Betting Talk

Ken Pom vs NCAA Seeding..

beefcakebeefcake Senior Member
edited March 2014 in Sports Betting
For shits I did this with every match up...

Took Kens overall ranking for this year and multiplied the seeding x 4 of the actual seed and then compared the matcups..Some big time advantages as far as the math numbers.Example..Louisville is #2 and a 4 seed. Multiply seed X 4 regions you get 16..
2 divided by 16 is 0.125..best margin in the tourney.So my guess is if the number is 1 then its where they were supposed to be seeded.If its under 1 then they were underseeded, if its over #1 then they should have been a worse seed.Use the numbers as you will.I highlighted ones where there was a big diff.Although with big spreads harder to justify playing but the close games you might have something here. I italicized where the team that is better is getting points

Match ups
dayton -1.2
ohio st -0.79

Pitt -0.5
CO -2..Look what is happening.


Harvard -0.91
Cinci -1.2

Wis -1.37
American -1.6

Syracuse -1.25
W mich -2.17


Oregon -1.07
BYU-0.8


Florida -0.75
Albany -2.76


Mich St. -.625
Delaware -2.01


Uconn -0.89
St Joes -1.225

Mich -1.75
Wofford -3.06


St.Louis -1.7
NC St -1.375


Ok -1.45
N d st -1.25


Vill -0.75
Wis M -2.71


Texas -1.39
Az St. -1.17


Louis -0.125
Mann -1.28


Sd St -1.31
New Mex st -1.38

Fridays game later..

Comments

  • beefcakebeefcake Senior Member
    edited March 2014
    Today

    Duke -0.58
    Mercer -1.76


    Baylor -1.29
    Neb -1.09

    New Mex -1
    Stanford -.925

    Ari -1
    Weber State -2.64


    Umass -2.16
    Tenn -0.29
    WOW!!! No wonder all the love for tenn..

    Creighton -0.66
    Ul Laff -2.21


    Kan -1.25
    E Ken -21.5

    Gonz -0.625
    Ok St -0.61

    Mem -1.40
    GW -1.27


    Wich St -1.25
    Cal Poly -2.7

    NC -1.08
    Prov -0.9


    VCU -0.6
    SFA -1.22


    UVA 1
    Coastal C -3.62


    Kent -0.53
    K St -1.22

    Iowa St -1.91!!
    NC Cen-1.39
    Upset Special and bracket buster????

    UCLA 1
    Tulsa -1.61
  • beefcakebeefcake Senior Member
    edited March 2014
    Bold 4-3 ats on the favs
    Italics are 3-1-1..on the dogs..
  • homerplayerhomerplayer Senior Member
    edited March 2014
    I fucking love it. But you are screwed. First the outside thinking, str8 up heretic. But if it does well, sample size too small. If it does poorly, told ya so.

    Keep it coming Beef.
  • beefcakebeefcake Senior Member
    edited March 2014
    Yeah I most likely will forget and not keep track until 2056, by then the sample would big big enough.But I might be dead,,
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