TommyL's 2016 Soccer Plays
TommyL
Super Moderator
Starting up the 2016 thread now since these three futures are for the Euro Championship being played in the summer of '16. They are from 5Dimes...
France to win Group A (-275) 2.75 units to win 1 unit
Ukraine to win Group C (+800) 1 unit to win 8 units
Austria to win Group G (+220) 1 unit to win 2.2 units
France to win Group A (-275) 2.75 units to win 1 unit
Ukraine to win Group C (+800) 1 unit to win 8 units
Austria to win Group G (+220) 1 unit to win 2.2 units
Comments
Belgium to win Group E (+115) 1 unit to win 1.15 units
Also note that in my initial post, it's group F for Austria, not G.
USA over 2 (+152) 1 unit to win 1.52 units
Leicester City to win English Premier League (+230) 1.5 units to win 3.45 units
Queretaro -1, -1.5 DC United (-122) 2.44 units to win 2 units
Seattle E, +.5 America (-120) 1.2 units to win 1 unit
LA Galaxy -.5 Santos Laguna (+139) 1 unit to win 1.39 units
Feel free to discuss or ask any questions in here. I've got no issues with it and welcome any soccer talk that we can get.
Santos Laguna -.5 La Galaxy (-134) 2.01 units to win 1.5 units
and tomorrow (3/2)...
America de Mexico -1, -1.5 Seattle (-122) 1.22 units to win 1 unit
Sheffield Wednesday E Brighton (-142) 1.42 units to win 1 unit
I'll get caught up this weekend updating my soccer record, compiling my soccer records from past years (never did get to that), and totaling up my final college hoops result. Things have been crazy as of late, but looking forward to everything settling down with a great summer of soccer on the horizon.
Mexico +.5 France (-135) 1.35 units to win 1 unit
Mexico -.5 France (+220) .5 units to win 1.1 units
It's an U-23 tourney held in Toulon, France.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2016_Toulon_Tournament
And I'm not sure if anywhere other than 5Dimes is offering it. Like Goats said, it's a youth tournament (some teams like France send their U-20, others like Mexico have a lot of their Olympic guys so some go up to 22-23). It's a somewhat prestigious yearly youth tourney that the US actually had some success in last year (finished 3rd if I recall), but no US team over there this year.
Pending:
France to win Group A (-275) 2.75 units to win 1 unit
Ukraine to win Group C (+800) 1 unit to win 8 units
Austria to win Group F (+220) 1 unit to win 2.2 units
Belgium to win Group E (+115) 1 unit to win 1.15 units
I'll be playing a bunch more stuff in the next 24-48 hours as I've finally gotten into seriously capping individual games and rosters in the two big tournaments.
I'm tweaking everything now and rerunning it all. Based on my stuff from the winter, I had it lined closer to the -350 to -400 range.
Brazil -1, -1.5 Panama (-165) 1.65 units to win 1 unit
France has some world class players, but they got spliced up on that Aboubakar goal. Under normal circumstances they beat Romania and Switzerland 8 out of 10 times and Albania 10 out of 10. I'm just a bit weary of the hosts' record in opening games of big tourneys. Romania has the kind of defense that can keep the game 0-0 on June 10th. If that happens the group is wide open. Still don't know what to make of that 4-3 Romania/Ukraine match of yesterday though. Romania allowed more goals in the 2nd half than they had in their Euro 2016 qualifying matches.
Spain -1 South Korea (-138) 1.38 units to win 1 unit
Friday, 6/3
Colombia E USA (-104) 1.04 units to win 1 unit
Colombia -.5 USA (+191) .5 units to win .955 units
Saturday, 6/4
Paraguay E Costa Rica (-107) 2.14 units to win 2 units
Peru -1.5 Haiti (+151) 1 unit to win 1.51 units
Brazil -.5 Ecuador (-110) 1.1 units to win 1 unit
Sunday, 6/5
Venezuela/Jamaica over 2 (-108) 1.08 units to win 1 unit
Monday, 6/6
Panama -.5 Bolivia (+128) 1.5 units to win 1.92 units
Brazil wins Copa America (+530) 1 unit to win 5.3 units
Mexico wins Copa America (+1050) .5 units to win 5.25 units
Team from Group D wins Copa America (+400) 1.5 units to win 6 units
Mexico wins Group D (+125) 1 unit to win 1.25 units
Top Goalscorer: Javier Hernandez (+2800) .2 units to win 5.6 units
Top Goalscorer: Willian (+4000) .15 units to win 6 units
Spain to win Euro 2016 (+570) 1 unit to win 5.7 units
Spain to reach Euro semi-final (+140) 1 unit to win 1.4 units
Spain is highest scoring team (+600) .75 units to win 4.5 units
Albania is lowest scoring team (+500) 1.5 units to win 7.5 units
Top Goalscorer: Alvaro Morata (+2450) .2 units to win 4.9 units
Top Goalscorer: Jamie Vardy (+3450) .1 unit to win 3.45 units
Wales finishes last in Group B (+200) 1.5 units to win 3 units
Iceland finishes last in Group F (+190) 1 unit to win 1.9 units
Group B: England 1st/Russia 2nd (+300) 1 unit to win 3 units
France to advance at -5000 would have been a play for me if either A) one of my credit outs had it available or I wasn't already putting a huge chunk of my bankroll in play over the next month with both of these tournaments. It gets tough to quantify the odds when we get this far as a minor error could really swing things, however I've got them with a >99.5% chance of advancing.
I really don't rate Romania as highly as some others. Their qualifying group was really soft, and while they've gotten a lot of buzz due to only allowing 2 goals and not losing at all, I'm still not a believer. I think that Switzerland is considerably better than them.
Both of these should have read "Group C", not "Group D".
Portugal/England over 2 (-130) 1.3 units to win 1 unit
Seychelles +2 Algeria (+122) 1 unit to win 1.22 units
Czech Republic -.5 South Korea (-130) 1.95 units to win 1.5 units
This one is badly mispriced based upon 5Dimes rules for the bet, though there is a good chance that we end up with "no action".
Just that he must play. So if he comes in sometime around the 80th minute, I've got -335 that he doesn't score in 10 minutes.