2015 College Football TEAM TOTALS
helmut
Senior Member
194 Arkansas OVER 41.5
I really think Arkansas is going to have a big day running the ball. They piled up big yards against bad run defenses last year and this year should be no different as they return nine starters. UTEP run defense is probably worse than what they were ranked at last year as they play in a conference with a lot of pass oriented teams. The two good run teams they played did very well running the ball with MTSU gaining 279 yds and New Mexico gaining 410 yds. UTEP has a team total listed at 8.5 meaning they probably are going to have a lot of three and outs. Also Bielama is no stranger to running up the score in games.
I really think Arkansas is going to have a big day running the ball. They piled up big yards against bad run defenses last year and this year should be no different as they return nine starters. UTEP run defense is probably worse than what they were ranked at last year as they play in a conference with a lot of pass oriented teams. The two good run teams they played did very well running the ball with MTSU gaining 279 yds and New Mexico gaining 410 yds. UTEP has a team total listed at 8.5 meaning they probably are going to have a lot of three and outs. Also Bielama is no stranger to running up the score in games.
Comments
307 South Florida OVER 13.5
The Bulls are supposed to play more pace this year and chuck the ball down field more this year than in previous years. The offense wasn’t very good last year and got up and over this number in 9/12 games. The Seminole defense wasn’t any good last year and this year they gave up 300 total yards to Texas St. It is a relatively small team total and considering how big a favorite FSU is it might make it easier to get up and over this number if some of the starters get substituted.
339 Eastern Michigan UNDER 20
It looks like EMU QB Bell probably is not going to play as he has been downgraded to expected to miss. His replacement Brogan Roback is more of a passer and does not have anywhere near the running ability that Bell does. Historically EMU has be a horrible team on the road with several poor efforts on the offense. In their last eight road games they have scored 30, 7, 6, 14, 3, 0, 10, 16 pts in those games. I just can’t see the offense clicking here considering they are going to have to really change things up from what they like to do to move the ball. Most road trips are within a couple of 100 miles for this team but this one they are going clear across country and playing at altitude. Also Wyoming is one of the slowest pace teams in the country.
361 Toledo OVER 18
The Rockets have been over this number in 23 of their last 24 games. This season they return QB Phillip Ely who had to sit out the last 10 games last season due to injury. No doubt about it Arkansas has a quality defense but this Rocket team has proven time and time again that they are going to score points regardless of who they are playing. Toledo’s best running back Kareem Hunt remains suspended for this game but the running games was doing pretty well last week against Stony Brook averaging 7+ per rush attempt before the rains came and canceled the game.
143 Louisiana Tech UNDER 20.5
Only one time in the last eight home games has the Wildcats allowed more than 20 pts in a game and that was to UTEP that scored a lot of last garbage pts when the outcome was already decided. Also it’s not like they played a bunch of stiffs either, they held some good offensive teams Auburn, Oklahoma St, Stephen F. Austin and Texas Tech well below their normal output. This season the defense appears to be just as strong allowing only 3pts in the first two games.
157 Nebraska OVER 28
Last season the Huskers scored 41 pts and put up 456 total yds of offense against Miami FL. This season under the direction of new coach Riley the offense appears to have opened up some with QB Armstrong attempting 79 passes in the first two games. The offense has been outstanding to start this season gaining over 1000 yds of offense in their first two games. I thought the Hurricanes defense was a little suspect with FAU putting up nearly 400 yds on offense and gashing them with the run. The Owl's could have probably scored 28 themselves if it were not for the five turnovers and I like the Nebraska offense a whole lot better than the Owl’s.
177 Connecticut OVER 9.5
There is not a lot of good things you can say about UConn’s offense. Last season a lot of the issues with the crappy offense was the spotty play from the QB position. This season the offense is in much better hands with NC State transfer Bryant Shirreffs. The Huskies figure to be playing from behind in this game so I think they’re going to have to take some chances on offense and with a total this low it’s not going to take a lot of offense to get it up and over. One lucky break with a defensive or special teams score and your almost there.
353 Rice OVER 20.5
The Owls have been very good on offense this year so far. They put up 462 yards on Texas and 562 on North Texas. They scored 28 on Texas despite turning it over five times. They should be able to get some extra possessions in this game with the pace Baylor plays at. Also considering that Baylor is nearly a five TD favorite there should be an opportunity for the Owls to go up against the number two defense unit. We have seen some lower ranked teams like SMU and Lamar move the ball on Baylor, got to think Rice can do it as well.
