Need help? Hedge?
stevebodnar
Senior Member
06/26/2013
12:26 PM
[Ticket #: 144477969] PARLAY (3 TEAMS) RR (1P-3T)
06/26/2013 @ 07:10 PM MLB [905] PHI PHILLIES -1½+140
( C HAMELS -L / R ERLIN -L )
06/26/2013 @ 12:45 PM MLB [920] OAK ATHLETICS -1½+170
( H BAILEY -R / A GRIFFIN -R )
06/26/2013 @ 12:50 PM MLB [921] PIT PIRATES +155
( ACTION )
127.00 1971.55
12:26 PM
[Ticket #: 144477969] PARLAY (3 TEAMS) RR (1P-3T)
06/26/2013 @ 07:10 PM MLB [905] PHI PHILLIES -1½+140
( C HAMELS -L / R ERLIN -L )
06/26/2013 @ 12:45 PM MLB [920] OAK ATHLETICS -1½+170
( H BAILEY -R / A GRIFFIN -R )
06/26/2013 @ 12:50 PM MLB [921] PIT PIRATES +155
( ACTION )
127.00 1971.55
Comments
would you hedge?
You should not hedge unless any of the following conditions apply...
1. You believe the hedge bet is +EV on its own.
2. You overbet the original side and need to reduce your exposure.
3. You stand to win a life-altering amount of money (this usually only applies in contest or game show type scenarios).
NOTE: This is the mathematically correct answer; psychology is not taken into account. If you're a recreational gambler who wants to hedge to be happier, go for it, just know that the math does not support it unless any of the above conditions are met.
stop being modest. at least 100 times
Nice hit Steve
I agree with everything you said, up until the "if".
I've made the blanket statement before about never playing them, and then had it pointed out that there are circumstances (free plays, trying to circumvent limits, etc) where they can make sense on rare occasions.
even if they lose have 2400 and cashing out!!!
ONLINE
06/27/2013
06:33 AM
[Ticket #: 144512362] STRAIGHT BET
06/27/2013 @ 08:30 AM MU [4130] BOBBY REYNOLDS +3000
(NOVAK DJOKOVIC vrs BOBBY REYNOLDS)
50.00 1500.00
ONLINE
06/27/2013
07:28 AM
[Ticket #: 144513648] STRAIGHT BET
06/27/2013 @ 08:30 AM MU [4130] BOBBY REYNOLDS +3000
(NOVAK DJOKOVIC vrs BOBBY REYNOLDS)
50.00 1500.00
ONLINE
06/27/2013
08:01 AM
[Ticket #: 144514649] STRAIGHT BET
06/27/2013 @ 08:50 AM MU [4146] ROBERTO BAUTISTA-AGUT +500
(DAVID FERRER vrs ROBERTO BAUTISTA-AGUT)
103.00 515.00
ONLINE
06/27/2013
08:11 AM
[Ticket #: 144515015] STRAIGHT BET
06/27/2013 @ 08:30 AM MU [4130] BOBBY REYNOLDS +3000
(NOVAK DJOKOVIC vrs BOBBY REYNOLDS)
100.00 3000.00