New Orleans Saints Off Bye Week

sweetjones55

I went ahead and researched the New Orleans Saints off a bye week since 2009. I thought with a great coach like Sean Payton that they may have an advantage off bye weeks. Just thought I'd share my findings.

The final findings were....
Saints off Bye: 7-1 Straight Up and ATS (only loss on road)
Brees off Bye: 362 Yards Per Game, 26TD-3INT (90% TD-INT Ratio, career 66% TD-INT ratio)
Saints Average 40.4PPG Off Bye, Scored 31+ Points in every game off Bye


Saints off Bye in Regular Season

2009: 48-27 WIN vs NY Giants
-Line: Saints -3.5
-Brees 369 Yards 4TD's, 0 INT's

2010: 34-19 WIN vs Seattle
-Line: Saints -11
-Brees 382 Yards 4TD's 2 INT's

2011: 49-24 WIN vs Giants
-Line: Saints -7
-Brees 363 Yards 4TD 0 INT's

2012: 35-28 WIN @Bucaneers
-LIne: Saints -1
- Brees 377 Yards 4TD's 1 INT

Saints off Bye (Playoff Games)

2009 Round 1: 45-14 WIN vs Arizona
-Line: Saints -7
-Breees 247 Yards 0TD's 1INT

2009 Super Bowl: 31-17 WIN vs Indy
-Line Saints +6 (varied)
-Brees 288 Yards 2 TD's 0 INT's

2010 1st Round: 41-36 loss @Seattle
-Line: Saints -9.5
-Brees 404 Yards 2TD 0 INT

2011 1st Round: 45-28 Win vs Det
-Line: Saints -10.5
-Brees 466 Yards 3TD 0 INT

eug44

this is really interesting...considering that BG is playing the under - are you guys following bg, the over trend or passing the game?

groovinmahoovin

8 games is too small a sample to draw a conclusion. The tout frauds all have a large list of small sample angles (RJ Bell posts 50+ such angles each week) but it's all datamined garbage. In this case, the trend isn't strictly untrue--the bye week certainly helps the rested team--but that's certainly reflected in the line to a large extent and it's not exactly inside info--the mainstream media mentions off the bye week advantages all the time. I'd be morally certain that BG has already incorporated the bye week angle into his model.

eug44

I have mixed opinions on the trend but I do think its valid, two main factors are consistent (payton and brees) - I really don't care that the saints averaged before brees.

sweetjones55

Brees/Saints domination off bye weeks continue.
Saints 35-17 WIN SU/ATS
Brees 332 Yards 5TD's 0 INT's

kane

Pretty sure Brees would have put up these types of numbers at home against the Bills whether they were coming off a bye or not.

crazyivan24

Nice call sweetjones55