Betting Talk

Service Play Thread for Wednesday

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edited December 2006 in Sports Betting
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  • pm530pm530 Senior Member
    edited December 2006
    Dunkel Index – NBA

    WEDNESDAY, DECEMBER 20

    Game 501-502: New Orleans at Orlando
    Dunkel Ratings: New Orleans 113.225; Orlando 118.749
    Dunkel Line & Total: Orlando by 5 1/2; 185 1/2
    Vegas Line & Total: Orlando by 7 1/2; 177
    Dunkel Pick: New Orleans (+7 1/2); Over

    Game 503-504: Indiana at Philadelphia
    Dunkel Ratings: Indiana 117.218; Philadelphia 113.633
    Dunkel Line & Total: Indiana by 3 1/2; 197 1/2
    Vegas Line & Total: Indiana by 6; 188
    Dunkel Pick: Philadelphia (+6); Over

    Game 505-506: Utah at Atlanta
    Dunkel Ratings: Utah 122.661; Atlanta 116.185
    Dunkel Line & Total: Utah by 5 1/2; 191
    Vegas Line & Total: Utah by 6 1/2; 194 1/2
    Dunkel Pick: Atlanta (+6 1/2); Under

    Game 507-508: Golden State at Boston
    Dunkel Ratings: Golden State 116.907; Boston 122.638
    Dunkel Line & Total: Boston by 5 1/2; 218 1/2
    Vegas Line & Total: Boston by 1 1/2; 220
    Dunkel Pick: Boston (-1 1/2); Under

    Game 509-510: Charlotte at New York
    Dunkel Ratings: Charlotte 110.704; New York 118.062
    Dunkel Line & Total: New York by 7 1/2; 189
    Vegas Line & Total: New York by 3; 203
    Dunkel Pick: New York (-3); Over

    Game 511-512: LA Lakers at Minnesota
    Dunkel Ratings: LA Lakers 122.160; Minnesota 120.366
    Dunkel Line & Total: LA Lakers by 2; 194
    Vegas Line & Total: Minnesota by 5; 196
    Dunkel Pick: LA Lakers (+5); Under

    Game 513-514: Memphis at San Antonio
    Dunkel Ratings: Memphis 111.000; San Antonio 133.897
    Dunkel Line & Total: San Antonio by 23; 193 1/2
    Vegas Line & Total: San Antonio by 12; 184 1/2
    Dunkel Pick: San Antonio (-12); Over

    Game 515-516: Cleveland at New Jersey
    Dunkel Ratings: Cleveland 118.941; New Jersey 116.099
    Dunkel Line & Total: Cleveland by 3; 182 1/2
    Vegas Line & Total: New Jersey by 2; 186
    Dunkel Pick: Cleveland (+2); Under

    Game 517-518: Miami at Milwaukee
    Dunkel Ratings: Miami 116.898; Milwaukee 115.924
    Dunkel Line & Total: Miami by 1; 199 1/2
    Vegas Line & Total: Milwaukee by 2 1/2; 204
    Dunkel Pick: Miami (+2 1/2); Under

    Game 519-520: Phoenix at Denver
    Dunkel Ratings: Phoenix 127.359; Denver 120.131
    Dunkel Line & Total: Phoenix by 7; 217 1/2
    Vegas Line & Total: Phoenix by 7 1/2; 220 1/2
    Dunkel Pick: Denver (+7 1/2); Under

    Game 521-522: Houston at Portland
    Dunkel Ratings: Houston 120.890; Portland 120.021
    Dunkel Line & Total: Houston by 1; 202 1/2
    Vegas Line & Total: Houston by 4; 183 1/2
    Dunkel Pick: Portland (+4); Over

    Game 523-524: Dallas at Seattle
    Dunkel Ratings: Dallas 125.074; Seattle 117.660
    Dunkel Line & Total: Dallas by 7 1/2; 189
    Vegas Line & Total: Dallas by 6; 193
    Dunkel Pick: Dallas (-6); Under

    Game 525-526: Toronto at LA Clippers
    Dunkel Ratings: Toronto 116.633; LA Clippers 118.159
    Dunkel Line & Total: LA Clippers by 1 1/2; 196
    Vegas Line & Total: LA Clippers by 8; 193
    Dunkel Pick: Toronto (+8); Over
  • pm530pm530 Senior Member
    edited December 2006
    Dunkel Index – NCAA Basketball

