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BigFish

BigFish · Member

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BigFish
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  • (Quote) I've since looked into it on several books' rules, and TommyL appears to be 100% correct.
  • (Quote) Guys, this is being resumed today. How should this affect wagers made on the game?
  • (Quote) Not that weird. BG even says on his site that you can probably obtain a better line in many cases. Glad to hear it's true. :)
  • One more question, with apologies if this has already been addressed (seems too obvious not to have been, but I can't find the answer in this thread). I note that the new service appears to be MLB sides only. How much of BG's success on the forum…
  • Just noticed this thread, and immediately signed up with BGPicks for the year. Good stuff. Here's my question for Ed/BG/anyone who knows: Does BG anticipate offering any other sports, other than baseball? And if so, which ones?
  • I was kinda' hoping this too, before some knucklehead poster complains too much and drives him off this forum.
  • Awesome Fishboom! I'll be watching and rooting for you (and thereafter, probably racing off to my local WalMart/QVC/whatever to support the product you're selling!
  • (Quote) After reading this thread, it strikes me that you guys are serious about Coops actually putting interns to work on tracking Cappers. That is awesome. Coops, you are my hero and if I ever see you in a NYC bar, drinks are on me! All kiddi…
  • I've toyed around with following Stuckey and So Money. I encountered the same problem with both -- you frequently can't get the line they quote. I didn't dig deep enough to ascertain whether they are causing the line movement with their plays, o…
  • (Quote) Turksure: I like the new design (color scheme, fonts, etc.), but I was mostly referring to the content, including the article that is the subject of this thread.
  • Pulse: Assuming your book allows it, one excellent way to maximize the value of your free play is as follows: Bet the entire $1K on a large underdog moneyline. Find another book and bet the favorite for an amount to win $1K. Try to find a book …
    in Free Play Comment by BigFish August 2013
  • (Quote) Buffet, what say you??? You going to post some of that NFL magic here on the new BettingTalk or what??
  • (Quote) Looks like you're safe!
  • I don't typically comment on political issues, but Homerplayer really nailed it with his post above. Especially the first paragraph. If I ever met John Kyle I'd choke him out. It would be worth the year or two in jail.
  • Fishboom: Congrats on all the winners. Do you plan on keeping it going in this thread, or starting a new March thread? Best of luck going forward, and thanks for all of your contributions! BigFish
  • Mike: Listen to the pros chiming in above. And as someone with TONS of experience with locals, I'll tell you that they tend to wake up very fast when you start winning. If and when he does wake up and look at your history, those middle plays will…
  • Mike: based on those numbers I think you should only play Pacers. Bobcats appears to have very little value at that line (assuming the 5 Dimes line is prevailing). Use the 5 Dimes drop down menu if possible to see what the corresponding money lin…
  • In the long run I think the answer is yes, assuming the game total that you're comparing it to is from a sharp book (i.e., Pinny, etc.). This may not be the MOST plus EV play, however. The better way to go about this is to compare the mispriced TT…
  • (Quote) TommyL set it forth above, in terms of raw numbers. The reason is because an increase in your cost by one percent is not the same as increasing your BE by one percent. Two different things.
  • (Quote) Good, thanks. Didn't even realize it was presented that way. Glad it's fixed though.
  • (Quote) I have good news for you: your calculation above of the adjusted break even win rate is completely wrong, and that $800 fee does not raise your adjusted break even nearly as much as you think. 52.8% would get you there.
  • (Quote) Sorry, my last post was inelegantly worded. I was just wondering if anyone else had a view on the ASU line. Like Craig's post below. Thanks again Jets, I really appreciate the info.
  • Thanks, Jets96. Any other opinions??
  • I could swear that one of the books did the exact same thing 4 years ago. Anyone remember that?
  • I don't know how to link to a thread, but its the one Ed started re: compiling a list of handicappers who move lines.
  • (Quote) Coops: Please help: The guy you mention above, who knows his bball stuff...is that the first, second, or third twitter handle that you listed in the prior thread?
  • Have to agree with the other posters who suggest that you've done nothing but solid work here, Tribe. Keep it up. As far as college hoops, what do you plan to post here? Will you be posting total plays? Openers? Very interested.... Thanks agai…
  • Stevie: How do you plan to release your plays? A countdown timer, similar to RAS, I assume? Or in some other manner? Congrats on all your success, thank you for all the winners, and best of luck in the new endeavor!!
  • I agree that Obama wins in November (although I'm not happy about it), but I think the price has gotten too inflated. This race will tighten. The lines makers have overreacted to the current news cycle. The Romney video/comments making news this w…
  • Gator fan here, but an unbiased one. The play on the side, IMO, is A&M, for reasons stated above. UF just isn't anything on offense. I also love the under for reasons stated by NFLPICKSGUY. I got 52 early in the week, would play it all the w…