NFL season thread
lumpy19
Senior Member
Week 1
Buffalo +4.5 2u
Tenn +6.5
SF +6.5
Cincy +6.5
Buffalo +4.5 2u
Tenn +6.5
SF +6.5
Cincy +6.5
Comments
Could you explain a little more on why you would play these numbers at 6.5? And why you wouldn't consider buying to 7 or waiting?
Pinnacle/CRIS never had 7.5 for san fran
If you could show me where Ten was +7 for months on end that would be great, CRIS opened at 6.5 and hasn't moved, pinny opened at 7 and within a day was at +7 -113
I never said I wouldn't consider buying to 7, if you can buy 7 for -120 I'd recommend that.
Currently beating the market on all 3 that have moved and Ten is still at 6.5, I'll take that.
All I'm saying is you really hurt yourself not playing at 7. Who plays 6.5 in the NFL???
Pretty bold statements here. This might shock u but some people might want to bet more then the limits I'm sure 5dimes had at open etc.
Also, I know you are new here but u can't post lines from 5dimes or any other book anyway. For all u know he played the 5dimes open
Lumpy also likely mentioned Pinny/CRIS since our record keeping guidelines require all lines to come from only those two books and do not allow point-buying.
EDIT: Obviously was posting at the same time as worm33's above post.
I'm not trying to be a douchebag and like Lumpy said the lines again moved in his favor. I think these are "good" bets but could've have been "awesome" bets at the best number of 7/7.5
Bookmaker and CRIS are the same book. Bookmaker is for US, CRIS for non-US.
5dimes line history on NE/Ten
07/17/12 02:27:18am
-7+05
+7-25
07/12/12 01:27:28pm
-7+10
+7-30
06/27/12 09:42:58am
-7½+20
+7½-40
05/26/12 11:44:07am
-7½+15
+7½-35
+6.5 -110 is roughly the same as those numbers, I also addressed some of your questions in post #4
On NE/Ten it opened at Pinny as +7 and sat there for 2 full months before it moved to +7 -122 (still better than +6.5 -110)....you couldn't get down in that 60 day period?
On SF/GB it opened at Pinny at +7 and was there for a full month, then moved to -115 then to 6.5 19 days later...
So yeah, you laid horrid numbers....esp when considering 6.5 to 7...5.5 to 5 would have been one thing....
You're overvaluing 7, but feel free to come in here 2 months after the thread was started and make comments.
If you're truly concerned with how you're coming off in this thread as you mentioned in post #14, I'd consider letting it go.
Your posts are moving away from being constructive IMO.
Seriously? Because u can't buy points per the record keeping guidelines.
Bet 6.5 -110 like 5 days later. That's a horrible bet I'm sorry you'll never win doing that
Yup a horrible bet, I made 4 bets, 3 have moved in my favor and the other hasn't moved. I'm pretty awesome but I'm not awesome enough to get the line at the apex every time, my apologies.
I'll subscribe to your thread because apparently you have this ability.
ETA: And I'll point out that I thought maybe the NE/Ten line would move back to 7 but I wasn't willing to wait, post #4 answers your question
I told you they were good bets and I also said they would've been great if
You pulled the trigger sooner.
And for the record my comment about using Bookmaker was to Lumpy using Pinny lines and not to Goats.
So you called someone out for a bad bet but it was a good bet?
He beat the movements, didn't he? Couldn't have smashed the movements if he was a little quicker.
Goats, how are posts like this constructive? Or the one about Contrarian? Let's not play favorites here....
I'm done here, but u haven't been constructive from the start. I've never seen somebody post in another persons thread and tell them they suck. Who does that?