helmut
helmut · Senior Member
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YTD 41-28 526 Virginia UNDER 125.5 I don’t understand the overnight money moving this total 6pts higher. Louisville has gone on a little scoring streak here their last three games but that has come against the two worst defenses in the ACC and Bo…
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YTD 38-27 555 Louisiana Lafayette OVER 156 589 William & Mary OVER 151.5 678 Texas El Paso UNDER 131 727 Fort Wayne OVER 157.5
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(Quote) ok i will fix it
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YTD 38-25 882 Monmouth UNDER 138.5 Kenpom has St. Peter’s rated #345 in tempo and their last six games have been their slowest paced games of the season. They are averaging just over 120 total possessions. St. Peter’s also has the best defense in…
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718 Youngstown St. UNDER 163 Not sure why the over has taken so much money on this game. Neither of these offenses are that good. YSU is 7th in the conference and Oakland is 8th. Overall for the entire season kenpom has each teams offense is rated …
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721 Drexel OVER 150 The Dragons defense has been non-existent the last two games and pretty much have played no defense all year. They are allowing opponents to score an average of 85.3 pts in conference games. Over there last eight games opponents…
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545 Villanova OVER 135 The Wildcats are the #3 team in the nation in offense efficiency and they are averaging 75 ppg in conference play. The last four games against Providence the Wildcats have averaged 75.5 ppg. I don’t think Providence is that i…
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529 Marquette OVER 162.5 I think this game stands a good chance to be played at a fast pace. St. John’s is the fastest pace team in the Big East and their last two games against Providence and Xavier were both 150+ possession games. Marquette plays…
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YTD 36-23 567 UCLA OVER 164.5 Over the last seven games he Cougars have not played much defense. They have allowed opponents to score at a 1.19 rate and tonight face the best offense in the Pac 12. They just played Arizona St. to a 91-83 game and…
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765 Denver OVER 154 I’m going to just keep playing these ORU games over. The totals in their five home games have averaged 177 points. You got to think Denver should be able to score here as in conference games they are scoring at 1.155 ppp and ORU…
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YTD 35-22 728 Rutgers UNDER 145 The Knights have played 8 out of 9 conference games under the total. They have only averaged totals of 124.7 ppg in these conference games so far. In conference games the Knights offense has been terrible failing t…
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YTD 34-22 880 California UNDER 129 The Cardinal offense has statistically looked better in the three games leading up to their last game against Oregon but those games were against some very poor P12 defenses. The Cardinal offense is 2nd to last …
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YTD 33-21 707 IUPUI OVER 151.5 These two teams are just behind Nebraska Omaha and are the 2nd and 4th fastest paced teams in the Summit League. The Leathernecks have played their last four games all around 150 total possessions and this game shou…
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YTD 33-20 769 Southeast Missouri St. OVER 151.5 Here is another one I just don’t get why it’s moved 5pts lower from the opener. SE Missouri St. has a couple of guys questionable for tonight but they are not that big of a deal. These teams have a …
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YTD 32-20 591 Oral Roberts OVER 146.5 I’m not sure why this game has taken so much money on the under today. The Summit League games are continuing to fly over the total. The overs in this league are 24-7-1 so far this season. Oral Roberts has pl…
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I took a little break
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747 Western Illinois OVER 158.5 Normally I don’t like to play totals this high over but I think we can make an exception here. When Omaha plays at home they almost always get the pace to where they like and that is super fast. Omaha home games have…
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YTD 32-17 733 North Dakota St. OVER 141.5 I’m going to give the NDSU over another try here this game although in the last one we needed a last second bucket to win. They still have been scoring really well in these Summit league games. We talked …
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YTD 31-17 557 Arizona St. OVER 150 With Jackson-Cartwright back from injury I think this will enable the Wildcats to play a little faster. They play about 2 possessions faster with him on the court than without this season. Earlier this year when…
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775 North Dakota St. OVER 137 I disagree with this move to the under. Over the last six games NDSU games have averaged 152 ppg sure there have been some uptempo opponents in this streak but I think the important thing is how well they have done on …
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779 Western Illinois OVER 143 The Leathernecks have played every conference game over the posted total this season and they have been going over by an average of 20 pts. Denver also has played every conference game over as well. Neither one of the…
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YTD 29-16 738 Marquette UNDER 155.5 I know the Golden Eagles have a very good offense and they have had quite a few games this season where they scored it really well. We get a fairly inflated number here based on all these high scoring games. La…
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I've been extremely fortunate this year to have almost every close game go my way in addition to avoiding OT in every under play despite posting 90% under plays. But yes some of these posting plays lately have either been 50/50's or fore sure losers…
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I still like the UNC under at the adjusted number
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YTD 27-15 756 North Carolina UNDER 164 I think this is just a crazy high total. North Carolina appears to be an under team this season playing 10 out of the 15 lined games under the total. Let’s also not forget despite the Heels playing fast the …
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YTD 25-13 720 Drexel UNDER 157.5 The Dragons have scored well this season so far but they have not played very many tough teams. The two tough out of conference games with Rutgers and St. Joseph’s there offense efficiency was below 1.00 in each g…
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YTD 25-12 566 Southern Methodist UNDER 132 Last year’s game between these teams was relatively fast paced and high scoring but I think it might have been one of those games that just quite don’t make any sense. Going back the last four years betw…
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YTD 24-12 559 Mercer OVER 128 When we look at the tempo in this game there shouldn’t be much pace at all with both these teams ranked in the 300s. But more important than pace is being able to score on offense. Mercer is one of the worst teams in…
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YTD 23-12 740 Seton Hall UNDER 156 None of the previous games between these teams in the last four years have come close to going over this total. Even last year with the new rules both these teams were playing just as fast but neither game came …
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YTD 22-11 540 Georgia Southern UNDER 143.5 I don’t think we will see Georgia St. play these conference games at the same pace that the non-conference games were played at. Last season they were #330 in tempo and this season so far they have playe…