Betting Talk

Ken Pom vs. ESPN Tourney Challenge..

beefcakebeefcake Senior Member
edited March 2014 in Sports Betting
NOTE: This is only to be used as a guide.Not a be all end all to beat Mary from Accounting this year.

Was looking at Ken Poms stats and then looked at ESPN Tourney Challenge Who Picked Whom..http://games.espn.go.com/tournament-challenge-bracket/2014/en/whopickedwhom.

Look at the winners picked at ESPN..Villanova is the lowest picked 2 seed to winAt Ken Pom they have the 2nd lowest totals of Adj O,Adj D and best SOS only to Virginia.If they were to break through, and not even win it, maybe to final game it might be enough to win your pool.

Virginia is the lowest picked #1 seed and they have the best of those 3 catagories in the country and only 3.9% picked to win.

As far as first rounds..http://games.espn.go.com/tournament-challenge-bracket/2014/en/nationalBracket
Maybe go against the grain and all the picks where the national bracket is the majority towards one team, go the other way if you look at Ken Poms ranking for example 63% pick UCLA and 37 pick VCU, go with VCU since Pom has it basically a pick em.

Here are the games where its "OFF" where POM has the math advantage over the "Public", I,e, where the math is even but public has it 60% or more to the public team

Round 1..
Memphis 68, Gw 32
OK St 67, gonz 33
st lou 66. Xav(if they win tonight) 34
iowa/tenn 43% umass 57..both better than this team in Ken Pom
Texas 61, az st39..only 3 points diff
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