bksze
bksze · Senior Member
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if you're still playing and it's not a big hassle, keep posting. I check in here every now and then, it's nice to see what people are betting on around the world.
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(Quote) Sent a question through your website couple days ago, haven't received a reply yet. Was wondering if your software worked with PPH sites?
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(Quote) Funny you mention this, I know if RAS or lately BG has a good/bad day by the email notifications that pop up in their respective comments thread!
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(Quote) just curious how you know that? I see the bump in pinny at release but how do you differentiate btwn someone max betting or say profiled accounts causing the move?
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I'm a Canadian. If I'm on my laptop or phone connected to an internet connection based out of the states, I cannot access my account. If I use my laptop or phone while roaming on my Canadian mobile data, I have no issues with placing bets from wi…
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(Quote) I can second this. 2014 has not been a good year. I'll be happy if I finish the year winning half of what I've already lost. (About a 16u swing from human error. Learned that sometimes, it's better to take a break when the mind isn't al…
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(Quote) I get that. I thought we were discussing the chance of a 53% capper replicating his exact record. I compared that to a 50% capper replicating his exact result and either way you look at it, extremely bad luck. I thought TotallyTilt had a…
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(Quote) Didn't see the edit yet. I was under the impression that the stat posted was a one directional stat. I didn't know it could be used to infer anything regarding future expected value. If there is a way, please elaborate as that is what I…
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(Quote) Sorry I totally misread your last post. I thought you were suggesting that there is 1% chance (binomial calc for your above example is 0.0099) BG was a 53% capper and I was wondering how you derived that statistic. I totally agree this la…
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(Quote) If his overall plays average out to be -130 faves(not calculated, just a rough eyeball), his implied probability alone should be over 56%. Or did I misread and you were referring to the adjusted win percentage? That being said, if you we…
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(Quote) Especially so, considering of the 220 bets, a good majority were heavy favourites.
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Advising against jumping on DrH bandwagon is no different than advising people to load up on BG picks. Both are opposite sides of the same gambler's fallacy and neither should be used as consideration when subscribing. There is no single act of &q…
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(Quote) Great post, a lot of work goes into doing this properly. It's hard enough to cap and find outs to get down your action, it's another thing to post on this forum in adherance to the strict guidelines. Good luck with quitting the job. A de…
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I think the reason why pinny ran the credit shops was to ensure that their lines were always the most efficient. They know that more money = more information = better lines. I've used 8 different locals. IMO only two of them would send informatio…
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(Quote) Completely agree with your points, in theory. I believe that there isn't enough sharp money to counter act marquee events. Floyd Mayweather might be able to get down 10M because of who he is. How many sharps and syndicates would it take …
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I think this thread is presenting there are two differeing views of efficiency. All the pricing changes in a marquee sporting event are designed to maximize effiiciency from the market maker's perspective. They don't care if one team is actually b…
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Not this one. Stuck in asian view. So annoying but whatever pays the bills. My legit pinn account allows me to toggle back and forth.
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I considered that before but I can't even auto script or use a bot. My version of pinny (HK based) has no rotation numbers and each side shows multple times. pinn.jpg
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Sometimes I honestly feel like they move on air. I have a pretty good rig with fiber speeds and I have never even come close to getting down a ras play. I'd be willing to spend good money on my computer set up if it meant I could hammer down some …
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I notice it doesn't take much to move the pinny golf openers. I'm also not sure if pinny is slowing down or not. I used to never be able to get steviey releases in at pinny before the big jump. I was able to get both totals in this morning. Had …
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This is really great stuff. Good direction to take me to the next level. Have any of you guys heard of MatLab? I live in Alberta, and most of the oil companies use mat lab simulations to interpret seismic data. My buddy and I are currently using…
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10 Stanford 9 Florida State 8 Oklahoma State 7 Alabama 6 Baylor 5 LSU 4 Rice 3 Oregon 2 Cincinatti 1 Michigan
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LW 3-6 -3.9u YTD 25-27-1 -4.1u 301 SDG/DEN o55.5 306 WAS/ATL u51 308 SF/TB u41 309 ARI/TEN o41.5 328 OAK +4 332 PITT 3 -120
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LW 4-2-1 1.8u YTD 22-21-1 -0.2u 132 WAS +3.5 -120 137 OAK +3 -120 143 DET +2.5 146 PIT -3 -120 147 BUF +2.5 148 BUF/TB u43 149 TEN/DEN o49 151 STL +6.5 154 SDG -3 -120
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LW 2-2 -0.2u YTD 18-19 -2u 427 DEN -4.5 427 DEN o48.5 428 JAX/CLE u40.5 432 TB/CAR u41.5 436 PHI 3 -115 444 HOU +9 -120 448 WAS +1
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LW 3-1 2.9u YTD 16-17 -1.8u 212 HOU -10 215 SDG +5 231 DEN -2.5 231 DEN o55.5 will likely have at least one more play for the week
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LW 4-3 0.7u YTD 13-16 -4.7u 309 IND/TEN o42.5 421 KC/DEN o49 422 DEN -8 430 CAR -2.5
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LW 1-4 -3.5u YTD 9-13 -5.4u 108 MINN +1 219 CAR +6.5 219 CAR/SF o43 221 HOU/ARI u41.5 223 DEN/SDG o58 227 TB 3 -120 227 TB/MIA u41.5
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LW 2 - 2 -0.2u YTD 8-9 -1.9u 401 ATL/CAR o43.5 408 STL +3 -120* 411 SDG PK* 416 TB/SEA u40 422 IND/HOU u45
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LW 4-3 +0.7u YTD 6-7 -1.7u 216 CLE/KC u39.5 219 MIA/NE o45 220 NE -6.5 227 ATL +2.5*