732 Texas Southern -4.5
helmut
Senior Member
I don't get this line at all I really thought it would have been 10 or more.
Since the start of 2012 at home in SWAC games Texas Southern is 18-1 with the one loss coming in an OT game. During this span they won 15 of them by 10+ and other than the one loss they won all the others by at least seven. They got some big stud from La Salle this year and have a pretty good coach in Mike Davis. Also they have won their last four home games against Southern by margins of 13, 34, 8, 14.
Since the start of 2012 at home in SWAC games Texas Southern is 18-1 with the one loss coming in an OT game. During this span they won 15 of them by 10+ and other than the one loss they won all the others by at least seven. They got some big stud from La Salle this year and have a pretty good coach in Mike Davis. Also they have won their last four home games against Southern by margins of 13, 34, 8, 14.
Comments
I bet it
This is pretty much fezzikian/Bostonian analysis if you ask me, past performances by the programs aren't necessarily a good predictor of today's matchup. Those last four home games juxtaposed with today's "short" line would make me think that you're probably kinda sorta missing something with your "analysis" here.
I agree with this. I made the game 5 fwiw.
FML
-4 here. The age old question. One team can't throw it in the ocean offensively(Southern), the other couldn't defend against their own mother's(Tx Southern), what gives? On the other side, Tx Southern very good offensively against a bottom 60 schedule, Southern solid on D against a top 50'ish schedule, only teams they struggled with are the Baylor's and Arizona's. I almost always side with the D especially when they have played up. Think they got this line right.
FWIW, the "stud" from La Salle spent last year at W Virginia.
I remember the days when "fezzikian/Bostonian analysis " would have been considered a compliment lol.
Southern 69.22 Texas Southern 69.74 138.96 0.52 -0.52 1/6/2014 (Home)
I've got it at 146, exactly what the opening number was. It's been bet down a bit and I can get behind that. If forced to play a total, I'd lean under due to what SY said - I trust Southern's D a bit more than Texas Southern's O because Southern has played a much tougher schedule.
Last year almost every ESPNU SWAC game had above average pace for the teams that were playing. Every game but one had 6 or more possessions in their TV game than their non-TV game. It seems like they know they are on TV. The totals were lower too.
Hopefully they don't find out how many people will actually be watching them on TV tonight...
They will have at least 1.
Hey-- they'll get me every timeout in the football game-- which means I'll end up seeing most of the BB game. :laugh: