Coll Foots plays for Sat.
ChemicalAT
Senior Member
<P>When you only play two games in a weekend and go 1-1, it feels like a bigger loss than just juice. That's all we could find last week and we moved our record this season to 27-22. We're just about of Awful October and into November (where things get much better). That doesn't mean we don't like this week's card.</P>
<P>$$$Nebraska$$$ over Oklahoma by 17 - We lost our bet last week with Nebraska. The Huskers defense took a major step back last week after digging a hole early then getting even only to be run out of Mizzou. We think there will be a complete reversal in form this week with Oklahoma hitting town. The Huskers aren't good enough to be called black shirts, but at home with the crowd, this defense can do pretty well. The assignment this week is an Oklahoma team that gets very little from the passing game and has a banged up (always questionable) Adrian Peterson at running back. With the assignment simplified quite a bit this week, the Huskers will bounce back. The ever improving Nebraska offense has now had two good lessons in playing from behind and things are getting better. The main premise here is that OU's offense just isn't ready to produce a win in this environment. The Sooners haven't cracked 20 points in either of their last two road games and this is a much tougher spot to play in. </P>
<P>$$$Ohio State$$$ over Minnesota by 20 (2 UNITS) - You're going to want to get ON this Ohio State for the remainder of the season. The Buckeyes have been notoriously strong finishers under Tressel and it looks like that might be the case again this year. But none of that is the premise for this bet. It has to do with how the Buckeyes perform when the game plan is simplified. Stop Minnesota's run and you win. That's easier said than done, but class teams have been able to do it so far this season. The matchup of Ohio State's linebacker against Minny's running backs is enough to make this bet. But the signs we're seeing of an Ohio State breakout run deeper than this. The Buckeyes win at Indiana may not look like a big deal, but some of the intrinsic things that happened signal to us that this team is about to be clicking on all cylinders. Two weeks ago, OSU returned a blocked FG for a touchdown. Last week it was a pick return for TD and a Ted Ginn Jr. punt return for TD. With the offense showing signs of improvement and the defense and special teams contributing to the scoring, this team is ready to again play like one of the Top 5 teams in the country, which on talent it absolutely is. Minnesota's simple tactics don't figure to be a match for a Buckeyes teams that is starting to hit on all cylinders (Buckeyes have scored 30 or more points in 3 of the last 4 games). Minnesota has had two weeks to get over the shock of the Wisky collapse. But the Gophs weren't playing good special teams or defense before that and they certainly did not in that game. That means way too much pressure is on the offense, which just isn't ready to pass effectively on a class defense. Keeping eight in the box should lead to Ohio State keeping its momentum going. Get on this team now. </P>
<P>$$$Florida$$$ over Georgia by 18 - It's been great to hear the argument all week that Georgia will win the cocktail party on defense alone. That's a cute thought, but what's it based on? Georgia's defense has played well against bad offensive football teams. Georgia's biggest win came at Tennessee and we all know what kind of offense Tenn is operating with. That all changes on Saturday. Florida, with its ability to pass effectively is going to test the Georgia defense in a big way. Leak is the best QB the Dawgs will have seen this season. But none of that even addresses how a bad Georgia offense just got worse with the loss of its best weapon. Shockley's ability to run and make things happen and his solid season throwing had camoflauged what a bad offense and conservative scheme Richt is being run at UGa. Florida's defense is not LSU, Tenn or Auburn, but it's not Miss State or Arkansas either. The Gators have traditionally done well in this series and they should keep going on Saturday. If Florida gets a lead, this one will get ugly. Meyer hasn't done well in big games at Bama or LSU, but we think that changes here today and it should be remebered that the Gators will only continue to improve as the season grows longer under a new system. </P>
<P>$$$Northwestern$$$ over Michigan by 13 - Hmm ... higher ranked team as an underdog at home? Talk about repuatation dictating a line. What we have here, people, is a very average team whose gotten some breaks and one of the hottest teams in the country. Michigan beat Penn State on the last play of the game. The Wolverines needed OT to beat Iowa, The Wolverines lost to at home to Minnesota. The Wolverines snuck out a win over Michigan State and lost at Wisconsin. This team is nothing special, but has been somewhat lucky recently. NWestern, on the other hand, is looking like the real deal. The Wildcats haven't need much defense in support of an offense that has scored 51, 35 and 49 in its last three games. Now, the Wildcats get a favorable matchup with a Michigan defense that cannot stop the pass because it cannot rush the QB. That should mean more big things for NWestern on offense. This game won't be contested at a pace Michigan wants to play. The Wolverines don't want to be in a shootout on the road against a team that figures to be able to trade points. NWestern has the better offense against a bad defense. At home, getting points, we'll side with the PurpCats to keep their run going against a Michigan team overdue for a loss. </P>
