Fat Polamalu loves golf
Fat Polamalu
Senior Member
Alright, Im gonna hop in the pool and start posting some golf plays. Ill try and give this a solid effort until the end of the FedEx cup playoffs and the Presidents Cup.
I mostly play 18 hole head to head matchups on Saturdays and Sundays. I never play any sides more than -105. Most of the times these plays will be underdogs odds. Some days there could only be one, others there may be 6 or more plays.
I play tournament winners too, but I play them each way and Im not sure if Im allowed to post those or not. Plus, I usually play my fantasy golf lineup and two long shots, and Im not sure people will want to stomach buying 10 golfers a tournament.
Record: 0 - 0
Units: 0
Saturday - Round 3 - The Barclays (pinny)
Luke Donald (+112) over H.Stenson
Charles Howell III (+106) over R.Moore
Kyle Stanley (+120) over J.Huh
Jim Furyk (+100) over H.Mahan
Brendon De Jonge (+112) over J.Blixt
Rory McIlroy (+125) over T.Woods
Charl Schwartzel (+120) over A.Scott
Gary Woodland (+115) over R.Fowler
Good luck, y'all!
I mostly play 18 hole head to head matchups on Saturdays and Sundays. I never play any sides more than -105. Most of the times these plays will be underdogs odds. Some days there could only be one, others there may be 6 or more plays.
I play tournament winners too, but I play them each way and Im not sure if Im allowed to post those or not. Plus, I usually play my fantasy golf lineup and two long shots, and Im not sure people will want to stomach buying 10 golfers a tournament.
Record: 0 - 0
Units: 0
Saturday - Round 3 - The Barclays (pinny)
Luke Donald (+112) over H.Stenson
Charles Howell III (+106) over R.Moore
Kyle Stanley (+120) over J.Huh
Jim Furyk (+100) over H.Mahan
Brendon De Jonge (+112) over J.Blixt
Rory McIlroy (+125) over T.Woods
Charl Schwartzel (+120) over A.Scott
Gary Woodland (+115) over R.Fowler
Good luck, y'all!
Comments
Here is what Im playing today.
Sunday - Round 4 - The Barclays (pinny)
Charl Schwartzel (+108) over H.Mahan
Graham DeLaet (-105) over R.Sabbatini
D.A. Points (-105) over G.Chalmers
Kevin Chappell (+120) over D.Lynn
Gary Woodland (+100) over K.Streelman
Is there any specific reason for this? Just because something is lined higher than -105, doesn't mean it can't be +EV.
If Tiger Woods was matched up against me today, -10000 would be an incredible bet.
Unrelated: Feel free to bench your guys and rest them for next week's matchup in fantasy baseball today....FML
Degenerate filter, mostly. :laugh:
I use rankings based on in-tournament stats and then compare numbers. I print the books card, and get the numbers beside each player. Then I compare them, and decide wether I agree with the ranks based on what I watch/know/read/handicap etc. I've found so far that I can find enough plays I like at -105 or less, so I've been sticking to it. Its not a perfect system (see first post), but I've had moderate success throughout the season.
The ranks I use had Gary Woodland (shot 3 under) ranked #1 and Rory McIlroy (finished even with three birdies and three bogeys) ranked #2 overall yesterday. Same goes for today. Sergio is #29 overall. When I add a little course weight to the pot, Rory drops down to #32 while Sergio hangs around at #31.
I think Rory is really close to getting his game back now. Garcia could have a tough time with the NYC crowds. The weighted rankings give me a bit of worry, but If I had to pick, I'd play Rory.
I can hit, but I can't pitch. :smoking:
I really hope I can live up to the hype you guys are giving me. So much pressure.
Record: 5 - 6 - 2
Units: (-0.73)
Luke Donald (+112) over H.Stenson - W - (+1.12)
Charles Howell III (+106) over R.Moore - L - (-1.00)
Kyle Stanley (+120) over J.Huh - L - (-1.00)
Jim Furyk (+100) over H.Mahan - W - (+1.00)
Brendon De Jonge (+112) over J.Blixt - L - (-1.00)
Rory McIlroy (+125) over T.Woods - L - (-1.00)
Charl Schwartzel (+120) over A.Scott - L - (-1.00)
Gary Woodland (+115) over R.Fowler - W - (+1.15)
Charl Schwartzel (+108) over H.Mahan - P - (0.00)
Graham DeLaet (-105) over R.Sabbatini - W - (+1.00)
D.A. Points (-105) over G.Chalmers - W - (+1.00)
Kevin Chappell (+120) over D.Lynn - L - (-1.00)
Gary Woodland (+100) over K.Streelman - P - (0.00)
Overall Record
Record: 5 - 6 - 2
Units: (-0.73)
If I didn't follow the rules correctly, please let me know.
