Do any of you follow Alan Boston on Twitter?
RonyBallgame
Senior Member
Been on a remarkable run in college hoops sides for the last few weeks. Giving plays away for free and providing reasoning for plays in many cases. I've read a little on him and seems to be quite sharp. An interesting follow nonetheless.
Comments
Alan Boston hoops
Xavier....covered by 1/2 point
Air Force...blown out by 29 getting 11
Colorado State ....blown out by 22 getting 11
pretty scary
How can the results of any 3 game sample be scary?
Do you think he'll continue to hit 80% in the next 3 weeks? Or the rest of the year?
In the past. he has given out picks after the lines had knocked around.
He has already given out more than half of what posted last year for the whole season and hit over 56%. His picks over the last 3 years have lost. Think he has been about break even or slightly better with his own bets over that time frame from what I have pieced together.
Lines have moved against him seemingly about half the time in this stretch.
Hope he has a good year. The guy deserves a good run.
the dead sides are scary. he is well under 50 pct on cbb twitter last 3 yrs
3 games = meaningless
3 years = meaningful
like i said scary i never mentioned the word meaningful
monmouth... dead side outright favorite loser on the road
1-1 yesterday
He has posted over 1000 picks on twitter the last four season and is slightly negative. His first year was apparently something like 60% although he did not have a winning year personally. Overall, he is slightly positive.
He is likely a breakeven bettor and I would expect coinflips going forward since he mostly posts the stuff that has either not moved or moved against him. His personal betting is multiples of his twitter picks.
He is still a little bit sharp and a game he really likes is probably going to win at a good rate.
"Unfortunately, nearly everything I liked moved. However, nearly is not all. That is sort of the good news. What some would consider the bad news is we are fighting people who bet enough to move a line, and therefore likely know what they are doing. Maybe so, but I have faith in what I am doing. Also, this is not Mr Walters we are trying to beat"
When you are following his picks or judging his performance, you must realize he is not giving you his best picks. He is mostly giving you his WORST. The best stuff is gone.
baylor...dead money side..was 6 point dog ended 8 point dog..lose by 24 with top two forwards out for that game
texas... 2- point home dog ended 4 point dog.. lost by 6
0-2
"In case I am too disgusted when I wake up, here is what I like.... and a few others that r probably not worth a f--- either."
He is now holding out on Twitter picks though due to a tout selling his picks and a group betting a "blue million" and making more than he "would ever need."
As I noted previously, his picks have been moving against him a strangely high number of the time and his picks have been easily obtainable all season. He says the group has been betting against his picks and then coming back in with heavy money. This past Saturday almost all his picks went against and he says a mint was made.
This would not be surprising except for the fact that his picks do not close at better numbers so far as I have noticed and it would seem the picks would light up the board if such heavy action was coming in. He says he has received confirmation from someone in the industry that it has happened.
There is a good number of professional bettors here. Is it plausible that a group could bet that kind of money and the line not close at better numbers or not produce notable line moves that light up the board. I know he has written about betting and "not moving the screen" in the past which he was upset about with RAS blasting lines he wanted before he could get them.
I assumed that meant he was betting with locals and not moving the numbers. Is it possible this group could make that kind of money and not move the lines substantially?
In years' past, he was one of the few guys who I would occasionally tail. However, once he started giving his reasoning this year, it gave me pause. He would talk about ancient history about the program and other reasoning that didn't seem solid. Lately, he has been burned badly by not knowing about key player injuries (until after the game started). I'm not faulting him - just recognizing that that is why RAS and others probably don't like to give their reasoning - it only leads to second-guessing by the player.
That's another reason I found it strange that a major group would bet his games when his Twitter picks have not won and he has even mocked himself for betting games with key injuries. I am not sure he would even be betting games this year if not for his loyalty to his Twitter followers. He literally just opened up Blue Ribbon and started firing on Day 1.
He got into it though and has been deep into it for a while but does not do as much work as in the past.
Alan had the world by the balls at one point and was probably the premier college basketball handicapper out there. He was betting boatloads and winning at a high rate. This of course was a time before the don best screen existed, you tracked scores watching a pager, news wasn't readily available on your computer and computer modeling or even ratings as simple as kenpom were not available. At this point you are witnessing a dinosaur attempt to win at an infinitely tougher game than the one he dominated.
When he's reading articles and following closely and betting overnights, I think he can win. But the fact he was releasing overnights on twitter and is in the current position he is in should let you know his current bankroll position. Again, I like reading his twitter feed just because its like you dropped a dinosaur into present times. You under no circumstances can bet his picks he gives at post tweets and expect to win.
I like to follow him because it is a window into the mind of a true contrarian. He is basically the betting version of Benjamim Graham. He did not learn it. It is completely natural. If he had bet in the 80s, there is no telling how much money he would have made.