Betting Talk

Early Super Bowl Line

ct5320ct5320 Senior Member
edited January 2017 in Sports Betting
5dimes has Patriots -3. You had to figure that's where it would be. Do you think that will move off the 3 either way?

Comments

  • natasnatas Member
    edited January 2017
    I think Pats $$ will drive this line over the 3..
  • BiggTBiggT Senior Member
    edited January 2017
    I see it going up. I can see Brady getting the record and holding that SB trophy again. I love NE -3
  • RonbetsRonbets Senior Member
    edited January 2017
    Don't expect it to move off of the 3. What worries me is Pat's owner Robert Kraft's health. Did you see him mumble after Brusche presented him the trophy?
  • ebemissebemiss Senior Member
    edited January 2017
    Ronbets wrote: »
    Don't expect it to move off of the 3. What worries me is Pat's owner Robert Kraft's health. Did you see him mumble after Brusche presented him the trophy?

    I think Kraft's condition is self inflicted. He enjoys his beverages. I've witnessed a couple of opening day speeches he's given after Super Bowl winning years and wow was he bombed. I'd put alcohol as an overwhelming favorite over health.

    You may be right that it won't move off 3 but I'm thinking at some point during the 2 weeks they'll be a big hit to move this to -3.5/-4. I'd buy Atlanta at that point for some. We'll see.
  • CoopsCoops Senior Member
    edited January 2017
    My local opened pats -3.5, I grabbed Falcons
    Total is up to 59.5 also, no play there
  • kanekane Senior Member
    edited January 2017
    If I liked the chalk I'd lay it now, If I liked the dog I'd wait
  • ct5320ct5320 Senior Member
    edited January 2017
    kane wrote: »
    If I liked the chalk I'd lay it now, If I liked the dog I'd wait

    This is what I am thinking too
  • MustangMustang Senior Member
    edited January 2017
    I would be surprised if it goes to 3.5 would think sharps would be all over Atlanta there - Quinn is going to play defense more like the Texans did and play man and blitz - difference is Atlanta's offense will score points. I can not believe Pittsburgh sat in that zone defense all game. I like Atlanta plus the points.
  • RonbetsRonbets Senior Member
    edited January 2017
    You'll see plenty of movement on the moneyside of the 3. Just enough to confuse the every increasing novice bettors. With this key #, if you move anywhere off of the 3 and game lands, the unemployment offices will be filled with sportsbook operators. Corporate doesn't want to hear "sided".
  • Old-TimerOld-Timer Senior Member
    edited January 2017
    I believe this game has to go to 3.5 for one thing the total tells me high scoring 2nd thing a high % of the games the spread doesn't come into play and most inportant do the books want to drop 100's of millions in the state and wind up with a push.
  • RonbetsRonbets Senior Member
    edited January 2017
    Old-Timer wrote: »
    most inportant do the books want to drop 100's of millions in the state and wind up with a push.

    If that's the case OT, then why didn't they open it 3.5 dog -25?
  • Old-TimerOld-Timer Senior Member
    edited January 2017
    Ronbets wrote: »
    If that's the case OT, then why didn't they open it 3.5 dog -25?

    It's a better opening number then 3.5 and will draw more two sided action right now. They have two weeks to lock up what juice they can and then take there stand and go to 3.5. It will never go down to 2.5 that will never happen so there's only one way to go. Would you like to bet another dinner this game goes to 3.5 and possibly to -4 at very least stay at 3.5.. If they opened 3.5 regardless of juice they would get killed with Atlanta Money and then what do you go down. No IMHO this was the only number they could have opened with.
  • RonbetsRonbets Senior Member
    edited January 2017
    Major shop like Pinny or CRIS. No Arizona Charlies. LOL. I say line won't close 3.5 -15 or higher at post. A bet?
  • Old-TimerOld-Timer Senior Member
    edited January 2017
    How about a WA number including Las Vegas and lets forget juice I say it closes -3.5 or higher you say it -3 simple. They have to come off the -3 at some point and when they do I don't believe there going to go back. Just an opinion.
  • Old-TimerOld-Timer Senior Member
    edited January 2017
    I have to go feed the cats and Fish now that's what you do when get old see you later. Maybe going to the rock tonight to play poker.
  • RonbetsRonbets Senior Member
    edited January 2017
    You mentioned 3.5 to -4 close. Not even slotting it. We need definite large shops to determine closing.I don't wanna use Jerry's Nugget.
  • RonbetsRonbets Senior Member
    edited January 2017
    Old-Timer wrote: »
    I have to go feed the cats and Fish now that's what you do when get old see you later. Maybe going to the rock tonight to play poker.

    Did you hear about the big brawl they had in there last week. The poor card room mgr got nailed trying to break it up. Security took care of things though.
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