Confidence Pool Question..Thoughts
kcburgh
Senior Member
I am sitting second in a SU confidence NFL pool, 9 pts out of 1st and 10 points ahead of 3rd place..the league ends after week 17.
We have to pick 10 of the NFL games and weigh them 10-1
Struggling this week..but here is what I came up with..
10 Balt
9 Min
8 Pitt
7 NE
6 Sea
5 Det
4 Buff
3 TN
2 NO
1 Chargers
We have to pick 10 of the NFL games and weigh them 10-1
Struggling this week..but here is what I came up with..
10 Balt
9 Min
8 Pitt
7 NE
6 Sea
5 Det
4 Buff
3 TN
2 NO
1 Chargers
Comments
Clearly you're doing something right, this is meant to be constructive not antagonistic, but do you really find that using your own opinion over the market line is the proper strategy?
If I played this type of contest I would likely make an initial list going purely by the spreads and then make tiny adjustments if certain teams have roughly the same spread. Not saying that's optimal. It's clearly simplistic and probably lacks some more advanced game theory factor, but I'm a simple guy.
Anyway, sorry if that wasn't helpful. GL!