Betting Talk

footballpix and anyone else>>>

jaysonjayson Senior Member
edited October 2004 in Sports Betting
Always look forward to your plays, esp. college football...I was really
hopnig you were going to be on tampa tonight w/ the 5* play, or have a
total playl...I have no idea how Tampa covers, but I have to go against
you tonight and take them.....now to the point...I saw below that you
mentioned the line dropped tonight and that "public" was on tampa. Do
you really think it's the public on them, or could it just be sharp
money? All the consensus sites I use have about 80% of the action on St
Louis?

Books got crushed on both 4 oclock games yesterday w/ the Steelers and
Broncos covering, as well as last night w/ the Vikings covering. I really
can't see the books getting crushed again tonight. Why is the line less
than a converted touchdown? I think the books get most of the money they
lost on the 4oclocks and last nights game back tonight on the most heavily
bet game of the week.
I hope this doesnt come off the wrong way, because I have a ton of respect
for your plays.
Also i should note that I've won about 4,000 in college this year, and
lost about 3500 in NFL this year...so St Louis should probably be the play
tonight.
comments welcome.

Comments

  • footballpixfootballpix Senior Member
    edited October 2004
    I am watching the # fluctuate between 6, 6.5 and top at 7. One reason is
    likely that it's a key number. Sharp money, public money, or what have
    you. Personally, I feel "sharp" money gets the number when it's posted,
    right away... after that the rest of the world takes over and the number
    moves where it will. Sharps would only invest if they get the numbers that
    they want.

    Anyway, my play is based on several factors but a big one is Brian Griese
    and the TB offense. SO many problems at RB, WR, O-Line and worse, Griese
    is the poorest excuse for a QB short of Jonathan Quinn in Chicago. No
    confidence in him at all and his supporting cast. I also feel that the
    situation in TB with Gruden and his players is very poor and while they
    won't flat-out quit, there is an underlying tension that can affect
    performance. I don't feel the Rams are world beaters but they have a
    strong home field and will want to carry momentum from last week's
    comeback in Seattle. Now that the Hawks have lost 2 straight, the Rams
    have an opportunity to take some control in the division. I think the
    spread may also be a perception of what happened last week with the Bucs
    at New Orleans, when they won. 2nd straight roadie will be tough on Griese
    and the TB team. The Rams should be able to do enough to cover a number I
    think is short...
    At least that is what my thoughts are here.
  • jaysonjayson Senior Member
    edited October 2004
    m
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