    WEDNESDAY, DECEMBER 20

    Game 527-528: Alabama at NC State
    Dunkel Ratings: Alabama 68.144; NC State 61.755
    Dunkel Line: Alabama by 6 1/2
    Vegas Line: Alabama by 3
    Dunkel Pick: Alabama (-3)

    Game 529-530: Western Michigan at Indiana
    Dunkel Ratings: Western Michigan 56.791; Indiana 74.556
    Dunkel Line: Indiana by 18
    Vegas Line: Indiana by 14
    Dunkel Pick: Indiana (-14)

    Game 531-532: Pepperdine at Connecticut
    Dunkel Ratings: Pepperdine 53.769; Connecticut 81.201
    Dunkel Line: Connecticut by 27 1/2
    Vegas Line: Connecticut by 23
    Dunkel Pick: Connecticut (-23)

    Game 533-534: Miami (OH) at Dayton
    Dunkel Ratings: Miami (OH) 59.862; Dayton 59.904
    Dunkel Line: Even
    Vegas Line: Dayton by 7 1/2
    Dunkel Pick: Miami (OH) (+7 1/2)

    Game 535-536: Delaware at VA Commonwealth
    Dunkel Ratings: Delware 44.080; VA Commonwealth 70.023
    Dunkel Line: VA Commonwealth by 26
    Vegas Line: VA Commonwealth by 22
    Dunkel Pick: VA Commonwealth (-22)

    Game 537-538: Towson at Georgetown
    Dunkel Ratings: Towson 52.734; Georgetown 72.951
    Dunkel Line: Georgetown by 20
    Vegas Line: Georgetown by 16 1/2
    Dunkel Pick: Georgetown (-16 1/2)

    Game 539-540: Georgia State at Iowa
    Dunkel Ratings: Georgia State 46.820; Iowa 64.657
    Dunkel Line: Iowa by 18
    Vegas Line: Iowa by 15
    Dunkel Pick: Iowa (-15)

    Game 541-542: Central Michigan at Southern Illinois
    Dunkel Ratings: Central Michigan 49.356; Southern Illinois 70.983
    Dunkel Line: Southern Illinois by 21 1/2
    Vegas Line: Southern Illinois by 18
    Dunkel Pick: Southern Illinois (-18)

    Game 543-544: Memphis at Arizona
    Dunkel Ratings: Memphis 69.781; Arizona 78.758
    Dunkel Line: Arizona by 9
    Vegas Line: Arizona by 7 1/2
    Dunkel Pick: Arizona (-7 1/2)

    Game 545-546: Princeton at South Carolina
    Dunkel Ratings: Princeton 51.820; South Carolina 64.522
    Dunkel Line: South Carolina by 12 1/2
    Vegas Line: South Carolina by 10
    Dunkel Pick: South Carolina (-10)

    Game 547-548: Arkansas at Texas
    Dunkel Ratings: Arkansas 65.940; Texas 76.220
    Dunkel Line: Texas by 10 1/2
    Vegas Line: Texas by 8
    Dunkel Pick: Texas (-8)

    Game 549-550: UC Irvine at DePaul
    Dunkel Ratings: UC Irvine 53.364; DePaul 68.928
    Dunkel Line: DePaul by 15 1/2
    Vegas Line: DePaul by 17
    Dunkel Pick: UC Irvine (+17)

    Game 551-552: UL Lafayette at CS Fullerton
    Dunkel Ratings: UL Lafayette 45.801; CS Fullerton 55.259
    Dunkel Line: CS Fullerton by 9 1/2
    Vegas Line: CS Fullerton by 12 1/2
    Dunkel Pick: UL Lafayette (+12 1/2)

    Game 553-554: LSU at Washington
    Dunkel Ratings: LSU 72.481; Washington 70.895
    Dunkel Line: LSU by 1 1/2
    Vegas Line: Washington by 1
    Dunkel Pick: LSU (+1)

    Game 555-556: Northwestern at PR Mayaguez
    Dunkel Ratings: Northwestern 57.300; PR Mayaguez 32.000
    Dunkel Line: Northwestern by 25 1/2
    Vegas Line: Northwestern by 23 1/2
    Dunkel Pick: Northwestern (-23 1/2)

