Service Play Thread for Tuesday
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RULES:
1. Please do not post any plays from site sponsors:
Right Angle Sports
Advantage Plays
Who2BetOn (The Prez, Pacific Star, LT Profits, Mike Rose, Alex Smart, JBSports, AJ Apollo, Ken Jenkins, Jon Gold, Dr D Sports, Mike Martell)
Doc's Sports (Strike Point, Vegas Sports Informer, Robert Ferringo, Allen Eastman)
2. Please do not post any plays from site contributors:
AAA Sports
3. Please keep the thread as clean as possible by not repeating requests for plays.
4. DO NOT post e-mail addresses or request others to post their own.
Thank you!
Comments
At 8:35 pm, our Western Conference Game of the Month is on the Houston Rockets minus the points over Golden State,
At 7:35 pm, our selection is on the Boston Celtics minus the points over Miami
At 9:05 pm, our selection is on the Atlanta Hawk
Ohio by 25
Pointwise #1 Marquette
NBA:
Toronto Raptors + 1.5 , 2 units
CBB:
Penn St. + 7.5 , 2 units
Missouri St. - 1 , 2 units
Wake Forrest - 1.5 , 4 units ( Game of the week )
who buys into that crap anymore??????
solid cappers like RAS post units not names.
TUESDAY
15 Dime - Marquette
5 Dime - Sonics
5 Dime - San Diego State
Free - Suns
10 dime vcu
5 pistons
5 alabama
BEN BURNS
SUPER BOWL
PATRIOTS (-14 or better)
I'm laying the points with NEW ENGLAND. Early money has come in on the underdog Giants. I feel that move is a mistake though and really like the additional value which has now been provided on the favorite. The Patriots have the more complete team and I believe that they are stronger on both sides of the ball. Note that the Patriots outscored opponents by a 35.7 to 17 margin this season while the Giants only outscored their opponents by a 23.2 to 21.2 margin. In addition to having a ton of "big game experience," the Patriots also have both a much better quarterback and a significantly better coach. I believe that the coaching factor becomes particularly relevant when teams are playing with an extra week of rest in between games. Note that the Patriots are a respectable 14-9 SU the last 23 times (4-0 the last four) that they played with two or more weeks of rest in between games. During the same stretch, the Giants have gone just 5-14 SU (6-12-1 ATS) when playing with two or more week's worth of rest between games. The Giants almost never see over/under lines this high. However, its worth mentioning that the Patriots are a perfect 11-0 SU the last 11 times that they played a game with an over/under line of 49.5 or greater, going a profitable 8-3 against the number. The Patriots, who have won 11 of their last 12 against teams from the NFC, are also a lucrative 52-30-7 ATS (63.4%) the past 15 years when playing a team with a winning record during the second half of the season. During the same stretch, the Giants were just 33-39-2 ATS when playing a team with a winning record during the second half of the season, going just 23-51 SU. The past two Super Bowls have both been decided by double-digits. I feel that this year's game is an even bigger mismatch than either of those matchups and I expect a convincing victory for the history-making Patriots.
WT.
Undergroud Group out of Philly
100* since January 1st 3-0
100* Florida St
I thought it would be on the under 53.5
GL
Chairman - Houston Rockets
Millionaire - Mia FL
No Limit- Alabama
VT
WF
Tenn
?
4* San Diego St
3* Ohio St, G Mason, Missouri St
4 Wake Forest -1 1/2
3 Virginia Tech -4
3 Celtics -5 1/2
10* Ohio St
10* v.tech
10* G. Mason
20* Miami
10* S.A. Spurs
10* Edmonton
100* Ohio U.
10 UNITS- SPURS/SONICS UNDER 194
8 UNITS- OHIO ST/PENN ST UNDER 126.5
8 UNITS- OHIO U -10 OVER CENTRAL MICHIGAN
5 UNITS- BUFFALO +4 OVER WESTERN MICHIGAN
Larry Ness
League: College Basketball
Event: Va Commonwealth vs George Mason on 01/29/2008 at 4:00PM
Condition: George Mason
Grade: Ungraded
Promotion: George Mason made its "miracle run" to the Final 4 back in the 2005-06 season. The Patriots struggled for most of last year but then caught 'fire' down the stretch, and almost got back to the "Big Dance" by winning the Colonial tourney. George Mason's run was stopped by VCU in the final (won 65-59) and the Rams went on the upset Duke in the first round of the NCAAs, before losing to Pitt by just five points in the second round. VCU started just 3-3 this year and the losses of guards Walker (14.8) and Pellot-Rosa (13.3) from LY's team seemed huge. However, the Rams have since gone 12-1 (8-1 in league play), losing only at James Madison, 62-61. After guards Maynor (18.3-3.8-5.2) and Shuler (16.1-4.6), there's a huge drop-off of talent. Freshman guard Rodriquez (4.9) usually joins the starting lineup along with the 6-7 Anderson (7.7-5.2) and fellow freshman, the 6-9 Sanders (4.9-4.1). The 6-7 Fameni (6.1-4.4) is a veteran who provides excellent play off the bench. GMU is a guard-oriented team, led by Vaughan (14.5-4.7), swingman Campbell (13.2-4.6-3.4) and Smith (10.4). The 6-7 Thomas (15.8-10.0) is a 'load' inside with the 6-6 Birdsong (6.3-3.9) joining him in the starting lineup. Two freshman, guard Long (4.1) and the 6-10 Moldoveanu (3.2-2.4), add depth. The Patriots are 14-6 overall, a major improvement over LY's 18-15 mark and have gone 9-0 at home, outscoring opponents by an average of 71-53 PPG. After losing three times to VCU last season, including in the Colonial's title game, Jim Larranaga will have his team poised to win this one. Revenge works. Revenge Game of the Month 20* George Mason.
