Week 13 NFL
DeadMoney
Senior Member
I've been working on this for the season, thought I'd share my plays for ROS. All plays are 1 unit unless specified. Goodluck.
DET +2.5 -110
Seattle pk -110
BAL +4 -115
NYJ -2 -110 (2 units)
Denver -3.5 -100 (2 units)
Dallas +4.5 -110 (2 units)
Jax +2.5 -110
SF +7.5 -115
HOU +3 -110
DET +2.5 -110
Seattle pk -110
BAL +4 -115
NYJ -2 -110 (2 units)
Denver -3.5 -100 (2 units)
Dallas +4.5 -110 (2 units)
Jax +2.5 -110
SF +7.5 -115
HOU +3 -110
Comments
Thanks for posting.
Good Luck!
good luck
No need to apologize. IMHO that was a solid play & a solid weekend so far. More nice CLV tonight.
Thanks for posting & good luck tonight.
2 Unit plays: 2-0 (+4 Units) (One pending)
Total: 5-3 (+3.7 Units) (One Pending)
Quick notes:
Of my losses I am obviously most upset about DET. The Texans and Jags both had a shot and were near misses.
For my wins:
The Jets should have probably lost that game but Tom Coughlin is a crazy bad coach for the success he has had in the league. (Went for a 4th and 2 while up 10 pretty late, allowing an overtime opportunity for the Jets cover. Thanks Tom!) The return TD for the Giants really jeopardized our chances in this one as well.
I was very pleased with the rest of my wins as the Defenses for all of those squads dominated.
While I don't know how much I like teasers, there would have been some spots this week crossing some key numbers with all three of those losses, particularly the Jags, I'll stick to the straight plays anyway.
Now we need the Matt Cassel led Cowboys for a very good week of 66% or we will settle for a 55% week if he shits the bed.
For those who care, it is still a two unit play at -3.5 or better, one unit all the way down to +1.
Goodluck.
oh ya BTW typo in post #7. Dallas is plus
Thanks again.
2 Unit plays: 3-0 (+6 Units)
Total: 6-3 (+5.7 Units)
Here's some early stuff for Week 14, I'm just going to keep posting in here rather than starting a new thread every week.
AZ -7 -120
Pitt +3 +100 (2 Units)
SD +10 -105 (2 Units)
Good luck.
I might share one once in a while, but most times I just do those super small for a rooting interest, nothing I'd be comfortable recommending.
Yeah I noticed that once it was too late. Didn't think it was worth correcting in a separate post.
adding:
TB -3.5-105
goodluck.
Jags PK -110
goodluck.
MIA +2 -110
ATL +8 -110
goodluck.
2 Unit plays: 5-0 (+10 Units)
Total: 9-7 (+6.25 Units)
Unweighted record: (+1.25 Units)
I beat the close most of the time for Week 14:
+2 on Pittsburgh
+2.5 on TB
+3 on AZ
+1 on Jax
0 on MIA
-.5 to -1 on ATL
-1 to -3 on SD
Just some losses I suppose. The model always underrates the Panthers so I should have thrown out the Falcons, in hindsight. The model loved SD but I got a really bad number here, even though it won.
My totals for week 14 are: (1-4) for my one unit and (2-0) for my 2 unit. (42.86 win pct for week 14). At least the 2 unit plays won to bag a +.55 unit profit. The unweighted record took a -1.45 unit hit.
317 AZ -3 -120 (2 Units)
305 CHI +5.5 (2 Units)
goodluck.
327 DEN +7 -115
309 HOU +2 -110
goodluck.
331 DET +3 -115
goodluck.
1 Unit plays: 6-7-1 (-1.75 Units)
2 Unit plays: 6-1 (+9.8 Units)
Total: 12-8-1 (+8.05 Units)
Unweighted record: (+3.15 Units)
This week:
3-1-1 Overall (75% win rate)
2-0-1 for 1 Unit
1-1 for 2 Unit.
Unfortunately, the Bears got crushed and that was the first 2 unit loss of the season, limiting the gain on the week to +1.8 Units.
Unweighted record did slightly better as it got a +1.9 unit boost.
The CLV this week was just okay.
Beat the close on 3/5 plays.
Chi +1.5
Det +.5 to +1
AZ +.5
Market loved the Bears play the most, but it didn't matter. They got crushed, at least AZ and DET were solid wins.
HOU -.5
Den -.5
Both Denver and Houston moved with me after I got them posted, then spiked all the way past my number before kick, making my number a half point bad in both cases. It really ended up costing me in the Denver game as +7.5 would have been a winner, didn't matter in Houston as they won outright.
Should be posting some Week 16 stuff soon.
115 SF +9 -110
117 CLE +12.5 -110 (2 Units)
111 DAL +6 (2 units)
was hoping for 7 but it doesn't look like it will go there, I'll take the 6.
goodluck.
103 WAS +3 -110
goodluck.
126 AZ -4.5 -105
goodluck.
113 Jax +3 -120
goodluck.
109 Car -6.5 -103
goodluck.
2 Unit plays: 7-2 (+9.6 Units)
Total Weighted record: 15-12-1 (+6.52 Units)
Unweighted record:15-12-1 (+3.15 Units)