    Game 557-558: Utah vs. Virginia (in Guaynabo, PR)
    Dunkel Ratings: Utah 58.676; Virginia 62.650
    Dunkel Line: Virginia by 4
    Vegas Line: Virginia by 5 1/2
    Dunkel Pick: Utah (+5 1/2)

    Game 559-560: Tennessee Tech vs. Vanderbilt (in Guaynabo, PR)
    Dunkel Ratings: Tennessee Tech 52.666; Vanderbilt 63.695
    Dunkel Line: Vanderbilt by 11
    Vegas Line: Vanderbilt by 8
    Dunkel Pick: Vanderbilt (-8)

    Game 561-562: Appalachian State vs. Central Florida
    Dunkel Ratings: Appalachian State 55.295; Central Florida 57.387
    Dunkel Line: Central Florida by 2
    Vegas Line: Central Florida by 3 1/2
    Dunkel Pick: Appalachian State (+3 1/2)

    Game 563-564: Wyoming vs. Nebraska (in Honolulu, HI)
    Dunkel Ratings: Wyoming 59.389; Nebraska 62.160
    Dunkel Line: Nebraska by 3
    Vegas Line: Nebraska by 3
    Dunkel Pick: Neutral

    Game 565-566: San Francisco at Hawaii
    Dunkel Ratings: San Francisco 53.686; Hawaii 62.641
    Dunkel Line: Hawaii by 9
    Vegas Line: Hawaii by 9 1/2
    Dunkel Pick: San Francisco (+9 1/2)

    Game 567-568: The Citadel at West Virginia
    Dunkel Ratings: The Citadel 40.558; West Virginia 74.738
    Dunkel Line: West Virginia by 34
    Vegas Line: West Virginia by 27 1/2
    Dunkel Pick: West Virginia (-27 1/2)

    Game 569-570: Wofford at Elon
    Dunkel Ratings: Wofford 45.951; Elon 42.159
    Dunkel Line: Wofford by 4
    Vegas Line: Wofford by 1
    Dunkel Pick: Wofford (-1)

    Game 571-572: Rider at Villanova
    Dunkel Ratings: Rider 52.737; Villanova 74.380
    Dunkel Line: Villanova by 21 1/2
    Vegas Line: Villanova by 18
    Dunkel Pick: Villanova (-18)

    Game 573-574: Middle Tennessee St. at Austin Peay
    Dunkel Ratings: Middle Tennessee St. 54.504; Austin Peay 53.442
    Dunkel Line: Middle Tennessee St. by 1
    Vegas Line: Pick
    Dunkel Pick: Middle Tennessee St.

    Game 575-576: Morehead State at Eastern Illinois
    Dunkel Ratings: Morehead State 46.085; Eastern Illinois 46.013
    Dunkel Line: Even
    Vegas Line: Eastern Illinois by 3
    Dunkel Pick: Morehead State (+3)

    Game 577-578: Eastern Kentucky at Tennessee Martin
    Dunkel Ratings: Eastern Kentucky 51.069; Tennessee Martin 47.358
    Dunkel Line: Eastern Kentucky by 3 1/2
    Vegas Line: Eastern Kentucky by 1
    Dunkel Pick: Eastern Kentucky (-1)
  • pm530pm530 Senior Member
    edited December 2006
    Dunkel Index – NHL

    WEDNESDAY, DECEMBER 20

    Game 51-52: Columbus at Detroit
    Dunkel Ratings: Columbus 11.799; Detroit 11.658
    Dunkel Line & Total: Columbus by 1/2; 6
    Vegas Line & Total: Detroit by 1 1/2; 5 1/2
    Dunkel Pick: Columbus (+1 1/2); Over

    Game 53-54: Nashville at Chicago
    Dunkel Ratings: Nashville 13.221; Chicago 12.883
    Dunkel Line & Total: Nashville by 1/2; 4 1/2
    Vegas Line & Total: Nashville by 1 1/2; 5 1/2
    Dunkel Pick: Chicago (+1 1/2); Under

    Game 55-56: Dallas at Anaheim
    Dunkel Ratings: Dallas 12.273; Anaheim 14.198
    Dunkel Line & Total: Anaheim by 2; 5
    Vegas Line & Total: Anaheim by 1 1/2; 5 1/2
    Dunkel Pick: Anaheim (-1 1/2); Under
  • justinjustin Member
    edited December 2006
    anyone dr.bob naacf bowl games with write ups?
    thanks in advance
  • RiskyRisky Member
    edited December 2006
    Dr. Bob

