Seems to be everyone's favorite. I have the series with T.B +110. This Under is a little scary this has a chance of a double Empty Net nothing to lose. I see people are betting the Caps and if I didn't have the series I would still bet TB. Game 6 was a great game played by the Caps and I don't think they can get to that level of emotion in this yes even a game 7 to play for the cup in two days. T.B has to improve it's 5 on 5 play or they're going home. Just found out the best Ref in the NHL Wes McCauley (Confirmed) will be there and he'll let them play so it should be a good game. It won't be easy for the Home Team. GL it should be good.
Baseball
4/23 -5/20
45-44 +1.18 Hockey
4/23 -5/20
20-11 +8.55
Series Bets
0-3 .65> Updated
T.Bay +110 Lose <1.00>
5/21-5/27
5/21 Baseball 1-1 +0.15
5/21 Hockey 2-0 +2.00
5/22 Baseball <1.14>
5/22 Hockey No Plays
5/23 Baseball +0.97
5/23 Hockey +1.00
5/24 Baseball <1.00>
5/24 Hockey No Plays
#970 Cleveland -122 I don't get this number and movement. I can give you 5 solid reasons why to play Cleveland yet the market disagrees so what am I missing? I guess I'll find out when the L goes up. This should be a pass but I must play this game.
I think the Kluber games is at -130 because they just played a few days ago and it was Kluber +100 on the road so figure 30 cents or so home field that kinda could be a reason but I truly agree KLuber at home against Keuchel seems like easy money but got to give some love to the Astros can knock you out anytime. Astros with that lineup got knockout power anytime
Cleveland's line is starting to climb as I expected and that's where timing comes in. I thought the opener -145 was fair and it was bet to -156 right away which chased me for the time being and when I seen the low 20's I bet it. I thought it would correct but There's still plenty of time so it can reverse. See I believe the market is very efficient but they're are times I will go against it not often because I believe and I'm talking from experience that if you consistently bet against the market thinking your going to win long term you're mistaken JMO. Don't misunderstand I'm talking about real moves not about a couple of pennies here and there I know you understand that.
For the most part my numbers haven't done as well as last year so I've been making less overnight plays because of lack of confidence but it seems to be getting better. Your not going to get them all right but you need to get a high % of the correct move. I want to get the same price as the originators or few pennies off is ok. H ,Ras and there's some others. I know you don't believe that the market is efficient and I know I won't change your mind and I actually don't want to we all have our ways and I can only wish you good luck. I don't mean to be rude and of course you can give your opinion but I'm not up for a discussion. We see different things and the discussion won't go anywhere. Sorry if that's sounds closed minded but I've been around too long and have done ok to look at other opinions concerning betting lines.
I 100% agree the market is effecient overall but I dont believe all games are effecient, anyway no discussion. I 100% think you know what you are talking about and if you think my twisted and weird personality has made that blurry, I hope this clears that up. Like I said I do like Kluber in this game and I think -135 is fair good luck!
what do you have the Dodgers at with Wood ?? I got like -235 and -190 looks like a steal am I way off in your opinion?
Wood -215 Funny you bring him up he's been my go against pitcher this year. Not crazy about Lyles tomorrow so will see. But I've just been betting against and up a little but the Dodgers have been playing better so I may trash that idea.
I think Lyles for some reason is way stronger on the odds this year than last and he has not shown anything except that MIkolas game that he should be. I think -190 is a steal but I am scared the Dodgers have a ton of personalities and some of them can look like a NL Champion and some others not so much!
