Betting Talk

Value in Louisville -155 to win it all??

rmbullisrmbullis Senior Member
edited April 2013 in Sports Betting
-600 or worse tonight & I believe they will be -200 to -250 in the final. Seems like a good price at -155. Opinions??

Comments

  • 6pounder6pounder Senior Member
    edited April 2013
    Yes, it's a good deal.
  • 6pounder6pounder Senior Member
    edited April 2013
    You can do better than -155 though
  • buffettgamblerbuffettgambler Senior Handicapper
    edited April 2013
    Market implied NVL closer to the -115 to -120 range.
    They will likely trade shorter in the finals than what you stated.
  • GoatsGoats Head Moderator
    edited April 2013
    buffettgambl wrote: »
    Market implied NVL closer to the -115 to -120 range.
    They will likely trade shorter in the finals than what you stated.

    This.
  • 6pounder6pounder Senior Member
    edited April 2013
    These guys are correct. Better answer than mine but in a year when the field appeared to be as wide open as any I think Louisville is clearly the best team. You won't be able to get -115 or -120 but -140 is available. Good deal is probably the wrong words to use here but I think you are right in saying the finals will be around -200, especially with another strong showing by Louisville today.
  • cabster13cabster13 Senior Member
    edited April 2013
    going with Michigan at +320
  • lakers22lakers22 Senior Member
    edited April 2013
    I grabbed Louis at -135 on my local on Monday
  • JalapanoseJalapanose Banned
    edited April 2013
    cabster13 wrote: »
    going with Michigan at +320


    You've gotta be able to do better than that with a ml parlay, assuming Louisville win admittedly
  • TexasHookEmTexasHookEm Senior Member
    edited April 2013
    6pounder wrote: »
    These guys are correct. Better answer than mine but in a year when the field appeared to be as wide open as any I think Louisville is clearly the best team. You won't be able to get -115 or -120 but -140 is available. Good deal is probably the wrong words to use here but I think you are right in saying the finals will be around -200, especially with another strong showing by Louisville today.

    LOL, wait, so are you saying it is a good deal (like you said earlier), or a bad deal (like the other two said)? How can you agree with what they said, but also think the finals will be -200?
  • rmbullisrmbullis Senior Member
    edited April 2013
    So the bottom line is there is no value in Louisville to win unless it is even money or better??
  • 6pounder6pounder Senior Member
    edited April 2013
    TexasHookEm wrote: »
    LOL, wait, so are you saying it is a good deal (like you said earlier), or a bad deal (like the other two said)? How can you agree with what they said, but also think the finals will be -200?

    Good deal was the wrong phrase to use for sure. My bad. But I do think Louisville is head and shoulders above the other 3 teams. They can play fast or slow and have improved as much as anybody throughout the year. -155 is actually a bad deal considering -137 I believe is available. Goats and buffet gambler said it better than me. however you can't get -115 or -120. I think -140 is a good bet and I do think you will see Louisville at -200 or better in the finals if they win easy today which I think they should. Sorry for the confusion and I deserve to be bashed on my first post.
  • TexasHookEmTexasHookEm Senior Member
    edited April 2013
    6pounder wrote: »
    Good deal was the wrong phrase to use for sure. My bad. But I do think Louisville is head and shoulders above the other 3 teams. They can play fast or slow and have improved as much as anybody throughout the year. -155 is actually a bad deal considering -137 I believe is available. Goats and buffet gambler said it better than me. however you can't get -115 or -120. I think -140 is a good bet and I do think you will see Louisville at -200 or better in the finals if they win easy today which I think they should. Sorry for the confusion and I deserve to be bashed on my first post.
    Definitely wasn't trying to bash you, sorry if it came out that way.
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