    Thursday, December 21
    ***Oregon (+3 ½) 31 Byu 27
    BYU was a very impressive 10-2 straight up and 9-2-1 ATS this season with their only losses coming on a last second field goal at Arizona in and overtime at Boston College. The Cougars are certainly a good team, but they are not much better than an Oregon team that is likely to rebound from a 3 game losing streak that ended their regular season. In fact, neutral site bowl underdogs of more than 3 points are 27-10-1 ATS if they lost their last 2 or more regular season games (8-1 ATS off 3 losses), including 22-4-1 ATS in pre-New Year’s bowl games. If Oregon goes back to their mid-season form then they’ll win this game handily. The Ducks averaged 5.9 yards per play this season against a schedule of mostly good defensive teams that would combine to allow 5.0 yppl to an average attack. Backup quarterback Brady Leaf starting splitting time with starter Dennis Dixon late in the season, which actually hurt the offense some, and they are expected to share time at quarterback in this game. The offense is only 0.7 yppl better than average with Leaf getting half the snaps, but Leaf also throws fewer interceptions, which makes up for some of that lost value. BYU is a mediocre defensive team that allowed 5.0 yppl to teams that would combine to average just 5.0 yppl, so the Ducks spread offense should have good success in this game just as Utah’s spread offense did in the BYU’s regular season finale (a 33-31 win in which Utah gained 474 yards at 6.5 yppl). BYU’s attack is among the best in the nation, averaging 6.9 yppl against teams that would allow 5.4 yppl to an average team, and quarterback John Beck should have been a 2nd or 3rd Team All-American this year after averaging 8.9 yards per pass play and throwing 30 TD passes against just 6 interceptions. The BYU attack was slowed somewhat by good defensive teams Arizona, Boston College and TCU and Beck will have his toughest challenge to date in this game against an Oregon defense that has allowed only 4.8 yppp to teams that would combine to average 6.6 yppp against an average defense. Beck should still post pretty good numbers, but not nearly as good as he normally does. This match- up is very close on a yards per play basis and my math model favors BYU by just 2 points. However, Oregon is likely to play at their mid-season level after rededicating themselves in bowl practices. Pac-10 teams are also undervalued over the years and Pac- 10 underdogs are 177-119-3 against non-conference opponents since 1980, including 29-14 ATS in bowl games (15-2 ATS since 1997). What we have here is a Pac-10 bowl underdog with superior talent and motivation against a BYU team that applies to a negative 16-47 ATS bowl situation if they remain favored by 3 points or more. I’ll take Oregon in a 3-Star Best Bet at +3 ½ points or more and for 2-Stars at +3 points. I have no opinion on the total.

