MLB One A Day ; Best Bet ; Tuesday 7-21-09
jackson21
Senior Member
Houston -.5 -110 : 1st 5 inngs St Louis is 2-7 last 9 vs a left handed starter. As an underdog the Cards are 1-5 their last 6. Houston its last 8 home games as a favorite are 6-2. / 16 out of their last 21 home games have been won by the Astros with Wandy Rodrigues as the starting pitcher , who is 3-0 / 0.41 ERA last 3 starts. Taking the risk of a 5 inng play to reduce the juice of -160 for game. The safer play is Houston -160 for game. For this thread going with the -.5 / 5 inng -110......GL
Rec 31-28-2 (+178.50)
Rec 31-28-2 (+178.50)
Comments
21-13 +5.61u
Todays Play is Boston ml- 170
This play is based solely on Beckett's recent performances.
Beckett and Hunter must go as starters
GLTA
2. I will provide another Best Bet of near equal value (actually better, + instead of -)
3. I have reverted back to an old signature that seems especially appropos at this time
5 Inning Play
Indians -.5, +115 </b>Lee / Cecil
Nobody, I mean <b><i>NOBODY,</i></b>likes the Indians these days, and why should they? The Tribe has almost no chance of escaping the AL Central cellar in spite of the fact the Royals are in their division. So why are they a -115 road favorite today and only paying +115 on the run line? <i>Ciff Lee</i> you say! Wrong! It is because the Indians have one great talent left in their rapidly depleting arsenal. They slap lefties like there is no tomorrow. 3.3 rp5ig (runs per 5 inning game, in case you forgot). The BJ's also hit lefties well, but only at a 2.6 rp5ig clip over the course of their last 10 and face a much tougher chucker in Lee than do the Indians in Cecil. So, the odds are low and the run line ain't paying diddly squat because I ain't the only sharp cookie that spotted this play, and the other guy has some really serious coinage on it. GL.
Today I am going with Dodgers RL even
Rec 14-8 +5.05 units
Pirates/Brewers Under 9.5 -240/200
Sorry so late
GL
Sorry for "stealing" your play Key , maybe I'm just starting to think like you.......scary....