Betting Talk

NCAA Futures (Feedback Please)

CoopsCoops Senior Member
edited September 2012 in Sports Betting
Have these queued up and ready to be played, looking for any insight before I click accept:

TCU o8.5 wins +130. Small play, think they have good chance of getting to 9.

I think we should load up on both, the only loss I see for either team is against each other.
USC o10.5 wins -115
Oregon o10.5 wins -110


Michigan St +550 to win Big 10. Good value here I think, defense is still nasty. I don’t think Michigan and Nebraska should be favored so heavily over them.

Wisconsin -250 Leaders Division --- I think we go HUGE on this one. Ohio St AND Penn State are going to be ineligible… I just don’t see any scenario where Illinois, Purdue, or Indiana outplay Wisconsin.

Wisconsin +200 Big Ten. Again, I think they’re a lock to make it out of their division and at that point you can hedge the big 10 title game.

Missouri +1000. Small play. I think SEC east is a lot more wide open than vegas does. They can score points, and landed the consensus no . 1 prospect for 2012 class, Megatron 2.0.

Comments

  • CoopsCoops Senior Member
    edited July 2012
    Checked another out and managed to get Wisconsin to win Leaders @ -140...

    Unless Im missing something this line looks way off.
  • NDFan221NDFan221 Senior Member
    edited July 2012
    Coops wrote: »
    Checked another out and managed to get Wisconsin to win Leaders @ -140...

    Unless Im missing something this line looks way off.

    My place has Wisconsin -140 as well. They didn't list Ohio St. but are still listing Penn St. I put a play down
  • Chisox6Chisox6 Senior Member
    edited July 2012
    Wisco shld b at least -350 IMO. They get Illinois at home. I think purdue is the only threat but given that wisco beat them by 45 last year abd the returning teams I still like wisco to win division easily. They shld b favored in every league game except at nebraska
  • NDFan221NDFan221 Senior Member
    edited July 2012
    Having trouble deciphering would happen if Wisconsin finished 2nd in the division to either Ohio St. or Penn St. I know they would play in the Big Ten Title game but who would be considered the champion of the Leaders Division for betting purposes?
  • CoopsCoops Senior Member
    edited July 2012
    NDFan221 wrote: »
    Having trouble deciphering would happen if Wisconsin finished 2nd in the division to either Ohio St. or Penn St. I know they would play in the Big Ten Title game but who would be considered the champion of the Leaders Division for betting purposes?

    Ohio State isnt even a choice for me so I have to assume they cant win, i.e. if they are in first, second place wins the division. I might be wrong though.
  • EscootEscoot Senior Member
    edited July 2012
    Coops wrote: »
    Ohio State isnt even a choice for me so I have to assume they cant win, i.e. if they are in first, second place wins the division. I might be wrong though.

    It's like USC last year. Ohio State is not eligible to play for the Big 10 championship, so they cant technically win the Leaders division. If they are not listed, they cannot win at that particular sportsbook.
  • JB531JB531 Senior Member
    edited July 2012
    you can probably get a better number on Wisky big ten title +240 out there.
  • CoopsCoops Senior Member
    edited July 2012
    JB531 wrote: »
    you can probably get a better number on Wisky big ten title +240 out there.

    +190 and +225 are the two i see with my locals.
  • blackbullblackbull Senior Member
    edited July 2012
    I wouldn't play that Missou future. QB that they are rushing back from shoulder surgery, a lot of long tough road trips (Columbia, SC; Gainesville, FLA; Knoxville, Tennessee; and College Station, Texas), they have to learn about 8 new conference opponents that they will play this year, thin at DT (only really have one on the entire roster and he is just talented and unproven), and South Carolina, Georgia, Florida, and Tennessee will all be strong this year. Your call though my man, but I would ease off those Tigers ;-)
  • EscootEscoot Senior Member
    edited July 2012
    Anyone know how opponents do in new conferences? I'd imagine Texas A&M and Missouri could have some rough outings this season due to some lack of familiarity in probably the nation's best conference.
  • CoopsCoops Senior Member
    edited July 2012
    blackbull wrote: »
    I wouldn't play that Missou future. QB that they are rushing back from shoulder surgery, a lot of long tough road trips (Columbia, SC; Gainesville, FLA; Knoxville, Tennessee; and College Station, Texas), they have to learn about 8 new conference opponents that they will play this year, thin at DT (only really have one on the entire roster and he is just talented and unproven), and South Carolina, Georgia, Florida, and Tennessee will all be strong this year. Your call though my man, but I would ease off those Tigers ;-)