385 Central Florida UNDER 15
Currently the UCF offense is ranked dead last and there are even more pressing issues likely to make it even worse. The starting QB Hollman is out for the year and both freshman backups have played and neither appears very good with each completing less than 50% of pass attempts. Even though he hasn’t played much this year last years leading rusher Stanback was just kicked off the team. They had a very good receiving corps a year ago but they were all seniors and have been replaced with all freshman. South Carolina defense is probably not as bad as it ranks right now having played all three games against difficult opponents. Also both of these teams are on the slower pace side.
163 Boston College UNDER 15
The Eagles already were bad on offense before starting quarterback Wade was knocked out for the year. Now with the backup QB playing they are even more one dimensional than before running the ball 80% of the time on offense. Not helping matters is that starting RB Jon Hilliman is out for the season and they will be going up against a very good run defense in Duke.
173 Hawaii UNDER 15.5
What have we seen from the Rainbow offense this season to think they can get over this number? Their offense did zero against both Ohio St. and Wisconsin, granted those teams have really good defense but you got to throw Boise’s defense up there as well. Boise has the #1 rush defense in the league and with the Rainbows terrible passing game I don’t see them doing a lot there either. Despite the Rainbows upgrading the QB position this year Wittek has been one of the worst QB’s in the league.
307 Southern Miss OVER 26.5
The Eagles have been over 400 yards of total offense in every game this year and are averaging over 40 ppg. It’s not like they played all cupcakes either with games against Nebraska and Mississippi St. Although the Herd passing defense rates high they really have not played any good passing teams this year, however in week one Purdue did some damage against them through the air with a QB that has since been benched. I really think the Eagles can find some success through the air and score some points.
I have not been that impressed with the FSU offense this season. The team seems to lack the big time play makers and with Cook emerging as a very good running back they tend to rely on his rushing ability more than airing it out. I think Miami defense is good enough to slow down Cook and with the some extra time to prepare they should be ready for this team.
125 Marshall OVER 25
The Herd have been over this number 5 out of 6 games this season. They had to play a couple of these last few games without their number one running back Johnson but got him back last game against Southern Miss. I think they should have some success against this Owl defense which has been pretty bad for a long time. In their last 13 games they have held only 1 opponent under this number and that was a banged up Charlotte team in a driving rain storm. Last season Marshall was able to rush for 328 yards on this team and while Marshall offense is not nearly as good as last year I think they are still going to have some success here running the ball against this team that has not been that good at stopping the run this year.
199 Texas Christian OVER 45.5
The Horn frogs have been over this number every game this season except for the first one against Minnesota. I really can’t see them having any issues scoring against the Cyclones which have the #102 ranked defense in the league. The Cyclones this season up until last week pretty much played opponents which were not that great on offense, but when they finally were up against a good offense in Texas Tech it was a field day for them. They had 776 yards of total offense and were virtually unstoppable. Last season TCU scored 55 on the Cyclones and I look for more of the same this time around.
402 Louisiana St. OVER 41
Overall this defense for the Hilltoppers looks improved this year but I don’t think it is improved enough to stop these teams from the big conferences. Last week we saw a bad North Texas team gash WKU with the run several times. Some of the good running teams they have faced have done very well running the ball against them. Louisiana Tech had 223 yds, Indiana had 284 yds and last week North Texas had 203 yds. They will be going up against a team averaging 327 ypg and I just don’t like their chances of stopping them. Considering the pace that WKU plays at there should be a few extra plays than a typical LSU game which is only going to help the over here.
105 Western Michigan OVER 42
There are many reasons to like this play for one thing EMU has the worst run defense in the league and by a big margin. They have allowed an average of 341 rushing yards per game this season. Even bad running teams like Wyoming put up 400+ yards on them. WMU is a pretty good passing team which should make the run game even more effective. The last five games EMU has allowed 49, 63, 47, 44, 58 pts. Even horrible offenses like Old Dominion scored 38 on them. Last year WMU put up 48 on these guys in just the first half.
194 Boston College UNDER 17.5
The Eagles have not been over this number in their last six games. Last week even though they scored 14 pts the offense really did little to contribute to these pts as one TD came on a blocked punt return and the other TD was setup by the defense on a fumble return to the opponents six yard line. The quarterback play in the last six games has been awful with the QB’s completing 40/115 passes. Even though the Hokie defense is not up to its past standards it is still an above average unit. Also the Eagles are the second slowest pace team in the league which should help when plying them under this number.
203 Colorado OVER 20
The Buffalos have scored scored at least 20 pts in all but one game this season. The offense has performed very well this season averaging 433 yds of total offense per game. The UCLA defense has not been that good this year and has had some starters from that unit hurt. They have allowed their last five opponents to all score 20+ pts and to gain at least 400 yds in total offense. Last season the Buffalos scored 37 and had 500 yards of total offense against UCLA. The Buffalo offense has been fairly decent the last two years playing only 3/20 games under this number and I got to think against a below average defense that they should be able to get up and over this number.