This Sanchez is brutal behind the plate. He does even know how to turn his glove. The Yankees are playing with fire. DH him and when you have to rest a player then Catch him. But as the every day catcher IDK. It’s every game balls get by him. I hope I live to see the day he’s gone
Baseball
4/23 -5/20
45-44 +1.18 Hockey
4/23 -5/20
20-11 +8.55 Series Bets
0-3 .65> Updated
5/21-5/27
5/21 Baseball 1-1 +0.15
5/21 Hockey 2-0 +2.00
5/22 Baseball 1-2 <1.14>
5/22 Hockey No Plays
5/23 Baseball 2-1 +0.97
5/23 Hockey +1.00
5/24 Baseball 0-1 <1.00>
5/24 Hockey No Plays
5/25 Baseball 2-4 <2.35>
5/25 Hockey No Plays
Baseball
4/23 -5/20
45-44 +1.18 Hockey
4/23 -5/20
20-11 +8.55 Series Bets
0-3 .65> Updated
5/21-5/27
5/21 Baseball 1-1 +0.15
5/21 Hockey 2-0 +2.00
5/22 Baseball 1-2 <1.14>
5/22 Hockey No Plays
5/23 Baseball 2-1 +0.97
5/23 Hockey +1.00
5/24 Baseball 0-1 <1.00>
5/24 Hockey No Plays
5/25 Baseball 2-4 <2.35>
5/25 Hockey No Plays
5/26 Baseball 2-2 <0.12>
5/26 Hockey No Plays
Baseball 5/26
#922 Cleveland +103 Win +103
#903 Mets +135 Lose <1.00>
#914 Under 6 -120 1st 5 KC/Texas Win +1.00
#916 Detroit -115 Lose <1.15>
Total 2-2 <0.12>
OT , question , I know you are a situational type of guy , that said, do you look at ballparks ,hitters, pitchers ?
I came up with an idea and i wanted to follow something , whats the best site or stat i should be looking at other then the obvious to really see what parks are pitcher or hitting friendly , if you care to share. I don't like how teams set up their pitching in a way to have certain pitchers pitch more away then home or vice versa and depending on whos pitching more at home would really change the way I personally would look at park biases.
enjoy the long weekend...getting hot out there now
Comments
4/23 -5/20
45-44 +1.18
Hockey
4/23 -5/20
20-11 +8.55
Series Bets
0-2 <2.65>
T.Bay +110 (Pending)
5/21-5/27
5/21 Baseball 1-1 +0.15
5/21 Hockey 2-0 +2.00
Baseball 5/21
#952 Under 8-105 S.D/Wash Lose <1.05>
#958 Milw +120 Win +1.20
Total 1-1 +0.15
Hockey 5/21
Washington Caps -120 Win +1.00
Under 6 -125 Caps/Bolts Win +1.00
Total 2-0 +2.00
#902 Philly -111
#962 LAD -163
#967 LAA -127
4/23 -5/20
45-44 +1.18
Hockey
4/23 -5/20
20-11 +8.55
Series Bets
0-2 <2.65>
T.Bay +110 (Pending)
5/21-5/27
5/21 Baseball 1-1 +0.15
5/21 Hockey 2-0 +2.00
5/22 Baseball <1.14>
5/22 Hockey No Plays
Baseball 5/22
#908 Cincinnati +125 Win +1.25
#919 Baltimore -128 Lose <1.28>
#902 Philly -111 Lose <1.11>
Total 1-2 <1.14>
Hockey 5/21
No Plays
#969 Over 7.5 -103 Boston/Rays
Wednesday 5/23
Under 5.5 -125 Caps/Bolts
Seems to be everyone's favorite. I have the series with T.B +110. This Under is a little scary this has a chance of a double Empty Net nothing to lose. I see people are betting the Caps and if I didn't have the series I would still bet TB. Game 6 was a great game played by the Caps and I don't think they can get to that level of emotion in this yes even a game 7 to play for the cup in two days. T.B has to improve it's 5 on 5 play or they're going home. Just found out the best Ref in the NHL Wes McCauley (Confirmed) will be there and he'll let them play so it should be a good game. It won't be easy for the Home Team. GL it should be good.
4/23 -5/20
45-44 +1.18
Hockey
4/23 -5/20
20-11 +8.55
Series Bets
0-3
T.Bay +110 Lose <1.00>
5/21-5/27
5/21 Baseball 1-1 +0.15
5/21 Hockey 2-0 +2.00
5/22 Baseball <1.14>
5/22 Hockey No Plays
5/23 Baseball +0.97
5/23 Hockey +1.00
Baseball 5/23
#962 LAD -163 Win +1.00
#967 LAA -127 Win +1.00
#969 Over 7.5 -103 Boston/Rays Lose <1.03>
Total 2-1 +0.97
Hockey 5/23
Under 5.5 -125 Caps/Bolts Win +1.00
#912 Cleveland +117
#957 Mets -113
Up to +210 now should have waited for an out. Boring night no action maybe Hoops maybe live Warriors if I can get some pts
4/23 -5/20
45-44 +1.18
Hockey
4/23 -5/20
20-11 +8.55
Series Bets
0-3
T.Bay +110 Lose <1.00>
5/21-5/27
5/21 Baseball 1-1 +0.15
5/21 Hockey 2-0 +2.00
5/22 Baseball <1.14>
5/22 Hockey No Plays
5/23 Baseball +0.97
5/23 Hockey +1.00
5/24 Baseball <1.00>
5/24 Hockey No Plays
Baseball 5/24
#912 Cleveland +117 Lose 1>00>
Hockey 5/24
No Plays
Monday 5/28
Over 5.5 +105 Knights/Caps (Pending)
Texas Lose @ +185 Warriors Win @+4.5
#970 Cleveland -122 I don't get this number and movement. I can give you 5 solid reasons why to play Cleveland yet the market disagrees so what am I missing? I guess I'll find out when the L goes up. This should be a pass but I must play this game.
