Super Bowl Prop Bet Thread
BennyProfane
Senior Member
Post yer best prop bets here. Write ups optional.
Alternate focus: talk me out of betting Denver -2 for 10% of my bankroll
Alternate focus: talk me out of betting Denver -2 for 10% of my bankroll
Comments
...and also SEA +115 for way more than I should.
NO, WE ARE NOT GOING TO HAVE ANOTHER COIN TOSS DISCUSSION, FOR THE LOVE OF GOD.
Sorry, forgot the caps lock was on.
I feel ambivalent about the game. It looks like the total is 48 all over Nevada when Pinnacle has 47 1/2 with a slight shade to the under. My hunch is that Denver won't move the ball as much as usual, both because of the weather and because Seattle has by far the best defense they've faced this year. There was just something missing with Seattle's two playoff games this year. It seemed like the ball bounched their way every single time, and the other teams lost it more than they won it. Just going by my general feel of how the games flowed. Denver on the other hand, has the complete opposite feel, as in their games were nowhere near as close as the scores indicated. They're a huge gap in experience between Wilson and Manning, and this is the x factor that I think will decide the game. I'll just throw out a final for kicks. Broncos 27-20.
On another subject --what are your thoughts on the NFL possibly implementing this-- no kicking xtra points all TD will be 7 points and after TD you have option of running or passing for xp and if you fail your TD becomes 6 points.. I love it makes the game much more exciting and the automatic xp will be deleted.
1st TD of game: Monte Ball +1800
Total Omahas o24.5 -165
There were 31 against NE and something like 55 against SD. This has to be something like an 80% chance of hitting, right?
I am with you on this one, I think we might have that at half time.
This game is not in Denver where the crowd quiets down when the offense is on the field.
Thanks very much.
I still like the over . GL
Please don't try to pretend that what lumpy posted occurred to you.
Huh ? It was a joke, hence the laughing guy. Jeez
seattletimes.com/html/seahawks/2022593817_seahawkpuntreturn04xml.html
Denver is no slouch either when it comes to special teams.
(espn.go.com/nfl/statistics/team/_/stat/returning/seasontype/2)
Here's the prop:
Will there be a punt return for TD?
Yes +1000
No -1500
Is this priced properly? At first glance, NO -1500 seems cheap.
Any thoughts are appreciated.
P. Manning DEN 25.6-38.8 293.6 Yds 2.7 TD 0.9 INT
R. Wilson SEA 17.8-29.1 222.5 Yds 1.7 TD 0.7 INT
Rushing
Marshawn Lynch SEA 72.8 Yds 0.8 TD
Russell Wilson SEA 31.2 Yds 0.1 TD
Knowshon Moreno DEN 62.4 Yds 0.5 TD
Montee Ball DEN 33.6 Yds 0.2 TD
Receiving
Golden Tate SEA 60.3 Yds 0.3 TD
Doug Baldwin SEA 47.0 Yds 0.3 TD
Zach Miller SEA 25.7 Yds 0.3 TD
Percy Harvin SEA 48.0 Yds 0.3 TD
Demaryius Thomas DEN 76.9 Yds 0.7 TD
Eric Decker DEN 69.2 Yds 0.5 TD
Wes Welker DEN 51.5 Yds 0.5 TD
Julius Thomas DEN 48.4 Yds 0.6 TD
I'm already there with you BP!!!
Was a terrible investment strategy. thought for sure we would see 3 by game time. but there is not enough public money in the world to get it there. if it touches 3 it will get beat down with the quickness.
2/2/2014 6:25 PM Props Football 961 Any player evaluated for a concussion* -145 vs No player evaluated for a concussion
any memeber of the Fox team confirms a player is being checked for a concussion
but it relies on your book grading it in an honest fashion.
I seen this prop and it caught my eye, does anyone have any opinions or thoughts? I am a little concerned about the weather.
** Broncos to score in all 4 quarters + 200
No TD Welker -155
I did play Wilson over 199.5 passing yds, but don't love it.
That's pretty much why I'd never consider betting on things like "who does the MVP thank first" or "what color Gatorade" or "how many omahas". I want things that can be graded in a "concrete" manner, and don't want my book getting to make the call after seeing how their action fell.
In the first Eli Manning Super Bowl my wife decided to bet Eli for MVP and we all told her that was impossible!
She cashed in for $10,000.
Is this similar to the Craigslist or the Youtube?:laugh:
I've been thinking this over since about an hour after the conference championship games ended. My final answer is that there just doesn't seem to be enough line value on either the side or total. So, unless a rogue three pops up, I'm not betting the game. Still, I have this odd instinct inside of me that says that Denver just isn't going to lose. There was a time when I would always listen to such instincts, but my discipline has evolved over the years.
I have your YTD as 1-0 (+1 units)
All credit to Broadway Joe.
Great call on this lumpy. Never even had a chance.