Apparently sharper guys see win vs Philly as fluke. Philly got cute and won a ton of games at the end of the season. None of them were playoff caliber teams though. Seattle much better competition, much better home stats, playing a N.O. Saints team that is still bad on the road.
Staying away myself. Like the SD/DEN under much better.
"Current ticket breakdown on the 4 divisional games via @Sportsbook_com : 84% 49ers, 73% Saints, 69% Chargers, & 68% Colts #PublicDarlings"
yes, Obi. Covers shows the same thing--today's dogs are public darlings. It's very unusual that the public likes the dogs. I love anticonsensus faves, hence both faves today. Tomorrow's SD/Den game does not quite reach my sentiment threshholds to bet it.
A nugget from Bill Simmons' article: 'NFL Lessons Learned"
"If you ranked every playoff team just by Jeff Sagarin's strength-of-schedule rankings, the team that played a harder schedule is 36-12 straight-up and 36-12 against the spread since 2002. When you narrow those numbers to teams that finished at least 10 SOS spots higher than their opponent, they improve to a staggering 23-3 straight-up and 22-3-1 against the spread (including New Orleans, Indy and San Francisco last weekend). FILE THIS SHIT AWAY FOR 2015, FELLOW GAMBLING JUNKIES!!!"
A nugget from Bill Simmons' article: 'NFL Lessons Learned"
"If you ranked every playoff team just by Jeff Sagarin's strength-of-schedule rankings, the team that played a harder schedule is 36-12 straight-up and 36-12 against the spread since 2002. When you narrow those numbers to teams that finished at least 10 SOS spots higher than their opponent, they improve to a staggering 23-3 straight-up and 22-3-1 against the spread (including New Orleans, Indy and San Francisco last weekend). FILE THIS SHIT AWAY FOR 2015, FELLOW GAMBLING JUNKIES!!!"
That leaves me WAY on the wrong side of NewEng/Indy. If I saw this sooner, I might have stayed away.
coach
Senior Member
Comments
Staying away myself. Like the SD/DEN under much better.
"Current ticket breakdown on the 4 divisional games via @Sportsbook_com : 84% 49ers, 73% Saints, 69% Chargers, & 68% Colts #PublicDarlings"
yes, Obi. Covers shows the same thing--today's dogs are public darlings. It's very unusual that the public likes the dogs. I love anticonsensus faves, hence both faves today. Tomorrow's SD/Den game does not quite reach my sentiment threshholds to bet it.
Hey Rhino,
Here's what I wrote yesterday on SD/DEN:
http://www.bettingtalk.com/forum/showthread.php/175857-Divisional-Round?p=826801#post826801
"If you ranked every playoff team just by Jeff Sagarin's strength-of-schedule rankings, the team that played a harder schedule is 36-12 straight-up and 36-12 against the spread since 2002. When you narrow those numbers to teams that finished at least 10 SOS spots higher than their opponent, they improve to a staggering 23-3 straight-up and 22-3-1 against the spread (including New Orleans, Indy and San Francisco last weekend). FILE THIS SHIT AWAY FOR 2015, FELLOW GAMBLING JUNKIES!!!"
That leaves me WAY on the wrong side of NewEng/Indy. If I saw this sooner, I might have stayed away.