For the most part my numbers haven't done as well as last year so I've been making less overnight plays because of lack of confidence but it seems to be getting better. Your not going to get them all right but you need to get a high % of the correct move. I want to get the same price as the originators or few pennies off is ok. H ,Ras and there's some others. I know you don't believe that the market is efficient and I know I won't change your mind and I actually don't want to we all have our ways and I can only wish you good luck. I don't mean to be rude and of course you can give your opinion but I'm not up for a discussion. We see different things and the discussion won't go anywhere. Sorry if that's sounds closed minded but I've been around too long and have done ok to look at other opinions concerning betting lines.
what do you have the Dodgers at with Wood ?? I got like -235 and -190 looks like a steal am I way off in your opinion?
Friday 5/25
#957 Mets -113
#970 Cleveland -122
#968 Under 8.5 -115 T.B/Balt
#969 Over 7.5 -115
#972 Under 9.5 +100 K.C/Texas
Making up for last night
922 Cleveland +103
Adding
#961 S.Diego +172
4/23 -5/20
45-44 +1.18
Hockey
4/23 -5/20
20-11 +8.55
Series Bets
0-3
5/21-5/27
5/21 Baseball 1-1 +0.15
5/21 Hockey 2-0 +2.00
5/22 Baseball 1-2 <1.14>
5/22 Hockey No Plays
5/23 Baseball 2-1 +0.97
5/23 Hockey +1.00
5/24 Baseball 0-1 <1.00>
5/24 Hockey No Plays
5/25 Baseball 2-4 <2.35>
5/25 Hockey No Plays
Baseball 5/25
#957 Mets -113 Lose <1.13>
#970 Cleveland -122 lose <1.22>
#968 Under 8.5 -115 T.B/Balt Win +1.00
#969 Over 7.5 -115 Cleve/Houston Win +1.00
#972 Under 9.5 +100 K.C/Texas Lose <1.00>
#961 S.Diego +172 lose <1.00>
Total 2-4 <2.35>
Hockey 5/25
No Plays
Monday 5/28
Over 5.5 +105 Knights/Caps (Pending)
922 Cleveland +103
Close your eyes and hold your nose
#903 Mets +135
#914 Under 6 -120 1st 5 KC/Texas
#916 Detroit -115
#957 Cincinnati +137
4/23 -5/20
45-44 +1.18
Hockey
4/23 -5/20
20-11 +8.55
Series Bets
0-3
5/21-5/27
5/21 Baseball 1-1 +0.15
5/21 Hockey 2-0 +2.00
5/22 Baseball 1-2 <1.14>
5/22 Hockey No Plays
5/23 Baseball 2-1 +0.97
5/23 Hockey +1.00
5/24 Baseball 0-1 <1.00>
5/24 Hockey No Plays
5/25 Baseball 2-4 <2.35>
5/25 Hockey No Plays
5/26 Baseball 2-2 <0.12>
5/26 Hockey No Plays
Baseball 5/26
#922 Cleveland +103 Win +103
#903 Mets +135 Lose <1.00>
#914 Under 6 -120 1st 5 KC/Texas Win +1.00
#916 Detroit -115 Lose <1.15>
Total 2-2 <0.12>
Hockey 5/26
No Plays
Monday 5/28
Over 5.5 +105 Knights/Caps (Pending)
I came up with an idea and i wanted to follow something , whats the best site or stat i should be looking at other then the obvious to really see what parks are pitcher or hitting friendly , if you care to share. I don't like how teams set up their pitching in a way to have certain pitchers pitch more away then home or vice versa and depending on whos pitching more at home would really change the way I personally would look at park biases.
enjoy the long weekend...getting hot out there now