Billy Horschel (-105) Vs. J.Huh
Josh Teater (+112) Vs M.Leishman
Boo Weekley (+115) Vs N.Watney
Brian Gay (+120) Vs S.Piercy
Brendon De Jonge (+111) Vs H.English
Good luck!
Camilo Villegas (-105) over P.Perez
Harris English (+120) over G.Woodland
Bob Estes (-105) over S.Cink
Kevin Stadler (+111) over R.Castro
Sergio Garcia (+115) over H.Stenson
Charl Schwartzel (+103) over J.Rose
Record: 5 - 6
Units: (-0.48)
Billy Horschel (-105) Vs. J.Huh - L - (-1.00)
Josh Teater (+112) Vs M.Leishman - L - (-1.00)
Boo Weekley (+115) Vs N.Watney - W - (+1.15)
Brian Gay (+120) Vs S.Piercy - L - (-1.00)
Brendon De Jonge (+111) Vs H.English - W - (+1.11)
Camilo Villegas (-105) over P.Perez - W - (+1.00)
Harris English (+120) over G.Woodland - W - (+1.20)
Bob Estes (-105) over S.Cink - L - (-1.05)
Kevin Stadler (+111) over R.Castro - W - (+1.11)
Sergio Garcia (+115) over H.Stenson - L - (-1.00)
Charl Schwartzel (+103) over J.Rose - L - (-1.00)
The Barclays
Record: 5 - 6 - 2
Units: (-0.73)
Overall Record
Record: 10 - 12 - 2
Units: (-1.21)
Justin Rose (+102) vs S.Stricker
Adam Scott (+124) vs Tiger Woods
Matt Every (+105) vs S.Stallings
Chris Stroud (+107) vs K.Stadler
Billy Horschel (-105) vs C.Howell lll
Bubba Watson (+100) vs W.Simpson
Jimmy Walker (+122) vs R.Moore
Luke Donald (-103) vs S.Garcia
Kevin Streelman (+115) over B.Watson
Sergio Garcia (+100) over J.Day
That was part of it. I don't know what will happen now that its been delayed until today.
So far this project has been disappointing. Im gonna need a big tour championship and President's Cup to get back in the black.
Tour Championship - 72 Hole Matchups
Brandt Snedeker (+103) vs H.Mahan
Hunter Mahan (-107) vs S.Garcia
Jordan Speith (+117) vs C.Schwartzel
Ill update my crappy record before my next post.
Good luck, y'all!
If Sergio wins, drinks on gatorshoosiers!
My two dogs are Watney and Castro. I might put a little on Kuchar before game time.
Good luck, fellas.
Broke a rule and took a -107.
Tour Championship - Round 3
Steve Stricker (-107) Vs P.Mickelson
Billy Horschel (+111) Vs D.Johnson
Henrik Stenson (+107) Vs A.Scott
Boo Weekley (+116) vs C.Schwartzel
Graham DeLaet (+115) vs J.Furyk
Hunter Mahan (-105) vs J.Day
Jordan Spieth (+119) vs L.Donald
Billy Horschel (+138) vs J.Rose
Good luck!
Record: 5 - 6
Units: (-0.53)
** correction on -105 losing bet. Counted as -1.00 when it should have been -1.05
The Barclays
Record: 5 - 6 - 2
Units: (-0.73)
BMW Championship
Record: 2 - 5 - 3
Units: (-2.95)
Tour Championship
Record: 4 - 6 - 1
Units: (-1.64)
Overall Record
Record: 16 - 23 - 6
Units: (-5.85)
Pretty disappointing results so far. Hopefully I can make this all up during this week for the President's Cup.
For this event, there will be bets above the -105 mark. Ill probably post two top scoring plays from each team before it starts as well.
Steve Stricker +666 (runnin' with the devil!)
Matt Kuchar +859 (Kuch has to love this venue. His last four starts he finished 1st, 2nd, 8th and 5th)
Hunter Mahan +1126 (Probably still has a chip on his shoulder and wants to prove he should have been on the last Ryder Cup team)
Top International Scorer
Jason Day +546 (Playing well coming in the event. Familiar with the location)
Hideki Matsuyama +1093 (The international version of Jordan Speith)
Angel Cabrera (El Pato!!!! The Duck, with nerves of steel.)
Scott/Matsuyama (-113)
Mickelson/Bradley (-158)
Stricker/Spieth (-169)
Kuchar/Woods (-200)
Grace/Sterne (+147)
Good luck!
Just noticed I missed the odds for El Pato as top scorer. His price was +1192.