    Thank you sir, I've only pulled trigger on Wiscy to win leaders and Wiscy and Michigan state to win Big 10. Wisconsin to win Leaders is most likely my largest play for futures.
  • tschifanotschifano Senior Member
    edited July 2012
    like Louisville to win Big East
  • CoopsCoops Senior Member
    edited July 2012
    This is what I have played so far:

    Denard Robinson Wins Heisman @ +600: 50/300
    Matt Barkley Wins Heisman @ +335: 50/168
    Montee Ball Wins Heisman @ +450: 50/225
    Wisconsin Wins Leaders Division @ -140: 840/600
    Wisconsin Wins Big 10 @ +225: 100/225
    Michigan State Wins Big 10 @ +750: 100/750
    USC Wins Pac 12 @ -190: 1,140/600
    Alabama Wins SEC @ +190: 600/1,140
    LSU Wins Sec @ +200: 600/1,200
  • hornhorn Super Moderator
    edited July 2012
    Agree with Blackbull, I think the SEC East is gonna be the strongest division in the country. Top to bottom it's tougher than the West, I think, and Mizzou should have a bit of a learning curve. Will be dogs in 6 conference games, although quite a few are winnable.

    Re Pac 12 RSW: I don't like playing season wins over 10.5, or just that high in general, so I'd pass there.

    I'd lay off TCU and D Rb Heisman as well. He may not make it past Labor Day..

    GL Coops, have a good year!
  • BIGTEX5BIGTEX5 Junior Member
    edited July 2012
    I hammered TCU under. They are in for a rude awakening this year...I think they win 7
  • BonannoBonanno Member
    edited July 2012
    I think Missouri gets to 7 wins in a best case scenario, but 5-6 would be a more practical expectation. GL Coops
  • NDFan221NDFan221 Senior Member
    edited July 2012
    Coops wrote: »
    Ohio State isnt even a choice for me so I have to assume they cant win, i.e. if they are in first, second place wins the division. I might be wrong though.

    My book removed Penn St. as a choice for me and moved Wisconsin up to -500. Glad I was able to make a play on them at -140.
  • CoopsCoops Senior Member
    edited July 2012
    NDFan221 wrote: »
    My book removed Penn St. as a choice for me and moved Wisconsin up to -500. Glad I was able to make a play on them at -140.

    My book still had -140... I keep taking more each day, but I don't want them to notice and cancel the wager.
  • NDFan221NDFan221 Senior Member
    edited July 2012
    Coops wrote: »
    My book still had -140... I keep taking more each day, but I don't want them to notice and cancel the wager.

    Yeah, my only regret is that I didn't put more on it but I put a pretty sizable bet on it. Was half expecting my wager to be canceled but its still there.
  • CoopsCoops Senior Member
    edited August 2012
    Coops wrote: »
    This is what I have played so far:

    Denard Robinson Wins Heisman @ +600: 50/300
    Matt Barkley Wins Heisman @ +335: 50/168
    Montee Ball Wins Heisman @ +450: 50/225
    Wisconsin Wins Leaders Division @ -140: 840/600
    Wisconsin Wins Big 10 @ +225: 100/225
    Michigan State Wins Big 10 @ +750: 100/750
    USC Wins Pac 12 @ -190: 1,140/600
    Alabama Wins SEC @ +190: 600/1,140
    LSU Wins Sec @ +200: 600/1,200

    Have added:

    Mississippi Under 4.5 Wins @ -120: 240/200
    LSU Under 10.5 Wins @ -125: 250/200
    Alabama Wins SEC West @ +130: 200/260
  • CoopsCoops Senior Member
    edited August 2012
    Added:

    Arizona Under 5.5 Wins @ +125: 100/125
    Virginia Tech Wins Coastal Division @ -110: 220/200
  • CoopsCoops Senior Member
    edited September 2012
    well...this kinda sucks:

    http://www.cantonrep.com/sports/x1107515661/Big-Ten-says-Ohio-State-can-win-division-trophy

    I "believe" my book determines winner of the Leaders as who plays for Big 10 title... but not sure so they can essentially free roll me now...
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