that then all the work ive done in the past gets thrown out the window , remember i told you about how i take games , well one is borderline and the other way higher ....gotta pass....and thanks

    oh ok what about milu ...strong lean towards them as well its only a play if mil gets to -130 or less
  • danshandanshan Senior Member
    edited July 2018
    I have the Brewers -137

    - - - Updated - - -

    but they played each other before the starters and it was -120 so it might go the other way
  • jets96jets96 Senior Member
    edited July 2018
    ok thanks ...i hope you have more reasons then that pal
  • danshandanshan Senior Member
    edited July 2018
    dont anyone like the dodgers under Kershaw seems ok again and the dodgers got to be tired from the 4 hours of batting practice last night, score should be low

    - - - Updated - - -

    Jets are you not considering the Blue Jays today?
  • jets96jets96 Senior Member
    edited July 2018
    fwiw tor -125 model number one , so without seeing lineups ...prob not
  • danshandanshan Senior Member
    edited July 2018
    SDQL play 7-3
    Indians -171
  • danshandanshan Senior Member
    edited July 2018
    Model Plays 7-4
    Cardinals +132
    Mariners -104

    - - - Updated - - -

    Rangers 10U -109
  • jets96jets96 Senior Member
    edited July 2018
    lmfao ...what you have for the sox today ??
  • danshandanshan Senior Member
    edited July 2018
    I did not do the Sox game today, I hope they win by 15 runs though
  • danshandanshan Senior Member
    edited July 2018
    Before 7-4 Plays
    SDQL Plays
    27-21 56.25%

    avg line 64.46%
    Units -15.6
    CLV .07%

    Model Record before 7-4 plays
    68-79 46.26%
    Units -7.68
    avg line 48.52%
    CLV .35%
  • danshandanshan Senior Member
    edited July 2018
    7-4 SDQL Play
    A's -163
  • danshandanshan Senior Member
    edited July 2018
    7-4 SDQL Play
    Dodgers -230
  • danshandanshan Senior Member
    edited July 2018
    Before 7-5 Plays
    SDQL Plays
    29-21 58%

    avg line 64.47%
    Units -13.6
    CLV .07%

    Model Record before 7-5 plays
    70-80 46.67%
    Units -6.72
    avg line 48.59%
    CLV .42%
  • danshandanshan Senior Member
    edited July 2018
    7-6 Model Play
    Nats U9 -116
  • jets96jets96 Senior Member
    edited July 2018
    what you think about cubs reds game ...i have a side both models agree on this ...but the distance of the line isnt exactly where it needs to be for a play just yet
  • danshandanshan Senior Member
    edited July 2018
    I got Montgomery -167
  • jets96jets96 Senior Member
    edited July 2018
    models like the cubbies today am going to pass

    luck today
  • danshandanshan Senior Member
    edited July 2018
    its for sure a pass I could not find one good game today! that stupid U and it looks screwed!
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