Oscar Plays 2016..
beefcake
Senior Member
Better late than never. i follow a Math guy(I know you guys on here love that shit!!)..So all these picks are based on math models that he predicts from awarrd shows up to now and win probability..
From 5 dimes
Props..
Field wins best supporting Actor +320 ..1 unit
Field wins best supporting Actress +305 1 unit
Field Wins best Song +215 1 unit
Field wins best Sound Editing +155..1 unit
Field wins best Costume -105..1.60 units to win 1.5
Field wins best Sound mixing -115..Risk 1.15 to win 1
The Revenant over 6.5 wins +220..Risk 1 to win 2.2(Best Picture, Director, Leading Actor, Supporting Actor, Cinematography, Production Design, Film Editing, Vissual Effects, Costume Design, Make Up, Sound Editing, Sound Mixing
Mad Maxx under 4.5 +185..Risk 1 to win 1.85(Best Picture, Director, Cinematography, Production Design, Film Editing, Vissual Effects, Costume Design, Make Up, Sound Editing, Sound Mixing
Longshots..Best supp Actor
Tom Hardy - The Revenant
+2450..Risk 0.25
Mark Ruffalo - Spotlight
+3600 Risk 0.25
Christian Bale - The Big Short
+3600 Risk 0.25
Best Supp Actress
Rooney Mara - Carol
+1950 risk 0,25
Jennifer Jason Leigh - The Hateful Eight
+4500 .10
Rachel McAdams - Spotlight
+17500 ..Risk .10
Best Song..
Simple Song 3 - Youth
+760 Risk 0.25
Earned It - Fifty Shades of Grey
+845 Risk 0.25
Manta Ray - Racing Extinction
+3500 ..Risk 0.10
From 5 dimes
Props..
Field wins best supporting Actor +320 ..1 unit
Field wins best supporting Actress +305 1 unit
Field Wins best Song +215 1 unit
Field wins best Sound Editing +155..1 unit
Field wins best Costume -105..1.60 units to win 1.5
Field wins best Sound mixing -115..Risk 1.15 to win 1
The Revenant over 6.5 wins +220..Risk 1 to win 2.2(Best Picture, Director, Leading Actor, Supporting Actor, Cinematography, Production Design, Film Editing, Vissual Effects, Costume Design, Make Up, Sound Editing, Sound Mixing
Mad Maxx under 4.5 +185..Risk 1 to win 1.85(Best Picture, Director, Cinematography, Production Design, Film Editing, Vissual Effects, Costume Design, Make Up, Sound Editing, Sound Mixing
Longshots..Best supp Actor
Tom Hardy - The Revenant
+2450..Risk 0.25
Mark Ruffalo - Spotlight
+3600 Risk 0.25
Christian Bale - The Big Short
+3600 Risk 0.25
Best Supp Actress
Rooney Mara - Carol
+1950 risk 0,25
Jennifer Jason Leigh - The Hateful Eight
+4500 .10
Rachel McAdams - Spotlight
+17500 ..Risk .10
Best Song..
Simple Song 3 - Youth
+760 Risk 0.25
Earned It - Fifty Shades of Grey
+845 Risk 0.25
Manta Ray - Racing Extinction
+3500 ..Risk 0.10
Comments
Also, thought the best movie of the year was Room. Small film and I doubt they did much in the way of Oscar promotion, so, very little chance.
Good luck Cake.