dont pay attention to +- theydont mean anything but it seems to me you are lower on faves than I am and you are higher in dogs than me. I am not sure what to see here. you told me to compare but I am sorry Jets I dont know really what to compare??? it feels like your lines are more back to the center than mine I think.
I think I am going to stop posting lines and picks and just read what people say that I can maybe get something from. Like you said no one gives a shit about my plays or lines anyway. Thanks for all your help and exchanges, its really appreciated thanks again!
BUT i WILL not quit working and striving to get better with my models.
I think i got miami -.5 and I took them at +1.5, Phoenix does not look good at 10 just because the line to me is higher and they are playing to lose and OKC needs to get some wins
I cant believe that game is still at 10, I think it will go higher like you said big faves get late cash from the open market and I think popular teams like Rockets cavs thunder warriors for sure get pushed up at almost every game.
if I was going to bet the Suns I would not bet them till post time
dont pay attention to +- theydont mean anything but it seems to me you are lower on faves than I am and you are higher in dogs than me. I am not sure what to see here. you told me to compare but I am sorry Jets I dont know really what to compare??? it feels like your lines are more back to the center than mine I think.
like last night you had no 3.5 ...i had them 8 and got them at -5.5 2.5 pts of value , you had 2.5 pts of value on sac , am thinking you had that kind of advantage why wouldnt you take them
in cases where the side is 2 or over and I dont play it is usually because I assume that I am missing something key, like a cavs warrior big fave thing or maybe an injured player I might not be rating appropriately, I have a theory if I got notes and my line is off I usually avoid, if the game is clean I bet it 2 or more on sides and 3 or more on totals.
Comments
Date team My line Jets line closing line
3/7 Pacers 2 2.59 1.5
3/7 Raptors -4 -6.56 -5
3/7 Bulls -2.5 -2.85 -3.5
3/7 Rockets -4.5 -9.93 -6
3/7 Pelicans -3.5 -8 -6
3/7 Nuggets -3 -1.09 -3.5
3/7 Lakers -4 -6.58 -6.5
3/6 76ers -0.5 2.27 -1.5
3/6 raptors 14.5 13.39 12.5
3/6 wizards -4 1.64 -4
3/6 rockets -3.5 7.39 -5.5
3/6 nuggets -5 4.31 6.5
3/6 blazers -8.5 11.31 -9.5
3/6 warriors 16.5 15.48 14.5
3/6 Pelicans 3 2.37 2
3/4 Hawks -2.5 2.11 -1.5
3/4 Raptors -8 11 -8.5
3/4 Pelicans -3 8.17 -3.5
3/4 76ers 1.5 4.54 -1.5
3/4 Clippers -9.5 8.26 7.5
3/4 Knicks -1 0.27 -2
3/4 Wizards -3 -1.65 -4
3/5 Cavs -6 -4.48 -6
3/5 pacers -2 4.74 -2.5
3/5 heat -10.5 8.26 -9.5
3/5 celtics -11.5 8.17 7
3/5 spurs -11.5 10.47 -12.5
3/5 jazz -10 7.23 -9.5
3/5 trailblazers -5 1.06 -2
phi 1.64
bos 2.12
okc 8.24
gsw 10.40
BUT i WILL not quit working and striving to get better with my models.
I cant believe that game is still at 10, I think it will go higher like you said big faves get late cash from the open market and I think popular teams like Rockets cavs thunder warriors for sure get pushed up at almost every game.
if I was going to bet the Suns I would not bet them till post time
like last night you had no 3.5 ...i had them 8 and got them at -5.5 2.5 pts of value , you had 2.5 pts of value on sac , am thinking you had that kind of advantage why wouldnt you take them