NCAAF Week 7 Plays
horn
Super Moderator
Overall: 54-44 (+5.60 units)
Sides: 23-16 (+5.35 units)
Totals: 30-25 (+2.50 units)
Team Totals: 0-1 (-1.15 units)
1H: 1-0 (+1 unit)
2H: 0-1 (-1.10 units)
ML: 0-1 (-1 unit)
Props:
104 Cal +3.5 -115
135 Miami Ohio -5.5
137 Western Michigan -1.5
162 Tulane -1
1104 USC/Cal UNDER 29.5 1H
Michigan State -2.5 -115 2h
105 Hawaii/SJSU OVER 55.5
121 VT/Wake OVER 49
131 Iowa State/Missouri OVER 55
143 Arizona State/Oregon OVER 66
146 UGA/Vanderbilt UNDER 42
161 UTEP/Tulane OVER 57
167 New Mexico/Nevada OVER 62
Sides: 23-16 (+5.35 units)
Totals: 30-25 (+2.50 units)
Team Totals: 0-1 (-1.15 units)
1H: 1-0 (+1 unit)
2H: 0-1 (-1.10 units)
ML: 0-1 (-1 unit)
Props:
104 Cal +3.5 -115
135 Miami Ohio -5.5
137 Western Michigan -1.5
162 Tulane -1
1104 USC/Cal UNDER 29.5 1H
Michigan State -2.5 -115 2h
105 Hawaii/SJSU OVER 55.5
121 VT/Wake OVER 49
131 Iowa State/Missouri OVER 55
143 Arizona State/Oregon OVER 66
146 UGA/Vanderbilt UNDER 42
161 UTEP/Tulane OVER 57
167 New Mexico/Nevada OVER 62
Comments
Glad to hear that. Any thoughts on Temple/Buffalo?
FWIW...W. Michigan is my biggest play of the yr thus far. crossing fingers that that isnt the kiss-o-death.
First off, let me preface this by saying that predicting line movement has been extremely challenging for me this season.
That being said, if I had to guess, it will close lower than 14. It's currently 13.5 right now. Personally, I would not be in a rush to lay this number with the Noles. They obviously have the superior team athletically but they just aren't playing very good ball right now. They were very sloppy last week turning it over a bunch, making untimely penalties, and they struggled mightily at times with the Wake offense. Both teams should have plenty of success through the air. I think the line is probably about right, I made it slightly lower but really don't have enough interest to get involved.
Can a team from the big ten give another 40? I don't mean linebacker U lol.
I made it 34. In a more reasonably lined game, obviously a 6 point variance in my line vs. posted line would be a bet right away. Wisky is a real darling right now with bettors and after what they did to Indy last season, 83-20 (lol), had to figure the number was gonna be a bit inflated. I'm not in a mad rush to get involved, but if this thing keeps getting bet up and I can get 6 TD's, I'll prob hop on the Hoosier wagon and hold my nose.
hey stu id be own the hogs like white own rice in the national title game against houston cougars
Oklahoma State -7 1/2 against Texas Oklahoma -35 against Texas. One has to love both Oklahoma teams don't you think. Last week OSU destroyed Kansas, they could have scored close to a 100 points pulling the starters with 4 minutes left in the first half ahead 55-7. OU destroyed Texas thru great defense, turnovers, and throwing the ball. I think both OSU and OU will try to match their in-state rivals results from last Saturday. If I had to pick one, I go with the Cowboys. OSU should shred Texas' secondary And the Cowboys should be able to control the young 'Horns.
OK so the market crapped all over this....do we buy more at -3 -115?
Probably. I feel pretty strongly about it and it's a little bit early for MAC fix money to come in, IMO. I will post something later that a friend of mine wrote in jest when I asked him to make a case for Kent State in this game.
Makes sense to me, oilman. I haven't really visited either game yet but I think those would be the only ways that I could play them. Probably depends on how long Okie plays their starters.
I gotta kick outta this. This is when I asked a friend to make a case for Kent State:
Kent State is a member of the Mid-American Conference home of famous players such as Scooter McDougle. With the highest ranked Offense in college football averaging a powerful 2.6 yards per play and 171 yards per game the Redhawks will have their hands full with their lowly 58th ranked Defense. To make matters worse, the strength of the Miami Ohio defense is their rush defense but that won't matter because the Flashes are exceptional passing the football. They have thrown 3 Td while only throwing a measly 8 interceptions and this is while employing a high-risk high reward scheme that averages 3.1 yards per pass attempt.
When the Redhawks have the ball they will be forced to throw it because the flashes have an excellent rush defense. Averaging only 7 yards per attempt through the air and 278 yards per game the unused pass offense for miami ohio will have to do something as they are used to leaning on that vaunted run production.
105 Hawaii/SJSU OVER 55.5
121 VT/Wake OVER 49
131 Iowa State/Missouri OVER 55
161 UTEP/Tulane OVER 57
167 New Mexico/Nevada OVER 62
Played few more, much to my bookie's delight, will wait to see if the numbers come back a bit. Was too careless last week with discrepancy in what I bet vs. what I posted and need to tighten it up some, I think.
All that baseball money.....you should be betting all of these!
I'm going to change my approach as well, maybe we will be onto something this week: Tulane and OVER
-Iowa State extremely porous defensively, especially in run defense. 202 ypg @ 4.2 ypc
-Missouri tough to run on and Iowa State has shown they will throw it around, especially when trailing (51 attempts vs Texas)
-Franklin similar to Griifin in sense that he is dual-threat and Iowa State has only been tested once by a guy like that, Griffin had 319 yards of total offense
-Jantz a dual-threat and that isn't something Mizzou often sees (Klein doesn't count because he can't pass)
-Both teams running above average plays per game offensively
-Mizzou defense on field for almost 39 minutes last week
-Ok St on deck for Mizzou so good reason to make sure offense is polished as they have to know they gotta trade scores to win
-Iowa State beneficiaries of playing weak offensive teams that have been undergoing QB trasnitions, scheme transitions, etc and Mizzou has a game where they get off a little bit here and blow off some steam
Good thing fixed games only happen in college ball (wink, wink)
GL Horndogle
5 reasons I will be on Indiana this week:
1) Indiana defense is actually improved (albeit slighly)
2) In last year's 83-20 rout, Wis scored 24, fourth qtr points and caught a lot of flack from the national media for running up the score (even though they weren't)
3) After being at a Badger booster event Wed night and listening to Bielema discuss the game, I don't think Wis will be out to impress the BCS voters
4) Bielema genuinely seems to like and respect the new Ind coach, Wilson
5) Ind +41 with a local