homerplayer
homerplayer · Senior Member
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and we got there, this CLV thing is easy... Politics Other Sports Money Line US Presidential Election - Winner Tue 11/8 101 Hillary Clinton wins Election -485 8:00AM 102 Field wins Presidential Election +385 Disclaimer: the opening line…
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(Quote) i thank you for that Ron, miss BT a ton, but stupid busy. been too long though. ethics aside, i think this question of health is going to depreciate the line some, at least i hope it does for the next 2-3 weeks. she is doing her best to ge…
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wished i would've stopped in 2 days ago. made one play on Bernie +170 to win Oklahoma. 538 has become my bible. now i have shifted to building positions on Clinton. However, she is -190, but the generic dem to win election is -185 so using that one…
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9 - 9 (.85) Ari Over 45 Ten 2.5
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TB 1 KC Over 44
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7 - 8 (1.75) Bal 2.5 -115 Pinny
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Mia -1.5
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St L Over 48.5 Hou 6 Dal 1 really though peeps would keep pushing the falcons there.
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Pit Ov 46 Ari Ov 45.5 NYG 2.5 Hou +3 NE +1
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2-3 (1.30) Den +3 +105 graded at -110
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Den Ov 46.5
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Ind Over 22.5 2nd H Got 23.5 +118 myself
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0-1 (1.10) Car 3 TB Under 41
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(Quote) 1. i recognize that i know nothing. 2. i trust the opinions of the thousands of bettors shaping the final price 3. i play a few games early based on overnight moves 4. i check in 10 minutes before game time. 5. i now sell my position anytim…
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August went well. YTD w/o options +3.18 Units w/options +18.90 Units +CLV 64.93% of games
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i skipped the end of June update as i wanted to wait to cross the 1,000 game threshold, which we didn't. only 850-ish bets in. a touch disconcerting to be at 64.40% CLV, ended with a 2-12 run final weekend before ASG break. 201-215 +2.40 +CLV 13-17…
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oh look, we ground out another profit. the GAA of your past 5 Cup winners with most recent are now 2 1 1 2 1 feelin like the cris carter of BT now, all i do is win...
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Win - working out well. 2,400 bets in dating back to last season. Rich/Wraps - in agreement on the Market failing to reach 100% efficiency. in disagreement on long term losing assertion. but we will have data OTA moving forward. D - we don't want …
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not ignoring this thread or any comments, but you would not believe how hard they make it to earn a Masters of Finance degree, while working full time. started new position monday as well, that carried a 22% bump, did i already tell you that? forgiv…
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5/19/15 9:05pm NHL Hockey 57 Chicago Blackhawks Over 2½ -110* vs Anaheim Ducks
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we can debate the strategy when the season ends, which at that time, combined with last season, will put me near 4,000 wagers. fairly deep sample size by that point. only stopped in today to mark what i hope was low water on the 'crushing' ones as D…
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and i forgot to say, in the humblest manor possible, when this idea hit me, i was like holy fuck, i should write a book and cash in on this idea. if there were a nobel prize in the realm of gambling, i totally deserve that shit. when comprehended i…
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Called those fuckers, wanted me to pay $250 for the 'investor's kit'. Bay - exactly what TommyL said TommyL - i purchase my contracts either the night before when i go to bed or between 6 and 7 am EST the next day. on a day like today when nothing…
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maybe 7 years ago manny had a chance. well, guess he still has puncher's chance, but if he doesn't catch lightning in a bottle in the first 3 rounds, it is over. his punch output has dropped. his punch % has dropped. his offense has always been defe…
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never an issue here jets.. now that the season has gone final we can dig deeper into the logic (if any) behind the 5 choices, and if any would be dropped at this point. we should start with Benn winning 'scoring' title, a misnomer if there has ever…
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(Quote) unsure what you saw or when you went. odds pretty much the same as when i posted, except the Rangers are getting hammered: New York Rangers +675 Chicago Blackhawks +900 New York Islanders +950 Anaheim Ducks +950 Minnesota Wild +1000 L…
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(Quote) I believe that is a false statement. Nonetheless, we are obliged to play our roles. You talk, I post winners. Just what we do. But I do plan on starting a thread that drills deeper than that. Should be fun and insightful, if we can pry s…
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(Quote) i'll join the self congrats theme!!! keep this in mind for next time, assuming Brady doesn't retire, L4 games vs top 10 rush defenses (non div, those game are different) Brady avg ~50 attempts per game...yes, sometimes it is that easy.
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2/1/15 6:25pm* Props*Football* 5256 R.Gronkowski no TD scored +125* vs R.Gronkowski scores a TD* 2/1/15 6:25pm* Props*Football* 159 L.Blount rush attempts/. Over 14½*+110** 2/1/15 6:25pm* Props*Football* 177 M.Lynch rushing yards/. Under 82½*+145** …
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(Quote) i respect everyone's view on this game and wouldn't have started thread if I didn't. My take comes down to whom does belicheat want to put his SB chances in the hands of? Does he give the dope smoking, punch throwing (2X) playing on his 5th…