Betting Talk

Caal's NBA 2014/2015

caaladorcaalador Senior Member
edited March 2015 in Sports Betting
I just told myself I want to contribute somehow, not that anyone cares. We'll see how I do against some handicapping legends.
Most picks will be 1u with occasional 1,5u or 2u picks.

Starting off.

Bucks -3 @ -110 1U

YTD: 0-0

+0.00 Units
«13

Comments

  • Old-TimerOld-Timer Senior Member
    edited November 2014
    Welcome and we can always use another NBA guy here.
  • caaladorcaalador Senior Member
    edited November 2014
    Suns/Nets Over 205 @ -105 1U

    YTD: 1-0

    +0.9 Units
  • GoatsGoats Head Moderator
    edited November 2014
    caalador wrote: »
    Suns/Nets Over 205 @ -105 1U

    YTD: 1-0

    +0.9 Units

    Please read the record keeping guidelines stickied at the top of the forum. Most notably, all lines must be taken from Pinny/BM at the time of post and graded at -110. Also, your main record must be unweighted (all plays 1u) and units need to be calculated as risking 1.1u to win 1u.

    Thanks and GL.
  • caaladorcaalador Senior Member
    edited November 2014
    All right, I apologize for not following the rules. Will re-grade it to the standards. Will keep the weighted record as well when higher rated picks occur.

    76ers +14 1.1u

    YTD: 2-0

    +2.0 Units
  • underwrapsunderwraps Senior Member
    edited November 2014
    Hi caaldor, welcome to the boards. In a quick 2 sentence summary can you tell me why you like the sixers?
  • caaladorcaalador Senior Member
    edited November 2014
    76ers pick is more against Dallas than on Sixers. Dallas just dont seem to play well as a double digit fave, last year they were 2-5 ATS in that spot. I dont think they have enough depth to beat big spreads. Chemistry is still not there with plenty of changes during the off season. They are focusing more on the bigger picture so once they are up by 20 and the regulars gets pulled, 76ers will make a backdoor cover. SInce I focus on numbers and trends, road dogs of 10+ points after two or more consecutive overs are 4-1 this season.
  • underwrapsunderwraps Senior Member
    edited November 2014
    I played them yesterday +15 at bol and +14 at heritage. From your experience have you witnessed any line deterioration on these type of plays over the years?

    Good Luck tonight
  • caaladorcaalador Senior Member
    edited November 2014
    Besides 76ers gets Carter Williams back tonight. That should give them temporary inrush of life to their play.
  • caaladorcaalador Senior Member
    edited November 2014
    I play big dogs to cover very rarely only in certain spots like this so I dont think I have. However, you can reason backing the huge dogs all you can but in the end you still dont feel good about it.
  • Old-TimerOld-Timer Senior Member
    edited November 2014
    I have no problem with playing Philly I like the Under myself and waiting to see how high it can go but according to what your saying is your expecting a back door cover with a team that's avenging 41.8 points in the 2nd half of the seven games they played. I'm not looking to tell you what to play Lord knows I need all the help I can get but IMO playing a game off of this is tough. Good Luck and again welcome


    NBA | PHILADELPHIA at DALLAS
    Play On - Road underdogs of 10 or more points (PHILADELPHIA) after 2 or more consecutive overs
    108-58 over the last 5 seasons. ( 65.1% | 44.2 units )
    4-1 this year. ( 80.0% | 2.9 units )
  • underwrapsunderwraps Senior Member
    edited November 2014
    I play big dogs to cover very rarely only in certain spots like this so I dont think I have

    I've noticed on average these plays being shaved about 1 point right at the open since last year, and the year before 2013/2014 it was shaved about .50/.75
    IMO value is diminishing slightly on these types of plays.
  • Old-TimerOld-Timer Senior Member
    edited November 2014
    caalador wrote: »
    Besides 76ers gets Carter Williams back tonight. That should give them temporary inrush of life to their play.

    Yes he's back but as coach said not in basketball shape and won't be in there very long.. Low scoring game and will both get there.
  • caaladorcaalador Senior Member
    edited November 2014
    Bucks +2.5 1.1u
    Cavs -5.5 1.1u

    Pending: 76ers +14

    YTD: 2-0

    +2.0 Units
  • caaladorcaalador Senior Member
    edited November 2014
    Old-Timer wrote: »
    Yes he's back but as coach said not in basketball shape and won't be in there very long.. Low scoring game and will both get there.

    That is true, counting on his presence on the court alone.
  • underwrapsunderwraps Senior Member
    edited November 2014
    NBA | PHILADELPHIA at DALLAS
    Play On - Road underdogs of 10 or more points (PHILADELPHIA) after 2 or more consecutive overs
    108-58 over the last 5 seasons. ( 65.1% | 44.2 units )
    4-1 this year. ( 80.0% | 2.9 units )

    OT, did u get that from the fox? those dataminers don't know when to quit. My play on Philly isn't based on that info.
  • Old-TimerOld-Timer Senior Member
    edited November 2014
    underwraps wrote: »
    OT, did u get that from the fox? those dataminers don't know when to quit. My play on Philly isn't based on that info.

    It's tout BS that's all it is and if I had to guess it's Marc Lawrence.
  • caaladorcaalador Senior Member
    edited November 2014
    Sacramento +2 @ -110 1U

    YTD: 2-3

    -1.30 Units
  • caaladorcaalador Senior Member
    edited November 2014
    Mavericks -3.5 @ -110 1U

    YTD: 3-3

    -0.30 Units
  • caaladorcaalador Senior Member
    edited November 2014
    Pass today, like Pelicans though

    Early pick for Wednesday .

    Phoenix Suns -2 @ -110 1.1U

    YTD: 4-3

    +0.70 Units
  • caaladorcaalador Senior Member
    edited November 2014
    Adding:
    Indiana -2.5 @ -110 1.1U
  • caaladorcaalador Senior Member
    edited November 2014
    Cleveland -1.5 @ -110 1.1U
    Golden State -11.5 @ -110 1.1U

    YTD: 4-4-1

    -0.40 Units
  • caaladorcaalador Senior Member
    edited November 2014
    Cleveland -7 @ -110 1.1U
    Suns -7.5 @ -110 1.1U

    YTD: 5-5-1

    -0.50 Units
  • caaladorcaalador Senior Member
    edited December 2014
    76ers +13 @ -110 1.1U

    YTD: 7-5-1

    +1.50 Units
  • caaladorcaalador Senior Member
    edited December 2014
    76ers +13 @ -110 1.1U

    YTD: 7-5-1

    +1.50 Units
  • caaladorcaalador Senior Member
    edited December 2014
    Good looking card today. Will add a couple more later.

    Cavs -10.5 @ -110 1.1U
    Mavericks +2 @ -110 1.1U

    YTD: 8-5-1

    +2.50 Units
  • caaladorcaalador Senior Member
    edited December 2014
    TrailBlazers -3 @ -110 1.1U
  • caaladorcaalador Senior Member
    edited December 2014
    Thunder -2.5 @ -110 1.1U
  • caaladorcaalador Senior Member
    edited December 2014
    Hornets +3.5 @ -110 1.1U

    YTD: 9-8-1

    +0.2 Units
  • caaladorcaalador Senior Member
    edited December 2014
    Pelicans +8.5 @ -110 1.1U

    YTD: 9-9-1

    -0.9 Units
  • caaladorcaalador Senior Member
    edited December 2014
    Hornets -3 @ -110 1.1U
    Clippers -6.5 @ -110 1.1U

    YTD: 9-10-1

    -2.0 Units
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