Service Play Thread for Monday
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RULES:
1. Please do not post any plays from site sponsors:
Right Angle Sports
Advantage Plays
Who2BetOn (The Prez, Pacific Star, LT Profits, Mike Rose, Alex Smart, JBSports, AJ Apollo, Ken Jenkins, Jon Gold, Dr D Sports, Mike Martell)
Doc's Sports (Strike Point, Vegas Sports Informer, Robert Ferringo, Allen Eastman)
2. Please do not post any plays from site contributors:
AAA Sports
3. Please keep the thread as clean as possible by not repeating requests for plays.
4. DO NOT post e-mail addresses or request others to post their own.
Thank you!
Comments
2500 Dollar Bounce Back NBA Lock
Orlando Magic -2.5 over Miami
20 DIMER - OREGON STATE BEAVERS....10 DIMER - NEW YORK KNICKS
20 DIMER - OREGON STATE BEAVERS
Oregon State has enjoyed the "home-cooking" in a big way in this CBI Tournament, as they have gotten to this best-of-three championship series by winning ALL 3 of their home games, the last pair coming in overtime against Vermont, and conference rival Stanford.
I will ride the Beavers one more time at home against a UTEP team that has played 2 of their 3 tourney games on the road, and may be just a little out of sorts having to play at Richmond last week, and now up in Corvallis for this one.
The Beavers have covered 9 of their 15 lined home games, and the G-Man will ride them again in this one, as they head to UTEP on Wednesday off the home win.
Take the Beavers.
10 DIMER - NEW YORK KNICKS
With just 1 straight up win in their last 8 games, one would think the Knicks are a go-against tonight, but the G-Man begs to differ.
New York sports some money-making numbers in this series, winning 7 of the last 9 straight up, covering in 8 of those 9, including 8 in a row!
The Knicks are also 19-7-1 against the spread their last 27 road games, while the Jazz are on a 2-6 spread run their last 8 games.
I will take the generous points, as the Knicks stay close in this one.
Today's Complimentary Selection
Sunday winner on the Raptors, now 6-0 the last 6 days for free!
As bad as the Nets have been of late, the Bucks have been worse.
Milwaukee comes into this one having lost 5 straight, and 10 of their last 12 straight up, while going just 1-11 against the spread in those 12 games.
In the series, Milwaukee is a dismal 2-8 straight up the last 10 meetings, and just 3-13 against the spread the last 16 tilts, failing 7 in a row.
New Jersey has had to play a home-and-home against the Cavs, and followed that up with a game against the Lakers in their last 4 outings, so the G-Man thinks the step down in competition will be just the recipe for this slumping Nets team.
Lay the wood here.
1♦ NEW JERSEY
(on a 1♦ to 5♦ basis)
WHO DAT ?
Monday ... 10 Dime Oregon State
FREE - Miami Heat (See daily video for your analysis)
PICK: Penn St +4 Game (9*) GOW
NBA:
New York Knicks +12
(733) MILWAUKEE BUCKS
(734) NEW JERSEY NETS
Take "(734) NEW JERSEY NETS"
Nothing on the line tonight as the Bucks face the Nets. Both teams are effectively out of the playoff chase, but there is one standout stat here. New Jersey has completely dominated the Bucks over their last ten meetings, including a perfect 5-0 SU/ATS ledger when hosting Milwaukee. I'll back the series history and go with the Nets tonight.