Larry Ness' Las Vegas Insider-CBB (16-7 with BKB Insiders in Jan!)
Cost: $20 Ungraded
Handicapper: Larry Ness
League: College Basketball
Event: Florida State vs Virginia Tech on 01/29/2008 at 6:00PM
Condition: Virginia Tech
Grade: Ungraded
Promotion: FSU has been a "bubble" team in each of the last two years and each time, the school's "bubble has been burst," getting left out of the "Big Dance." This year, the Seminoles have nothing to worry about. They have NO chance of getting an at-large invitation and the school's only 'ticket' to the NCAA tourney is by winning the ACC tourney (fat chance!). FSU is a perimeter-based team with just one quality player inside. That's the 6-9 Echefu (11.6-7.3), who gets some help from the 6-9 Reed (4.8-4.7). FSU's been robbed of its inside depth with the season-ending injury to 7-1 freshman center Alabi and the suspension for disciplinary reasons of the 6-8 Breeden, who has since left school. Guards Douglas (14.1-2.7-3.0), Swann (12.2-3.4-3.0), Rich (12.0-4.7) and Mims (10.7-4.4) are quite a quartet but the results are just not there. FSU is 2-4 SU and ATS on the road this year and 2-4 (1-5 ATS) in ACC play. The team has played 11 "lined games" since Dec 1, going 1-10 ATS! Va Tech has been far from perfect (12-8 and 3-3 in ACC play) but HC Greenberg has just been given a contract extension and the Hokies have been formidable at home, going 7-1 (lone loss to No. 3 Duke). While the Seminoles are a perimeter team, Va Tech's strengths come from its forwards. The 6-6 Vassallo (15.7-5.2), 6-7 freshman Allen (12.8-8.1) and the 6-7 Washington (12.8-6.4) lead the way. The 6-9 Diakite (2.6-3.6) and 6-6 freshman Thompson (4.2-3.0) add depth inside. Va Tech can't match FSU's backcourt depth but Delaney (8.2-3.3 APG) and Thorns (5.2-3.1 APG) are a solid duo. Allen missed the last two games serving a suspension for bumping a referee but he's been cleared to play in this one. Va Tech won without him Saturday at Boston College and the Hokies figure to have little trouble tonight with the slumping Seminoles. Las Vegas Insider on Va Tech.
Larry Ness' Weekly Wipeout Winner-NBA (won THREE of L4 NBA weeks!)
Cost: $20 Ungraded
Handicapper: Larry Ness
League: NBA
Event: Atlanta Hawks vs Phoenix Suns on 01/29/2008 at 6:05PM
Condition: Phoenix Suns
Grade: Ungraded
Promotion: Joe Johnson (21.6-4.3-5.4) spent three and a half seasons with Phoenix between 2002-05, helping the Suns from a lottery team to a perennial contender in the Western Conference. He asked to be traded after the 2005 playoffs and Phoenix accommodated him by sending him to the Hawks. Johnson and his Hawks lost his first trip back to Phoenix but last February, with Steve Nash sidelined for the Suns, Johnson's 32 points led Atlanta to 120-111 win. It was one of just eight home losses last season for the Suns. Winning this time around won't be easy, as the Hawks enter having dropped 10 of their last 14 games (6-8 ATS), while the Suns come in having won and covered SIX of their last seven, losing only at Minnesota (can't make that up!). The Hawks have no "true" PG with Claxton and Stoudamire out, leaving them with only journeyman Lue. Rookie Al Horford 99.0-10.) has played well at center as Pachulia has had many problems (he's just back after a team suspension). Both PF Smith (18.2-8.1) and SF Williams (16.6-5.8) have shown plenty of promise but the Hawks just do not have the overall talent-level or depth to play with a team the caliber of Phoenix. The fact that the Hawks 'clipped' the Suns earlier this year in Atlanta and won LY in Phoenix (remember, no Nash!), will only serve to give the Suns more motivation. The West is extremely competitive and now the Hornets have joined the Suns, Mavs and Spurs in the fray "at the top." Stoudemire (22.7-9.0) leads the Suns in scoring, Nash (17.6-11.9 APG) leads in assists and Marion (15.7-10.1) leads in rebounds. Barbosa (16.7), Hill (15.2-4.4-3.4) and Bell (12.5-3.6-2,2) give the Suns six players averaging 12.5 PPG or more. Hill's bothered by a bad back but if he can't go, that just means more playing time for the multi-talented Daiw (7.6-4.2-3.9). Phoenix is the highest-scoring team in the league at 109.5 PPG, but lately, head coach Mike D'Antoni has been talking about his team's defensive improvements. The Suns allowed a season-low point total in their 88-77 win over Chicago on Sunday and in winning SIX of their last seven games, are holding opponents to 98.9 PPG and 43.1 percent shooting from the field. Weekly Wipeout Winner on the Pho Suns.
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