Octan21
Octan21 · Member
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Most interesting threads tend to be controversial. Whenever an interesting thread does develop it tends to get "squashed" by the moderator. That's how I see it anyway.
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(Quote) To quote the great Cutter: "Losers cry and Winners Win!"
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Well-said Groovin. Most of these teams have saber-people in the front office, i.e. Houston. They tend to spend their $ wisely. Kansas City on the other hand as others have pointed out, tends to do things in a different ( and most would say less-op…
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This is a first. I've never seen anyone get into it with Bucky Badger before. One of the all-time nicest posters to grace forum land.
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(Quote) No chance of a pissing match----you're a good guy. Anyway, the line closed around -215. So, knowing that, you'd take your chances with Red Sox -180 everytime, right? There's usually one team that is a big loser for you. Conversely, the…
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The Red Sox -180 were a great bet today. Groovin Mahoovin said don't "sweat" the games. I agree. You'll live longer and it's not a productive use of one's time.
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Wish I could mate---this is the best I can come up with.
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Machine spit out line of Seattle -122
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Thank you. I also suspected it might be math-related. Because the amount of time is shorter, then the vig has to be higher. For example, what if books offered 1-inning lines. Could the correct prices also be derived from the full-game lines? I…
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I agree with what Dr. H said.
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Ron, Fangraphs has a 2-part article on African-American baseball players. It's located in "The Hardball Times" section.
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We have close to 400 bets lifetime in the -200 and over category. Rate of ReturnMinus 4.4% Every year I say we're not going to bet them, yet every year I disregard that saying. Sorry, that's against Pinny's closing line. Our actual betting r…
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PJ one of the all-time best posters. However, how about we lock this thread or better yet delete it? A public forum is not a good place for this type of discussion in my opinion.
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(Quote) I'm sure I could have worded things better. What do you mean by "Key maker?" The term "market" gets over-used and misused. I'm probably as guilty of it as anybody. It's highly unlikely anybody could win following me …
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I've been a successful bettor for many years. My take is that BG used to be able to beat baseball but the market caught up to him ( and many other modelers. ) I don't think Tribe has the goods to compete in the baseball market place. Basketball t…
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BW = Betty White She leads a very active lifestyle.
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If my betting model was producing 90% favorites then I would assume something was wrong. The same goes for 90% underdogs.