1* Grizzlies/Warriors over 221
3* Heat +3
New York Knicks vs. Utah Jazz (NBA)
Mar 30, 2009 10:05 PM EDT
Play: Total: 213/101 Under
Energy Solutions Arena will be the site of tonights clash between the host Utah Jazz and the visiting New York Knicks. Utah is fighting for a playoff berth and position in the very competitive Western Conference while the Knicks recent six game losing skid took care of any chance they may have had for a postseason appearance. The Jazz are coming in off an overtime win versus Phoenix and they have to travel to Portland for a game tomorrow night which will have huge playoff ramifications. The Jazz have played dominating defense at home recently allowing their opponents to score just 91.4 points per game during their current fourteen-game win streak at Energy Solutions Arena. The Jazz have posted unders in their last nine home games and are 8-0 under as a home favorite their last eight. Utah is coming in off that win over Phoenix and they are 8-2 under coming off a SU win in their last game. If the Jazz are installed as a home favorite of eleven or more they have posted unders in twelve of their last seventeen in that role. One final note on the Jazz they are 14-3 under after scoring at least 100 points in their last game. The Knicks have gone under in eight of their last nine games overall and 5-0 under installed as an underdog. New York games have fallen below the posted total in eight of their last ten contests against winning teams and they have posted a record of 21-14 under when playing away from home this season. This series has seen 13 of the last 23 go under the posted total since 1996. With the Jazz playing solid defense at home and fighting for a playoff berth we will play the under here tonight.
Graded Selection: 2* New York Knicks / Utah Jazz 213
Game 1 - NJ Devils -110
Game 2 - San Jose Sharks +130
Memphis Grizzlies @ Golden State
3* graded play OVER Golden State/Memphis
Todays play: Miami +3
Eddie Roman
2500 Dollar Bounce Back NBA Lock
Orlando Magic -2.5 over Miami
MLB
St. Louis -121
Philadelphia -121
LA Dodgers -122
Texas +114
CBB
UTEP = O/131.5
NBA
Utah = O/212.5
Miami = U/193.5
KNOCKOUT PUNCH OF THE DAY - NY-KNICKS +11 (NBA)
OTHER PICKS
(NBA) 7:35PM EST
MIAMI OVER 192 -120
1000 Units - NHL Top Play - Phoenix over Dallas
50 Units - NHL - New Jersey/NY Rangers UNDER the total
50 Units Orlando/Miami OVER the total
50 Units New York/Utah OVER the total
82-56-2 59.42% 3W -
Utah -11
COLLEGE BASKETBALL INVITATIONAL
UTEP (22-12, 19-11-1 ATS) at Oregon State (16-17, 14-14 ATS)
UTEP advanced to the best-of-3 championship round of the second-annual College Basketball Invitational with a trio of victories over Nevada (79-77), Northeastern (75-66) and Richmond (81-69). The Miners cashed in all three games and are now on a 5-1 SU and ATS run, all in March. In Wednesdays victory at Richmond, UTEP raced out to a 42-33 halftime lead and cruised from there despite shooting just 41.9 percent from the field.
Oregon State has posted three narrow victories in this event, all of them at home. The Beavers rallied to beat Houston 49-45 as a one-point underdog in the opening round, then posted a pair of overtime victories over Vermont (71-70 as a one-point dog) and Pac-10 rival Stanford (65-62 as a four-point pup). Oregon States three-game SU and ATS winning streak comes on the heels of an 0-4 SU and ATS slide.
Going back to the regular season, Oregon State has won five consecutive home games both SU and ATS, averaging just 63.2 points per game but giving up only 57 ppg. Meanwhile, UTEP has won and covered three straight on the highway, including two CBI victories, and the Miners are 5-2 SU and ATS in their last seven as a visitor. For the season, they average 75.8 ppg both overall and on the road while allowing 71.8 ppg overall and 72.5 ppg on foreign courts.
The SU winner is 7-0 ATS in UTEPs last seven games overall and 7-0 ATS in its last seven on the highway, and the winner has cashed in 12 straight Oregon State contests, including six in a row in Corvallis.
The Miners come into this contest on ATS runs of 9-2 on the road, 7-0-1 in non-conference play, 6-1 on Monday, 4-1 as a road chalk and 5-2 against winning teams. Oregon States pointspread streaks include 5-1 at home, 4-1 in non-conference play, 5-1 as a home pup, 8-0 as a home underdog of less than seven points and 4-1 after a spread-cover.
UTEP is on over stretches of 5-0 overall, 30-12 on the road, 35-16-1 in non-conference play and 8-1 as a favorite of less than seven points. Conversely, the Beavers are on under streaks of 4-1 overall, 8-1 at home, 9-3 after a SU win and 7-1 as a home dog.