396 Alabama OVER 26
The total on this game has fallen almost 10 pts from the opening number and I think this is a pretty good number to bet over. The Tigers defense has allowed all but one opponent to score at least 20 pts on them and they really havent played that difficult of a schedule. Their defense has been somewhat vulnerable to the pass. The Tide are balanced on offense and have some very good receivers that Im certain will make some big plays here. The Tide offense is never flashy but they are fairly consistent scoring 27+ in all but one game this season. With one loss already they cannot afford two losses here so we should get a maximum effort.
410 Mississippi UNDER 32
The Rebels started the season out like the greatest offensive team ever but in their last six games they have only topped 30 pts once and that was a nonconference game against New Mexico St. which has one of the worst defenses in the league. The Razorbacks have only allowed one opponent to score more than 30 pts on them this season in regulation time and that was Texas Tech which is averaging close to 50 ppg. In our favor here is that the Razorbacks will run the ball a lot and will take time of the clock and shorten the game which has resulted in opponents only going over their team totals 6 out of the last 19 games going back to the start of the 2014 season.
138 Illinois UNDER 19
I have not been that impressed with the Illini offense this season. Other than last week they have not run the ball well at all this year. They do pas it fairly well but still the passing attack is slightly better than league average. The Buckeye defense has been the strength of the team this season. They do have the #5 ranked pass defense in the league which is impressive considering their opponents are behind and are in passing situations for most of the second half’s.
154 Vanderbilt UNDER 21.5
I don’t see why anyone would want to bet this team over any over a couple of TD’s. They have only scored more than 17 pts in one game this season and that was against one of the worst FCS teams. In all the other games they really have not even come that close to getting over 21 pts. The last two games the offense was horrible failing to gain 200 yds in either game. Even though Kentucky’s defense is not that great the Commodores have faced defenses that were not that good (WKU, MTSU, South Carolina) and were not able to get over this number.
308 Kent St. UNDER 15.5
The Golden Flashes have one of the worst offenses in the league and have gone under their team totals 9/10 games this season. They are equally bad at both passing and running. They are #120 in passing offense and other than Boston College the only teams ahead of them are the option teams that don’t pass. They are slightly better at running the ball coming in with the #102 ranked rush offense but a lot of those yards had come early in the season. There is a 100% chance of rain tonight so they are probably going to run it a little more than usual and considering that CMU has the third best run defense in the MAC I don’t think they will have much success on the ground.
Good second half !! Keep it Rollin !! Always enjoy your write-ups- Mac
411 Louisiana Tech OVER 40
The Bulldogs have been over this number their last three games in a row and two of those games were in less than ideal conditions. They have averaged over 40 ppg against conference opponents and will get to go against another bad conference opponent with one of the worst defenses in the nation. With the Miners playing in a bad conference they have had the opportunity to face many good offenses but early in the season when they did play good offenses their opponents put up some big numbers. Arkansas scored 48 and had 490 yds of offense, Texas Texh scored 69 and put up 674 yds of offense and the one good opponent they played with in the conference (Southern Miss) while they did not score a ton of pts they did have 523 yds of offense. Also the Miners offense is pretty bad so the Bulldogs defense should be able to get some stops and some more opportunities for their offense.
Gonna need like 4 OT's....Ouch.
Gonna need like 4 OT's....Ouch.
Like Helmut and his followers don't know. Brush up on your ppl skills. Then, you might find that dream job.
And.... please don't clog up the thread with nonsense. Many get email notices, and need to know it's the real thing.
307 Georgia St. OVER 18.5
The Panthers come into this game paying their best football of the season winning their last three games putting themselves in position to become bowl eligible with a win today. The offense is the strong point of this team and they have been over this number 10/11 games this season. The Eagles have allowed quite a few Sun Belt opponents to put up some points on them this year. UL Monroe, New Mexico St., Idaho and Appalachian St. have all gone over this number against their defense. Last year the Panthers put 31 on them with pretty much the same offense. Although the Eagles defense is good, I’ll take my chances here with the Sun Belts top passing offense against this defense.
241 Air Force OVER 31
The Falcons should be able to have some success on the ground as the Bears run defense was not that good. The Bears have not played an option team in a very long time and got to think since they had such a hard time against the run this year its going to be more of the same today. Also much like Navy did yesterday they should be able to hit some big plays with their passing game that was pretty effective this year.