<P>$$$Nebraska$$$ over Oklahoma by 17 - We lost our bet last week with Nebraska. The Huskers defense took a major step back last week after digging a hole early then getting even only to be run out of Mizzou. We think there will be a complete reversal in form this week with Oklahoma hitting town. The Huskers aren't good enough to be called black shirts, but at home with the crowd, this defense can do pretty well. The assignment this week is an Oklahoma team that gets very little from the passing game and has a banged up (always questionable) Adrian Peterson at running back. With the assignment simplified quite a bit this week, the Huskers will bounce back. The ever improving Nebraska offense has now had two good lessons in playing from behind and things are getting better. The main premise here is that OU's offense just isn't ready to produce a win in this environment. The Sooners haven't cracked 20 points in either of their last two road games and this is a much tougher spot to play in. </P>
<P>$$$Ohio State$$$ over Minnesota by 20 (2 UNITS) - You're going to want to get ON this Ohio State for the remainder of the season. The Buckeyes have been notoriously strong finishers under Tressel and it looks like that might be the case again this year. But none of that is the premise for this bet. It has to do with how the Buckeyes perform when the game plan is simplified. Stop Minnesota's run and you win. That's easier said than done, but class teams have been able to do it so far this season. The matchup of Ohio State's linebacker against Minny's running backs is enough to make this bet. But the signs we're seeing of an Ohio State breakout run deeper than this. The Buckeyes win at Indiana may not look like a big deal, but some of the intrinsic things that happened signal to us that this team is about to be clicking on all cylinders. Two weeks ago, OSU returned a blocked FG for a touchdown. Last week it was a pick return for TD and a Ted Ginn Jr. punt return for TD. With the offense showing signs of improvement and the defense and special teams contributing to the scoring, this team is ready to again play like one of the Top 5 teams in the country, which on talent it absolutely is. Minnesota's simple tactics don't figure to be a match for a Buckeyes teams that is starting to hit on all cylinders (Buckeyes have scored 30 or more points in 3 of the last 4 games). Minnesota has had two weeks to get over the shock of the Wisky collapse. But the Gophs weren't playing good special teams or defense before that and they certainly did not in that game. That means way too much pressure is on the offense, which just isn't ready to pass effectively on a class defense. Keeping eight in the box should lead to Ohio State keeping its momentum going. Get on this team now. </P>
<P>$$$Florida$$$ over Georgia by 18 - It's been great to hear the argument all week that Georgia will win the cocktail party on defense alone. That's a cute thought, but what's it based on? Georgia's defense has played well against bad offensive football teams. Georgia's biggest win came at Tennessee and we all know what kind of offense Tenn is operating with. That all changes on Saturday. Florida, with its ability to pass effectively is going to test the Georgia defense in a big way. Leak is the best QB the Dawgs will have seen this season. But none of that even addresses how a bad Georgia offense just got worse with the loss of its best weapon. Shockley's ability to run and make things happen and his solid season throwing had camoflauged what a bad offense and conservative scheme Richt is being run at UGa. Florida's defense is not LSU, Tenn or Auburn, but it's not Miss State or Arkansas either. The Gators have traditionally done well in this series and they should keep going on Saturday. If Florida gets a lead, this one will get ugly. Meyer hasn't done well in big games at Bama or LSU, but we think that changes here today and it should be remebered that the Gators will only continue to improve as the season grows longer under a new system. </P>
<P>$$$Northwestern$$$ over Michigan by 13 - Hmm ... higher ranked team as an underdog at home? Talk about repuatation dictating a line. What we have here, people, is a very average team whose gotten some breaks and one of the hottest teams in the country. Michigan beat Penn State on the last play of the game. The Wolverines needed OT to beat Iowa, The Wolverines lost to at home to Minnesota. The Wolverines snuck out a win over Michigan State and lost at Wisconsin. This team is nothing special, but has been somewhat lucky recently. NWestern, on the other hand, is looking like the real deal. The Wildcats haven't need much defense in support of an offense that has scored 51, 35 and 49 in its last three games. Now, the Wildcats get a favorable matchup with a Michigan defense that cannot stop the pass because it cannot rush the QB. That should mean more big things for NWestern on offense. This game won't be contested at a pace Michigan wants to play. The Wolverines don't want to be in a shootout on the road against a team that figures to be able to trade points. NWestern has the better offense against a bad defense. At home, getting points, we'll side with the PurpCats to keep their run going against a Michigan team overdue for a loss. </P>
Comments
