Need some survivor advice

JB531

My pool is down to me and one other guy for a $1,000 pot. I need some advice on what I should do this week. Here is the breakdown so far..

He's used / I've used
Ravens / Texans
Chargers / Bengals
Bears / Cowboys
Texans / Ravens
49ers / 49ers
Falcons / Falcons
Patriots / Patriots
Packers / Packers
Lions / Chargers
Steelers / Steelers
Cowboys / Broncos
Broncos / Bears
Jets / Bills
Seahawks / Seahawks

differences in bold

I'm almost positive he will be on the Dolphins (-7) this week. I have the Dolphins available, but I'm thinking I should use the Lions (-6) this week as they play the Falcons and Bears the next two weeks. He's already used Lions.

Say he's on Dolphins and they win and I take Lions, would you put money on the Cardinals at +6 to cover yourself in case they upset the Lions? Best case Lions win and dont cover the 6. Worst case Lions cover, you lose money on the +6 and eventually lose the survivor pool as well.. What do you guys think?

Dave Mason

What if he doesn't use MIA?

JB531

The Miami game is three hours before the Detroit game and I will know who he has once his pick kicks off. He's been predictable by taking the highest favorite available which would be Miami for him this week

Dave Mason

I would let it ride out and select the team you want.
Your downside example is just plan ugly

pokpok1616

I also need help with wk 15 survivor, so I'm pretty familiar with this week's matchups. I have lions as one of my difficult choices, too but not sold on them yet. It seems they always find a way to lose a winnable game and Arizona at home has tough defense. Since youre sure he'll use miami why don't u pick the same, not that they are a lock, and wait for a better spot in the next two weeks to have showdown with him. Unless Houston is available for u this week, I'd pick them over lucky Indy..