    Sunday, December 24
    ***Arizona State (+8) 32 HAWAII 31
    Arizona State had a disappointing season and is being coached by Dirk Koetter, who has been fired. Teams playing for a lame duck coach have usually been pretty good plays in bowl games and I’m sure the Sun Devils would like to send their coach out with a good effort while also trying to impress their new coach Dennis Erickson, who will be watching. The Sun Devils certainly have the defensive personnel to slow down Hawaii’s explosive offense and the offense should have no problem moving the ball against Hawaii’s porous defense. Hawaii’s Colt Brennan had an incredible season and his stats were not just a reflection of the low level of opposing defenses that he faced. Brennan and the Warriors’ offense moved the ball with good success even against good defensive teams, scoring 32 points and averaging 6.4 yards per play (both season lows) against a very good Oregon State defense in their regular season finale. Arizona State’s defense is actually comparable to the Beavers’ stop unit, as the Sun Devils, except that they are even better defending the pass. ASU allowed only 5.3 yards per pass play against a schedule of teams that would combine to average 6.3 yppp against an average team. The Sun Devils were especially good defensively in the second half of the season, holding USC’s John David Booty (1st Team All-Pac 10) to 5.5 yppp and Washington State’s Alex Brink (2nd Team All-Pac 10) to just 4.3 yppp. Hawaii averaged an incredible 8.7 yppp against teams that would allow just 5.9 yppp to an average team and my math model projects the Warriors with 7.2 yppl and 32 points in this game, and Hawaii was held to 34 points by Boise State and 32 points by Oregon State – the two other good defensive teams that they have faced this season. Hawaii’s defense allowed a respectable 5.7 yppl this season but they did so against teams that would combine to average only 4.9 yppl against an average team. Arizona State was inconsistent offensively and not as good from game 3 on without big play receiver Rudy Burgess, who was injured in that game and then moved to the defensive side of the ball. From game 3 on the Sun Devils averaged only 5.3 yppl but they did so against teams that would combine to allow 4.9 yppl to an average team, so they were still better than average with a strong rushing attack (5.2 yards per rushing play against teams that would allow 4.3 yprp) and modest passing numbers (5.4 yppp against teams that would allow 5.4 yppp). Hawaii faced only 5 teams that are average or better offensively this season and the Warriors allowed an average of 6.7 yppl and 33 points to those teams (Alabama, Boise State, New Mexico State, Purdue, and Oregon State), who would combine to rate at 0.3 yppl better than average – a bit worse than ASU’s offensive rating of +0.4 yppl. Hawaii hasn’t won and covered against any of the 4 best teams that they faced this season, losing to Alabama and Boise State and failing to cover as favorites against Purdue and Oregon State and they aren’t likely to cover the big number in this game either. My math model favors Hawaii by just 1 point at home and the Warriors apply to a negative 4-22-3 ATS big bowl favorite situation. Home teams favored by 7 points or more in a bowl game are just 3-7 ATS, including 0-2 for Hawaii, so if you thought Hawaii was a good play because they’re playing at home you should think again. The Pac-10 has been the most underrated major conference for years, as evidenced by the 177-119-3 ATS record of Pac-10 teams as underdogs in non-conference games since 1980, including 15-2 ATS in bowl games since 1997. I’ll take Arizona State in a 3-Star Best Bet at +7 ½ points or more and for 2-Stars at +7.

    Friday, December 29
    **Houston (+6 ½) 31 South Carolina 30
    Both of these teams are better now than they were earlier in the season and the offensive units should control this game against a pair of mediocre defensive teams. With that being the case, I certainly don’t mind taking the points with a Houston team that is led by a 4 year starting quarterback in Kevin Kolb that rarely makes mistakes (just 3 interceptions all season). Kolb had another fantastic season and averaged 7.6 yards per pass play (against teams that would combine to allow 6.9 yppp to an average quarterback) to go along with his incredible TD to interception ratio of 27 to 3. Houston’s offense got better in mid-season when speedy receiver Anthony Alridge was converted to running back to share duties with bulldozing back Jackie Battle (858 yards at 5.0 ypr). Alridge broke big runs in practically every game he played at running back and finished the season with 904 yards at an amazing 10.6 ypr, including averages of 112 yards at 10.2 ypr in 6 games at running back. Houston’s offense rates at 1.1 yards per play better than average with Alridge sharing running duties with Battle. That attack should have no trouble moving the ball against a mediocre South Carolina defense that has allowed 5.5 yppl this season to teams that would combine to average 5.4 yppl against an average defensive team. The 3 best offensive teams that South Carolina faced were Arkansas, Florida, and Clemson, each of whom the Gamecocks played in the final 4 weeks of the season. Those 3 teams combine to rate at 1.1 yppl better than average offensive (the same as Houston) and they combined to average 7.2 yppl against South Carolina – so the Gamecocks played even worse than normal defensively against really good offensive teams like Houston. South Carolina was competitive in those games because their offense was playing better than ever with Blake Mitchell back at quarterback after Syvelle Newton was moved to defensive safety. Mitchell ended the season averaging a robust 8.0 yppp despite facing defenses that would combine to allow just 5.5 yppp to an average quarterback. With Mitchell at quarterback the Gamecocks rate at 1.6 yppl better than average offensively. Houston’s defense is 0.5 yppl worse than average using every game, but their top defensive player, S Will Gulley missed most of two games early in the season and the Cougars rate at 0.2 yppl worse than average defensively with Gulley healthy. South Carolina has an overall advantage from the line of scrimmage and a significant edge in special teams, but Houston has an advantage in projected turnovers and my math model favors the Gamecocks by 5 ½ points overall (with a total of 62 points). The reason for the play on Houston is a number of bowl situations that favor the Cougars, including an 82-43-2 ATS statistical match-up indicator applying to Houston and a negative 13-41 ATS situation that applies to South Carolina. I’ll take Houston in a 2-Star Best Bet at +6 points or more and for 3-Stars at +7 or more and I’ll lean Over 58 points or less.