<P>$$$Nebraska$$$ over Oklahoma by 17 - We lost our bet last week with Nebraska. The Huskers defense took a major step back last week after digging a hole early then getting even only to be run out of Mizzou. We think there will be a complete reversal in form this week with Oklahoma hitting town. The Huskers aren't good enough to be called black shirts, but at home with the crowd, this defense can do pretty well. The assignment this week is an Oklahoma team that gets very little from the passing game and has a banged up (always questionable) Adrian Peterson at running back. With the assignment simplified quite a bit this week, the Huskers will bounce back. The ever improving Nebraska offense has now had two good lessons in playing from behind and things are getting better. The main premise here is that OU's offense just isn't ready to produce a win in this environment. The Sooners haven't cracked 20 points in either of their last two road games and this is a much tougher spot to play in. </P>
<P>$$$Ohio State$$$ over Minnesota by 20 (2 UNITS) - You're going to want to get ON this Ohio State for the remainder of the season. The Buckeyes have been notoriously strong finishers under Tressel and it looks like that might be the case again this year. But none of that is the premise for this bet. It has to do with how the Buckeyes perform when the game plan is simplified. Stop Minnesota's run and you win. That's easier said than done, but class teams have been able to do it so far this season. The matchup of Ohio State's linebacker against Minny's running backs is enough to make this bet. But the signs we're seeing of an Ohio State breakout run deeper than this. The Buckeyes win at Indiana may not look like a big deal, but some of the intrinsic things that happened signal to us that this team is about to be clicking on all cylinders. Two weeks ago, OSU returned a blocked FG for a touchdown. Last week it was a pick return for TD and a Ted Ginn Jr. punt return for TD. With the offense showing signs of improvement and the defense and special teams contributing to the scoring, this team is ready to again play like one of the Top 5 teams in the country, which on talent it absolutely is. Minnesota's simple tactics don't figure to be a match for a Buckeyes teams that is starting to hit on all cylinders (Buckeyes have scored 30 or more points in 3 of the last 4 games). Minnesota has had two weeks to get over the shock of the Wisky collapse. But the Gophs weren't playing good special teams or defense before that and they certainly did not in that game. That means way too much pressure is on the offense, which just isn't ready to pass effectively on a class defense. Keeping eight in the box should lead to Ohio State keeping its momentum going. Get on this team now. </P>
<P>$$$Florida$$$ over Georgia by 18 - It's been great to hear the argument all week that Georgia will win the cocktail party on defense alone. That's a cute thought, but what's it based on? Georgia's defense has played well against bad offensive football teams. Georgia's biggest win came at Tennessee and we all know what kind of offense Tenn is operating with. That all changes on Saturday. Florida, with its ability to pass effectively is going to test the Georgia defense in a big way. Leak is the best QB the Dawgs will have seen this season. But none of that even addresses how a bad Georgia offense just got worse with the loss of its best weapon. Shockley's ability to run and make things happen and his solid season throwing had camoflauged what a bad offense and conservative scheme Richt is being run at UGa. Florida's defense is not LSU, Tenn or Auburn, but it's not Miss State or Arkansas either. The Gators have traditionally done well in this series and they should keep going on Saturday. If Florida gets a lead, this one will get ugly. Meyer hasn't done well in big games at Bama or LSU, but we think that changes here today and it should be remebered that the Gators will only continue to improve as the season grows longer under a new system. </P>
<P>$$$Northwestern$$$ over Michigan by 13 - Hmm ... higher ranked team as an underdog at home? Talk about repuatation dictating a line. What we have here, people, is a very average team whose gotten some breaks and one of the hottest teams in the country. Michigan beat Penn State on the last play of the game. The Wolverines needed OT to beat Iowa, The Wolverines lost to at home to Minnesota. The Wolverines snuck out a win over Michigan State and lost at Wisconsin. This team is nothing special, but has been somewhat lucky recently. NWestern, on the other hand, is looking like the real deal. The Wildcats haven't need much defense in support of an offense that has scored 51, 35 and 49 in its last three games. Now, the Wildcats get a favorable matchup with a Michigan defense that cannot stop the pass because it cannot rush the QB. That should mean more big things for NWestern on offense. This game won't be contested at a pace Michigan wants to play. The Wolverines don't want to be in a shootout on the road against a team that figures to be able to trade points. NWestern has the better offense against a bad defense. At home, getting points, we'll side with the PurpCats to keep their run going against a Michigan team overdue for a loss. </P>
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<P>KK</P>
<P>KKirk - I haven't abandoned the Cougs. I am still thinking of adding them to my plays, but I am not sure. Leaning against, actually. Like Footballpix said, things could go belly up in their locker room and minds. It's too bad because they have some good talent and with the right frame of mind would push USC for a while - especially on offense. Just don't know if they've quit and I don't trust Doba anymore. But man, did I make a score on Wazzu when they won the Holiday Bowl a few years ago. I am leaning against betting them right now. </P>