Betting Talk

Kentucky Derby Play if you don't mind huge juice

TommyLTommyL Super Moderator
edited May 2012 in Sports Betting
Trinniberg to NOT Finish in Top 3 (from 5 Dimes) @ -2575

The break even point on this one is 3.8%. If they ran this race 100 times, this horse might not finish in the top 3 a single time. Never been more than 7f and the only thing he knows how to do is go straight for the lead. A mile might be too much to ask for this one, let alone a mile and a quarter. To add insult to injury, the race is also full of other speed that will be pushing him.

If you're not afraid of eating some major juice, I see this as a nice price.

Comments

  • jaanisjaanis Senior Member
    edited May 2012
    Horse will easily finish last.
  • hornhorn Super Moderator
    edited May 2012
    Gotta hope there isn't a 17 horse pile up and it doesn't happen before the first pole, lol.
  • gte768egte768e Junior Member
    edited May 2012
    Well that was scary for awhile ;) congrats
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