    Saturday, December 30
    ****Iowa (+10) 25 Texas 24
    Iowa was perhaps the nation’s most disappointing team, finishing the season with 5 losses in their last 6 games while going 6-6 straight up and 1-10 ATS for the season. The Hawkeyes were hurt by injuries to key defensive players DE Iwebema (a 2005 1st team All-Big 10 selection who missed 5 games), S Paschal (missed 2 ½ games) and top CB Shada, who missed 4 ½ games and still nearly led the team in passes defended. Iowa’s defense went from very good to below average down the stretch without both Iwebema and Shada, but Shada is probable for this game and Iwebema may return too. In 6 games with both Paschal and Shada in the defensive backfield the Hawkeyes were 1.1 yards per pass play better than average, compared to 0.6 yppp worse than average in 6 games when one or both were out. Both Paschal and Shada will play in this game, but I’ll assume Iwebema will still be out until I hear differently. The Hawkeyes’ run defense isn’t quite as good without Iwebema and the pass rush isn’t as good either (worth almost 0.2 yppp), but I still rate the Hawkeyes’ defense at 0.7 yards per play better than average for this game. Texas quarterback Colt McCoy looks like he’s fully recovered from his shoulder injury and the Longhorns are 0.7 yppl better than average with McCoy at quarterback – so the battle between the Texas offense and Iowa’s now healthier defense is a draw. Iowa has an advantage when they have the ball, as the Hawkeyes are 0.6 yppl better than average offensively with Drew Tate at quarterback (he missed two games) while Texas was only 0.4 yppl better than average defensively this season, allowing 5.1 yppl to teams that would combine to average 5.5 yppl against an average defensive team (the Longhorns also had a few players miss some games, but they were still 0.4 yppl better than average with all their starters playing). Texas will stop the run, as they always do, but their mediocre pass defense (6.0 yppp allowed to teams that would combine to average 6.1 yppp against an average team) will be exploited by a Drew Tate, who was banged up much of the season and still rated at 0.7 yppp better than average). My math model projects the yardage to be very close in this game, but favors Texas by 5 points on the basis of strong special teams and few projected turnovers. Teams that under-achieve during the regular season usually play better in their bowl game and Iowa applies to a 46-14-3 ATS bowl situation. I did not add any home field advantage for Texas, but playing in San Antonio could be worth a couple of points (although I count it as a neutral field). Of course, I think it will be tough for the Longhorns to get excited about playing in a minor bowl game against a .500 opponent the year after winning the National Championship. Iowa, meanwhile, will use the game as redemption for a poor season and I’ll take Iowa in a 4-Star Best Bet at +10 points or more, for 3-Stars from +7 ½ to +9 ½ and for 2-Stars at +7 points.

    Monday, January 1
    ****West Virginia (-7) 35 Georgia Tech 14
    What kind of line is West Virginia by 7? Is that West Virginia’s backups against Georgia Tech’s starters? The Yellow Jackets are a mediocre team and West Virginia is one of the top teams in the nation. This game shouldn’t be close if West Virginia plays anywhere close to their normal level – and I have no reason to believe that they won’t. Mountaineers’ quarterback Pat White will be healthy after a more than a month off since last playing (he sat out their overtime win against Rutgers with a couple of nagging injuries) and White and running back Steve Slaton will be too much for a good, but not great Georgia Tech defense. Slaton ran for 1733 yards at 7.1 ypr and White 1128 yards at 8.6 yards per rushing play (not including sacks). White also had a good season throwing the football (8.4 yards per pass play against teams that would allow 6.0 yppp to an average quarterback) and West Virginia’s attack rates at 2.1 yards per play better than average, which gives them a huge advantage over a Georgia Tech stop unit that allowed 4.5 yppl this season and rates at 0.9 yppl better than average. Georgia Tech played a schedule of mostly bad offensive teams and they faced just one team with the speed and rushing attack that comes close to comparing to West Virginia. That opponent was Clemson and the Tigers racked up 332 rushing yards at 9.0 yards per rushing play while racking up 7.9 yppl and 31 points. My math model forecasts 35 points on 431 yards at 6.6 yppl for West Virginia in this game, which is well below the Mounties’ season average of 7.5 yppl with White starting at quarterback. That will be more than enough to beat a Georgia Tech team with a horrible offense that averaged just 5.0 yppl this season against a schedule of teams that would allow 5.5 yppl to an average team. The Yellow Jackets have a 1st Team All-American WR in Calvin Johnson but quarterback Reggie Ball still completed only 44% of this passes for 5.1 yards per pass play. West Virginia has been susceptible to good pass attacks this season, but they are still a bit better than average against the pass overall and are very tough to run against (3.7 yprp allowed to teams that would average 4.7 yprp). Overall, West Virginia is 0.3 yppl better than average defensively and they have a 0.8 yppl advantage over Georgia Tech’s offense (to go along with the Mounties’ 1.2 yppl advantage when they have the ball). West Virginia also has an advantage in projected turnovers and in special teams and my math model favors the Mountaineers by 21 ½ points in this game and gives them a 67% chance of covering at -7 points. I’ll take West Virginia in a 4-Star Best Bet at -8 points or less, for 3- Stars from -8 ½ to -10 points and for 2-Stars at more than -10 points.
  • RippleRipple Senior Member
    edited December 2006
    Young Gun Sports 6-2 N.B.A over a 1 year run.

