Handicapping Trends and Stats
Bennie
Senior Member
While I have no opinion on tonights game I thought I would share this info
with the board. I have found over the years that NFL teams with better
than average defenses and receiveing 3 or more points will get the cover
80 percent of the time at home or away. Look at these games yesterday for
example: Jacksonville + 3 Chicago + 8 NY Giants + 3 Carolina + 6 Buffalo +
3.5 and Miami + 4.5 something to consider when making your
bets.
with the board. I have found over the years that NFL teams with better
than average defenses and receiveing 3 or more points will get the cover
80 percent of the time at home or away. Look at these games yesterday for
example: Jacksonville + 3 Chicago + 8 NY Giants + 3 Carolina + 6 Buffalo +
3.5 and Miami + 4.5 something to consider when making your
bets.
Comments
I agree with your assessment, the 80% figure seems a little high.
The question I have is how do you determine what an "above-average"
defense is? I'm not sure I would call NY Giants an above-average defense.
I know you have been very successful, I was curious if you had a yardstick
on how you measure what a good defense is.
I enjoy your contributions to this board, always fun to talk handicapping.
question for you do you agree that the Giants defense is much improved
under Tom Coughlin we will find out as the season goes along.
appreciate the stat and will look into it. Thanks
be wrong.
I agree that good defenses cause turnovers. However, so do bad
quaterbacks!
The Giants defense will improve as the year goes by, partially due to
Coughlin and partially due to the six new starters in the front seven will
have better cohesion through experience playing together.
I was mainly curious how you rated what a good defense is.
statistical data to help me determine the quality of offenses and defenses
but with free agency and many teams turning over up to as high as 20% of
their staff and players each year you almost have to do individual
assesment of players and coaches. I firmly believe that defense starts
with discipline from the coaching staff and filters down to the players.
Tom Coughlin is a very disciplined coach who will demand discipline from
his coaches and players which is why they were able to hold Washington to
14 points yesterday in Washington. In other words good defenses bend but
don't break.