Game two of this series is scheduled for Wednesday at UTEP.
ATS ADVANTAGE: NONE
NBA
Orlando (54-18, 45-26-1 ATS) at Miami (39-34, 34-37-2 ATS)
The Heat look to inch closer to clinching a playoff berth when they host the Magic, who have already wrapped up the Southeast Division title and are gunning for the No. 2 seed in the Eastern Conference.
Miami is coming off Saturdays 102-85 rout of Milwaukee, easily covering as an 8½-point home favorite to end an 0-2 SU and ATS slide (both on the road). The Heat have defended their home court quite well recently, winning six straight (5-1 ATS) and nine of 10 (7-3 ATS) at American Airlines Arena. In their last 11 home games, the Heat are averaging 112 points per game, reaching triple digits nine times.
Orlando makes the short trek to South Beach riding a five-game winning streak and it is 12-2 SU going back to Feb. 28. Like Miami, the Magics most recent victory came at home against Milwaukee, a 110-94 triumph as a 12-point chalk on Friday, which ended an 0-3 ATS slump. Stan Van Gundys squad is on a 6-2 SU and ATS roll on the highway, and it has topped the century mark in scoring in six of its last nine roadies.
Orlando has won 11 of the last 12 meetings in this instate rivalry, going 9-2-1 ATS. The home team has won and covered all three clashes this season, with Miamis 103-97 victory as a 7½-point home underdog on Jan. 24 ending a 10-game losing skid to the Magic. However, Orlando got revenge in a 122-99 drubbing as a nine-point favorite on Feb. 22, and the Magics average margin of victory in its last nine wins against Miami is more than 16 ppg, including four victories by more than 20 points.
Additionally in this rivalry, the host has cashed in four straight meetings and the favorite is 5-2-1 ATS in the last eight.
The Magic have failed to cover in four straight Monday contests, but otherwise theyre on positive pointspread streaks of 35-17 overall, 57-28-3 on the road, 5-2 against Southeast Division rivals, 10-3-1 when playing after two days off and 8-3-1 when laying less than five points. Meanwhile, other than its 5-1ATS run at home (4-0 last four) and a 14-6 ATS mark in its last 20 games played on one day of rest, Miami is in ATS funks of 3-7 as an underdog, 2-5 as a home pup, 3-8 on Monday, 18-40-3 after a SU win and 3-8 after a spread-cover.
The under is on runs of 4-0 for Miami overall, 4-1 for Miami against the Eastern Conference, 6-1 for Orlando overall, 6-1 for Orlando on Monday, 5-1 for Orlando against Eastern Conference foes and 13-4 for Orlando when playing on two days rest. Conversely, the over is on streaks of 8-2-1 for the Heat at home, 7-3 for the Heat when playing on one day of rest, 10-4 for the Magic as a road chalk and 6-1 for the Magic against division rivals.
ATS ADVANTAGE: ORLANDO
Teddy S.- Memphis +5 1/2
Prez- Over 131 Utep/Oregon St
UTEP
Magic
Orl/mia - 0192'
5* Miami +3
MLB: Mets and Angels
NBA: Utah -11
Late night bailout
3* Memphis +5.5
Orlando at Miami
Play: Orlando -2.5
The Magic are rolling right now as they've won five straight and eight of the last nine games. Their 25-11 road record this season is certainly nothing to snooze at. They've also topped the Heat in nine of the last 10 meetings. Look for a big night from Dwight Howard since Miami doesn't have anyone in the paint to contain him.
Magic by seven.
New Jersey -3
The Bucks are in free fall. They are 2-10 in their last 12 games, 1-11 against the spread. Milwaukee has lost its last seven road contests.New Jersey hasn't been playing well either. Its loss at Minnesota on Sunday was especially bad.But prior to that, the Nets had played the Lakers and Cavaliers twice.I don't see the Nets losing back-to-back games against the Timberwolves and Bucks.The Nets are home and have a talent edge with the Bucks missing Michael Redd and Andrew Bogut. This will be Devin Harris' third game back since returning from an injury. He should be in better sync with his teammates