Superbowl Prop Thread
homerplayer
Senior Member
Feel free to add your favorite. Prob land between 20-30 props. First turnover a fumble will be in there. A defense/SP team TD will be in there. And I will have my largest prop play since the Ravens v 49ers when I unloaded, and told the BT board multiple times to as well, on Over Total Combined Yards. My forecast was 100 yards higher than the listed prop and cashed easily.
Same thing this year. Different prop, it's not even listed yet, but I can guarantee you it is going to be one of the worst prop lines ever posted. Just hope timing is on my side and I get to it early.
GL all.
Same thing this year. Different prop, it's not even listed yet, but I can guarantee you it is going to be one of the worst prop lines ever posted. Just hope timing is on my side and I get to it early.
GL all.
Comments
T.Brady pass attempts/. Over 35½ -130*
Fuckers. knew i was going to miss the release of it!!! Worst line ever. this thing should be about 44.5. this thing is good to play all the way to 39.5.
GL
Agree
Over 4 1/2 sacks at + 105
I disagree with this. Based on season averages I have 22 completions and 35 attempts for Brady based on NE's offense and Seattle's defense. I think the open number was pretty good. IMO New England has no shot of winning if they throw the ball 40+ times. Seattle has the 4th best passer rating defense. If Brady throws the ball over 40 times make sure you bet Seattle because that would mean they are chasing. For NE to have any shot they have to run the ball against the Seahawks.
Half the time NE run offense is the short passing game. They'll take those 5-8 yard completions and it serves the same purpose as running. I also have the over on this prop.
Agreed, we're going to see a lot of blount
Not sure about those two, any reason you like them?
I'd try and find a better number, I've seen 60.5 and 62.5 at + odds
50,000 times
Seattle 24 NE 20
Brady Under 235 yards
Last year picked Seattle
She sang it on the final day of the 2007 season in the meadowlands (link below). I grade that one at 94 seconds.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Js2miifnClM
She did the 2014 MLB All Star Game at about 1:59 or so. She seemed to pause 3-4 seconds at the end as the jets flew over. I heard she can hold a note, but hopefully the adrenaline takes over.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=k4wkpwPe-D4
I agree with this because of Brady's short passing game won't get the YAC yards it usually does. Seattle is the best tackling team in the NFL. I can't see them 5/7 yard dumps going for 20 even with Gronk.
I like this, too.
2/1/15 6:25pm* Props*Football* 130 TD not scored by offense +155* vs Offense scores all TD's*
2/1/15 6:25pm* Props*Football* 134 First score not a TD +140* vs First score a TD*
2/1/15 6:25pm* Props*Football* 1751 1st turnover is a fumble +120* vs 1st turnover an int. / no turnover*
is that based on the 11 rush attempts he averaged prior to that Colts game?
i hate new england. i hate belichick. but he has proven time and again he does whatever gives his team the best chance to win. if that means chucking the rock 50 times, he will do it.
food for thought on that. Pats 4-1 this year when Brady had 40 atts or more.
The weakest spot of the Sea Def is the interior line, I expect NE to attack that. The best inside runner on NE is Blount.
They are 10-3 when he had less than 40 attempts.
Above was from an article I saw.
If New England tries to throw the ball 40+ times I believe they will get their ass kicked. I don't think a 38 yr old Tom Brady can beat this team throwing that much. I've watched NE come out 5 wide, hurry up for years. It makes no sense to do it. New England has to play conservative and rely on the defense to win this game.
Seattle to Punt before Scoring -155........love my Hawks, but they have punted on their first drive in the past 7 games....notoriously slow starting offense