baseRunner
baseRunner · Senior Member
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(Quote) post of the month
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I have no data to back this up at the moment, but it does seem like bullpens are particularly bad as of late.
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(Quote) Wait, so you're saying that you actually "faded" someone's plays? Like- you blindly bet real money on the opposite side, as if it were a profitable strategy? I am now beginning to suspect underwraps might actually be trolling in ~…
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(Quote) The playing all favorites/ all dogs/ all road/ all X isn't necessarily a cause for alarm. Over 90% of my totals plays this year have been unders, and ive probably played close to 200 so far. I've gotten soundly crushed though. So maybe my o…
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(Quote) The lengthier version of what I was trying to say: market confirmation should be used as a guideline and supporting evidence of future success and monitoring of results. But not as a benchmarker for roi. There are much better ways of estima…
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(Quote) Unless you have specific data that suggests otherwise.
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(Quote) You can vastly outperform an expected return based solely on efficiency assumptions. MLB market is far from efficient.
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Lol, thanks for the laugh. Right there with ya.
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That's why its squared error- so that it's always positive. Think of it this way, the closing lines could be completely efficient and RMSE could still be "high." Reason being: efficiency means that if the game were played infinitely many …
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(Quote) Is that what he's saying? I could have sworn it was: "Mother- f$#%king Doubront! Mother- f$#%king Doubront! Terrible, awful f$%&cking pick! COCKASSSHITDICKFUCKMOTHER-PPFFFFFFFF"
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(Quote) Classic golfer.
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Golfer here's another one. Don't scroll ahead at all though, every second of it is important. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=PbcctWbC8Q0
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Get em, fogger!
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Durito- take all 4-6 point road dogs with a total of > 195 and where the total also dropped 1.5 points or more. Syndicates got crushed on those plays.
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(Quote) Ah, what a shame.
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I just want to take a moment and thank everyone who posted in this shit-tornado of a thread. Reading this made my afternoon a little merrier. Wraps- link/bump said golfer thread?
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(Quote) That's fine if you're only looking to play 2 or 3 games a day. You'll never make 100+ units a season that way though. I'd rather be on the wrong side occasionally if it means my volume stays high and the time invested stays minimal.
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I do remember an epic crash- on an Astros/Angles series, I believe. That was great.
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This is now my favorite thread.
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Would be nice if they actually took new accounts.
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If you're just betting for entertainment go for it, as long as you can stomach losing the last leg. It's really no different than blindly betting huge chalk every day at -2500. You'll likely start off winning, and will probably even win for a while…
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(Quote) Yes, I work alone. And no I didn't have ATL, but I was rooting for Pap to blow up in the ninth anyway. I hate that guy.
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Ive been burying closers all year- massive, unbelievable advantages all over the place, and playing huge volume every day. And I have an absolutely incredible 4-39 run to show for it over the past week or so. I'm actually starting to get nostalgic f…
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50/50 FedEx or DHL. Either way takes a week for me.
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(Quote) No. Bank drafts consistently take a week for me.
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Love it. One small suggestion- would be great to have a dropdown menu for Discussion and Picks sections when hovering on the "Forum" tab at the top of the page. No biggie, but would save a click and make navigation less cumbersome.
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Couldn't resist bumping: Kole Calhoun doubles (2) on a fly ball to center fielder Juan Lagares. One out. Just now Raul Ibanez homers (3) on a fly ball to right field. One out. 1 min ago Albert Pujols homers (3) on a fly ball to left field. One ou…
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Yeah, they do all kinds of shady cancelling, usually on overnights and live wagers. I usually get an email when they do this, surprised you didn't get one. If you contact them I'm sure their cs will tell you it was a bad line due to human error. Pro…
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I lost over half my bankroll on mlb in the last 3 days. Life goes on golfer.
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Isn't he basically releasing into closing lines? Likely that the only line value you'll get there is the steam from your subs. My guess is that he's playing the early season market inefficiencies that he sees, which has the added bonus of offering …