NBA Discussion Thread 2015/16
underwraps
Senior Member
Post any NBA info you have in this thread regarding injuries, or any ideas concerning the NBA.
Comments
"Derrick Rose made his preseason debut, playing just over 10 minutes, then said he's on track to play in the Bulls' season opener next week"
"Derrick Rose will see action in the Bulls' season opener on Tuesday, but with three games in four days, coach Fred Hoiberg said he'll keep an eye on his minutes"
CHI -5 1H and CHI/PHI FG U197 have value imo.
thoughts?
He's out tonight
Not if Bulls miss 16 of 17 shots in Q2
worthless
Kristaps Porzingis Over 12.5 @2.05
Kris Middleton Under 14.5 @1.85
Deron Williams Over 13.5 @1.85
I like the Middleton prop since he is -6% DVP
Wut?
he is -6% defense vs position on league based avg vs Boston
Actually, this opens up more playing time for Tyler Johnson, he'll now be the primary backup to Dragic. I don't know how much of him you've seen, but the kid can play, he's extremely athletic, and plays smart ball
Yeah he is very good and that other kid Winslow
Don't get me started on Winslow, the kid can flat out play. He leads the Heat in fourth quarter minutes, that's all you need to know about him. Every time I watch him play, I have to remind myself he's only 19 years old, I can't even imagine how good he'll eventually be, and he won't be in his prime for another four or five years. I said it at the time, and I'll say it again, he'll end up being the steal of the draft, the Heat loved him, but they never even worked him out, they didn't think there was any chance he would be there at number 10, he's already a solid defender, and plays like a veteran. A big thank you to SVG for taking Stanley Johnson, and a bigger thank you to Michael Jordan for taking Frank Kaminsky.
I'll root for you on this one but I had it going over.
how come you only bet unders?
At this time my model is much more reliable on unders. Hoping to really tweak it for the upcoming years so perhaps that will change. I'm probably influenced by someone I worked with for a few years on this, he only bet unders as well. Seems like the winning 2H players are usually on the under side. Twenty four minutes is a long time to keep up the pace to make a game go over. One bad stretch can really sink an over. And with a lot of games decided well before the end, it's easy to see that dry spell.
You got it. See my overs are shit. I didn't have it way over the posted line though.
This was purely situational,
High tempo, high FG%, those players were gassed in the 4th
Going with the over88 for the 1H in Miami myself.