Betting Talk

You guys are crazy if...

kkirkkkirk Senior Member
edited November 2005 in Sports Betting
<P>...you're not checking betting stats out before betting, especially in the NFL. Tonight, 80 percent of the public was on Pitt. How'd that turn out?</P>
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Comments

  • gekkogekko Senior Member
    edited October 2005
    forget about these stats.

    1) I posted this already here before: I tried this approach for one year, and you came out 50:50 at best. When you consider juice you have lost money. One day these public picks loose big, the other day there are 90% on one side and they win. But regarding MNF: Here it seems to work pretty well, because it is just one game and action is concentrated on that game.

    2) You never know how reliable these stats are. I would never trust stats i receive from sportsbooks.


    cheers,

    gekko
  • gekkogekko Senior Member
    edited October 2005
    forget about these stats.

    1) I posted this already here before: I tried this approach for one year, and you came out 50:50 at best. When you consider juice you have lost money. One day these public picks loose big, the other day there are 90% on one side and they win. But regarding MNF: Here it seems to work pretty well, because it is just one game and action is concentrated on that game.

    2) You never know how reliable these stats are. I would never trust stats i receive from sportsbooks.


    cheers,

    gekko
  • kkirkkkirk Senior Member
    edited October 2005
    I have used it ONLY for NFL this year, only betting when a team has 30 percent or LESS action on them and it has been very profitable. This past weekend it put me on St.Louis, Buffalo and Baltimore--all winners. As with anything, it should only be used as part of the handicapping process, but in the NFL this year, it's been the only thing I've followed. I'm not a big NFL bettor, as I think the lines are razor-sharp. I've only been betting 1/4 unit so the $$ I've picked up has been nice, but I won't be buying the wife a new Mercedes anytime soon either.
  • kkirkkkirk Senior Member
    edited October 2005
    I have used it ONLY for NFL this year, only betting when a team has 30 percent or LESS action on them and it has been very profitable. This past weekend it put me on St.Louis, Buffalo and Baltimore--all winners. As with anything, it should only be used as part of the handicapping process, but in the NFL this year, it's been the only thing I've followed. I'm not a big NFL bettor, as I think the lines are razor-sharp. I've only been betting 1/4 unit so the $$ I've picked up has been nice, but I won't be buying the wife a new Mercedes anytime soon either.
  • PhillyKidPhillyKid Senior Member
    edited November 2005
    The real value is when 70% of the public is one one side, but the line is actually moving the other way.  You see this a lot more on college hoops. 
  • PhillyKidPhillyKid Senior Member
    edited November 2005
    The real value is when 70% of the public is one one side, but the line is actually moving the other way.  You see this a lot more on college hoops. 
  • zeddyzeddy Junior Member
    edited November 2005
    where can you get the stats from ....Thanks
  • zeddyzeddy Junior Member
    edited November 2005
    where can you get the stats from ....Thanks
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