    5*Miami Heat + 2 1/2
  • RippleRipple Senior Member
    edited December 2006
    Master Sports 9-1 best best on 4* this year. This is his first 5* this year.

    5* Dallas -6
    4* Indiana - 5 1/2
    3* Minn -5
    3* Miami +2
    3* Boston -2

    College
    3* Wash -1

    Young Gun Sports 6-2 N.B.A over a 1 year run.

    5*Miami Heat + 2 1/2
  • psandman311psandman311 Senior Member
    edited December 2006
    hey ripple, can u get billy coleman. thanks for everything
  • NemaNema Senior Member
    edited December 2006
    Ripp Can I see if you can get Big Al's full bowl package.
    Thanks
  • TeaserTeaser Senior Member
    edited December 2006
    Risky thank's for the DR.
  • trickboytrickboy Senior Member
    edited December 2006
    lang anyone?

    thanks
  • ssla1577ssla1577 Junior Member
    edited December 2006
    Brandon Lang

    WEDNESDAY

    10 DIME



    Dallas Mavs

    5 DIME

    Wofford
  • GAVELGAVEL Senior Member
    edited December 2006
    ant ROOT for hoops??
  • flush1flush1 Member
    edited December 2006
    DIXON Investments All for 3 Units tonight


    Indiana Pacers -5-


    CAVS/NETS under 186-


    Phoenix Suns -8-


    L. A Clippers -8

    .
  • az1510az1510 Senior Member
    edited December 2006
    root??
  • wonbadwonbad Senior Member
    edited December 2006
    Any Sebastian
  • dawgs05dawgs05 Senior Member
    edited December 2006
    Finer anyone?

    Thansk is advance and GL to all.

    Dawgs05
  • rakim0821rakim0821 Senior Member
    edited December 2006
    TONY MATTHEWS
    15* Milwaukee Bucks -2
  • rakim0821rakim0821 Senior Member
    edited December 2006
    Larry Ness
    Lv Insider Minnesota T-Wolves
    15* Washington Univ.
  • tozzo51tozzo51 Senior Member
    edited December 2006
    Phoenix -8 from Dixon?? Phoenix not playing are they?
  • bam33bam33 Junior Member
    edited December 2006
    any PPP hoops tonight?
  • whackedwhacked Member
    edited December 2006
    playing in Denver
  • rakim0821rakim0821 Senior Member
    edited December 2006
    jim Hurley
    3.5* Dayton
    2.5* Wyoming
  • tozzo51tozzo51 Senior Member
    edited December 2006
    Pinny did not put up a line yet
  • 111111111111 Banned
    edited December 2006
    1000 dime west mich

    200 dimes nc st miami oh wofford
  • rakim0821rakim0821 Senior Member
    edited December 2006
    ATS
    3 Indiana Pacers -5.5

    3 Arizona -7.5
  • rakim0821rakim0821 Senior Member
    edited December 2006
    kelso Stergeon
    5u Wofford -2
    3u VCU -22
  • avmongooseavmongoose Senior Member
    edited December 2006
    kelso please
  • avmongooseavmongoose Senior Member
    edited December 2006
    rakim is that his chairman play or reg. plays ty
  • RippleRipple Senior Member
    edited December 2006
    Fargo:

    2 Ark +8.5
    2 LSU +1

    root
    s illi ..chair play
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