Betting Talk

Arkansas TT Over 27 and Write-Up

babaorileybabaoriley Senior Member
edited January 2011 in Sports Betting
Arkansas was held below 27 points only twice this season.

1) 20 points vs. Bama. Arkansas scored 17 points in the 1st half, took a 20-7 lead in the mid 3rd quarter, then rested on its laurels a tad while simultaneously collapsing with 2 Mallett INTs. Ark had 421 yards of total offense in this game

2) 24 points vs. Texas A&M. Arkansas scored 21 in the 1H, recovered 3 Fumbles inside A&M's 40--only converting one of those tries for a FG, missing another FG and fumbling a snap on another FG attempt. Ark racked up 442 yards of total offense in this one.

More importantly, both of these games came before Knile Davis took on the featured back role as Arkansas realized Davis could gash opposing Defenses hellbent on stopping Mallett. Consider the following...
CAR YDS YPC
9/4 Tennessee Tech W 44-3 6 67 11.2
9/11 @Louisiana-Monroe W 31-7 5 19 3.8
9/18 @Georgia W 31-24 3 -7 -2.3 1 TD
9/25 Alabama L 24-20 6 42 7.0
10/9 @Texas A&M W 24-17 10 82 8.2 (lightbulb clicked during the BYE)
10/16@Auburn L 65-43 14 91 6.5
10/23 Mississippi W 38-24 22 176 8.0 3 TDs
10/30 Vanderbilt W 49-14 19 82 4.3 2 TDs
11/6 @South Carolina W 41-20 22 110 5.0 3 TDs
11/13 UTEP W 58-21 11 182 16.5 1 TD
11/20 @Mississippi State W 38-31 30 187 6.2 2 TDs
11/27 LSU W 31-23 30 152 5.1 1 TD

Prior to & including the A&M game, Davis averaged 6 carries per game. After A&M game, he averaged 21 carries per game.

After the A&M game, Arkansas averaged 42.5 PPG. Throwing out the UTEP game, Arkansas averaged 40PPG against SEC competition (including games @ Auburn, @ South Carolina, @ S. Carolina and vs. LSU) after integrating Davis into the gameplan. In the process Davis rushed for 11 TDs over the Hogs final 5 SEC games.

Ohio State has a good rushing defense but Arkansas' offensive gameplan prevents Ds from keying on either the run or the pass. Truly a balanced offensive attack now.

Arkansas TT Over 27 fairly large for me. Ark +3 for 1 unit play.

GL.

Comments

  • Focused1Focused1 Banned
    edited January 2011
    Nice write up here. Really like Arkansas Over 27!
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